Verifiable-Insect — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

135 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$419

$1.71K lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-25 23:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

48% 97% +$6

Politics

34% 100% +$3

Crypto

17% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$165	126	57	+69	Yes	+$1	10-25 23:59
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$106	66	66	+0	No	+$0	10-18 01:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$95	66	66	+0	open	—	10-25 21:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	2	$83	43	43	+0	No	+$1	09-10 03:43
Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	08-31 17:02
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	08-31 11:54
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$58	58	0	+58	Yes	+$0	08-05 07:09
us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	07-01 01:39
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	08-22 17:18
Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$54	54	0	+54	Yes	+$1	08-20 18:58
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	08-12 22:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	08-11 22:54
will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	08-01 01:09
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	08-15 20:08
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$51	52	0	+52	No	+$0	08-14 01:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$45	22	22	+0	No	+$0	09-07 12:19
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September?	1	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	09-28 05:00
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	1	$43	43	0	+43	Yes	+$0	09-23 08:56
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	1	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	09-30 23:19
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August?	2	$41	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-31 20:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	04-29 02:01
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	07-30 19:06
Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-13 14:56
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	08-18 01:13
tsla above 380 on march 31 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	03-31 07:03
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	09-16 15:32
Will Solana reach $190 in September?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	09-28 14:17
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	10-05 12:10
will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	3	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	07-30 09:46
will xrp reach 2pt8 in february 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-25 05:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:59:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	69	99¢	$69	0xed64e4…
10-25 22:08:56	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$2	0x708ba8…
10-25 21:46:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	66	74¢	$48	0xf454d2…
10-23 23:50:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x9b8213…
10-23 23:50:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x907375…
10-23 23:50:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	310	0¢	$0	0x8b0a33…
10-23 23:48:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa081f7…
10-23 23:48:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x3167a8…
10-20 09:02:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	66	71¢	$47	0x80354c…
10-18 01:57:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	66	81¢	$53	0x5e088a…
10-15 10:14:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	66	81¢	$53	0x887af5…
10-05 13:47:34	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	18	85¢	$16	0x556757…
10-05 13:43:34	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	39	85¢	$33	0xb8ce29…
10-05 12:10:56	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5c2020…
10-05 02:21:01	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	57	84¢	$48	0xfb8994…
09-30 23:19:21	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x1a3e19…
09-28 23:01:59	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f2159…
09-28 14:17:36	Will Solana reach $190 in September?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x82d82b…
09-28 05:00:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x8511e2…
09-23 08:56:05	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x68ac1a…
09-23 01:59:11	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe265de…
09-16 15:32:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7b0dc1…
09-13 07:10:42	Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0165b1…
09-10 17:20:10	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d57c5…
09-10 03:43:55	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0xdaeb73…
09-09 13:14:00	Will Solana reach $190 in September?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4edbd9…
09-07 12:19:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xa08cbf…
09-04 17:12:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xb1f1a7…
09-04 11:10:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	No	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0x8a1e9c…
08-31 20:20:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x068c86…
08-31 17:02:27	Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x6dd0cc…
08-31 13:23:00	Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xfcfd0a…
08-31 11:54:37	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x5f5d4e…
08-27 16:04:33	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x3b2032…
08-26 19:22:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x14f7d4…
08-26 12:59:55	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x665c88…
08-25 02:07:12	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe4a077…
08-22 17:18:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x130031…
08-20 18:58:09	Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0x0d4185…
08-19 15:28:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x09f3c4…
08-19 15:07:46	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$2	0x9ed931…
08-19 03:16:51	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xb916db…
08-19 03:13:33	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x1ec918…
08-18 15:21:31	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0xc769ea…
08-18 01:13:45	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xf2cedc…
08-16 20:58:34	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x788023…
08-15 20:08:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xf4da38…
08-14 11:14:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	170	0¢	$0	0xd57a06…
08-14 01:01:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x4cb409…
08-14 00:39:58	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb23403…
08-12 22:48:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xfad750…
08-11 22:54:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x06ad59…
08-11 13:17:10	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x705a66…
08-08 00:08:34	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf66e45…
08-06 08:00:35	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1c734b…
08-05 07:09:54	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xd901af…
08-01 01:09:42	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x618cbb…
07-30 19:06:09	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x40c893…
07-30 11:29:48	will spy reach 800 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x187b18…
07-30 09:46:48	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xca2c59…
07-28 21:36:29	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x08a7af…
07-28 17:31:29	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x57a7d2…
07-28 10:37:29	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd68b2a…
07-28 06:13:00	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf4e32e…
07-25 00:50:07	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3e3ca5…
07-24 08:21:21	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xea5789…
07-22 00:36:55	will ethereum dip to 1300 in july 2026 715	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd75414…
07-03 13:34:04	will ethereum dip to 700 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x665db8…
07-01 01:39:23	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x89dace…
05-25 03:31:54	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $495 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x640b30…
05-13 14:56:25	Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0c7b86…
05-11 13:02:27	Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd26fc7…
05-11 11:19:31	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2fa7c6…
05-10 12:52:40	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x810a22…
05-10 00:14:08	Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe830c3…
05-09 18:39:05	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1a0a36…
05-09 02:33:16	Will Solana reach $140 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc9f9d6…
05-08 02:43:46	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8cb760…
05-07 20:05:01	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf224b8…
05-05 13:37:52	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb79107…
04-29 02:01:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb9b4f7…
04-26 13:34:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xc76700…
04-25 00:02:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9568c0…
04-22 23:38:34	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc000cd…
04-19 02:34:34	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe47aa8…
04-18 14:29:54	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $310 end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xeb50d5…
04-18 07:22:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4719a1…
04-17 12:15:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe9a00b…
04-17 01:11:48	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd8f927…
04-16 19:18:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x420dc0…
04-15 05:27:58	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $60 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9160fe…
04-14 21:23:58	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2b2878…
04-14 01:11:15	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x691969…
03-31 07:03:27	tsla above 380 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xafba90…
03-30 11:16:24	will elon musks net worth be between 690b and 700b on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x83ddad…
03-26 23:23:43	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x93c148…
03-25 19:14:35	nflx above 20 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb18c3f…
03-22 20:33:35	will chainlink dip to 4 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0578cd…
03-20 15:14:09	tsla above 470 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x98b8d7…
03-19 20:11:33	will xrp reach 3 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x18a66e…