Realized P&L
-$102.5K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
39.5%
Resolved
220
Trades
9,946
lifetime
Volume
$375.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 04-21 12:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Crypto
68%
53%
-$74,135
Other
17%
14%
-$14,237
Politics
14%
37%
-$14,118
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-21).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 28 | $41.7K | 46,861 | 46,861 | +0 | No | -$5,180 | 04-17 19:18 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 59 | $19.7K | 88,341 | 32,542 | +55,800 | No | -$8,200 | 03-23 19:58 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 61 | $13.6K | 45,059 | 42,517 | +2,542 | No | -$891 | 03-31 01:00 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 19:55 UTC | 755 | $12.7K | 25,401 | 0 | +25,401 | Up | -$12,701 | 04-17 19:55 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 13:30 UTC | 882 | $10.9K | 11,441 | 10,441 | +1,000 | Up | +$500 | 04-12 13:33 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 21 | $9.6K | 38,853 | 600 | +38,253 | Yes | -$8,926 | 03-03 08:09 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 13:50 UTC | 687 | $9.0K | 17,934 | 0 | +17,934 | Down | -$8,967 | 04-12 13:50 |
| us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913 | 31 | $6.1K | 9,774 | 9,774 | +0 | No | +$16 | 01-14 23:54 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:05 UTC | 192 | $5.9K | 5,000 | 4,973 | +27 | Down | +$934 | 04-12 19:09 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 13:00 UTC | 370 | $5.4K | 13,438 | 0 | +13,438 | Down | -$5,375 | 04-12 13:00 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 14:10 UTC | 540 | $5.3K | 10,550 | 0 | +10,550 | Down | -$5,275 | 04-12 14:11 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 19:40 UTC | 242 | $5.0K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | Up | -$5,000 | 04-17 19:40 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:15 UTC | 420 | $5.0K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | Up | -$5,000 | 04-12 19:16 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 23:05 UTC | 3 | $4.9K | 9,983 | 0 | +9,983 | Down | -$4,931 | 03-02 23:05 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 11:45 UTC | 293 | $4.7K | 4,909 | 2,947 | +1,962 | Down | -$244 | 04-12 11:48 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 14 | $4.5K | 3,534 | 3,534 | +0 | Yes | +$265 | 03-02 20:54 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 12:55 UTC | 136 | $4.1K | 6,000 | 1,245 | +4,755 | Down | -$1,942 | 04-12 12:59 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026 | 4 | $3.9K | 61,014 | 0 | +61,014 | Yes | -$3,924 | 04-16 17:55 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 13:25 UTC | 388 | $3.9K | 9,000 | 0 | +9,000 | Down | -$3,899 | 04-12 13:28 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 12:55 UTC | 2 | $3.6K | 2,384 | 2,347 | +37 | Down | +$1,117 | 03-10 13:01 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 19:10 UTC | 5 | $3.5K | 2,976 | 2,931 | +45 | Up | +$738 | 03-08 19:14 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:40 UTC | 3 | $3.4K | 3,767 | 2,715 | +1,052 | Down | -$30 | 03-08 18:41 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 17:40 UTC | 7 | $3.4K | 3,566 | 2,646 | +920 | Down | +$489 | 03-08 17:43 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:30 UTC | 4 | $3.2K | 4,083 | 4,020 | +63 | Down | -$1,041 | 03-08 18:33 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 08:20 UTC | 94 | $3.1K | 2,299 | 2,199 | +99 | Up | +$942 | 03-29 08:23 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 19:35 UTC | 3 | $3.1K | 2,219 | 2,185 | +34 | Up | +$717 | 03-08 19:39 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 17:30 UTC | 5 | $3.0K | 2,822 | 2,779 | +44 | Down | +$177 | 03-08 17:33 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 30 | $2.9K | 9,110 | 9,110 | +0 | No | +$295 | 01-15 11:41 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 17:55 UTC | 183 | $2.7K | 4,954 | 1,629 | +3,325 | Up | -$870 | 04-12 17:59 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:25 UTC | 4 | $2.6K | 2,284 | 2,248 | +35 | Down | +$236 | 03-08 18:29 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||