Hard-Weasel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.7%

Resolved

114

Trades

358

lifetime

Volume

$1.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-19 07:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% $-11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	25	$326	310	310	+0	open	—	05-19 07:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$100	255	0	+255	open	—	05-19 07:36
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$51	52	52	+0	open	—	05-13 11:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	2	$41	23	23	+0	No	+$1	05-13 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$32	50	0	+50	open	—	05-19 07:27
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$20	450	0	+450	open	—	05-19 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 03:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$10	38	0	+38	open	—	05-19 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 04:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$8	14	0	+14	Down	+$1	05-14 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 03:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$6	10	0	+10	Down	$-1	05-13 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	$-5	05-13 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-13 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-13 03:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-13 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	+$7	05-13 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-13 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	+$6	05-13 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-13 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	$-5	05-13 04:27
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	$-5	05-13 03:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 03:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	3	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 07:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 07:36:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	255	39¢	$100	0xebc0a6…
05-19 07:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xb07410…
05-19 07:26:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	27¢	$10	0x170d07…
05-19 07:13:49	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	212	5¢	$10	0x3a387f…
05-19 07:13:38	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	238	4¢	$10	0x5e6ed1…
05-19 07:10:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	40	69¢	$28	0x4f3b66…
05-19 07:09:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	270	78¢	$211	0xe7e5fd…
05-19 07:06:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	51	23¢	$12	0xbfd77b…
05-19 07:06:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0x35c7ba…
05-19 07:06:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	37	23¢	$9	0xd63fc1…
05-19 07:06:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x2fe0bc…
05-19 07:05:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x8d9523…
05-19 07:05:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	72	23¢	$17	0x695318…
05-19 07:05:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x3556cb…
05-19 07:05:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9a77c4…
05-19 07:04:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x47abc9…
05-19 07:04:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xafe11e…
05-19 07:04:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x56df6a…
05-19 07:04:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xfff87a…
05-19 07:04:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xf94a55…
05-19 07:04:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xdd374d…
05-19 07:04:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x142ef4…
05-19 07:04:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	23¢	$1	0x8bbe0c…
05-19 07:04:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	23¢	$1	0xe8ce63…
05-19 07:04:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x94f622…
05-19 07:04:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x5aa55f…
05-19 07:01:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x3b360d…
05-19 07:01:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe52814…
05-19 07:01:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1131d4…
05-19 07:01:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	82	42¢	$34	0x533e1a…
05-15 12:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc983d4…
05-15 11:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf0be70…
05-15 11:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x622caf…
05-15 10:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xd57c36…
05-15 10:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x398b26…
05-15 10:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8839e9…
05-15 10:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7f999b…
05-15 10:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x8df8c9…
05-15 10:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8d348f…
05-15 10:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8cbd52…
05-15 10:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xe57883…
05-15 10:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb745f0…
05-15 09:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf9ca39…
05-15 09:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0xc69b83…
05-15 09:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7d3b40…
05-15 09:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc5e193…
05-15 09:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc78b44…
05-15 09:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x27a4dd…
05-15 09:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb88809…
05-15 09:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd6fd80…
05-15 09:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4f73ac…
05-15 09:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xea9667…
05-15 09:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x054e1a…
05-15 09:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3436fd…
05-15 08:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3a3890…
05-15 08:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa2f31c…
05-15 08:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x50f60a…
05-15 08:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1270c9…
05-15 08:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x83c306…
05-15 08:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8a6b98…
05-15 08:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x4d5958…
05-15 08:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xef0480…
05-15 08:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdf7b16…
05-15 08:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb770f7…
05-15 08:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xff6059…
05-15 07:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xb80d72…
05-15 07:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x705ec8…
05-15 07:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x25c984…
05-15 07:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7d74d2…
05-15 07:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8def73…
05-15 07:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3a4c82…
05-15 07:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5d8b0f…
05-15 07:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x24211d…
05-15 07:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x67d52c…
05-15 07:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1ceb67…
05-15 07:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x000921…
05-15 07:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x74f1bd…
05-15 06:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf9e3a9…
05-15 06:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x21db53…
05-15 06:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xbecdc7…
05-15 06:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x49d929…
05-15 06:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x075e21…
05-15 06:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5069fb…
05-15 06:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x742c39…
05-15 06:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x9a9007…
05-15 05:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x87dd7e…
05-15 05:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x8492cf…
05-15 05:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xff406b…
05-15 05:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x55f385…
05-15 04:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf41229…
05-15 04:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb94bb1…
05-15 04:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x82eb37…
05-15 04:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf2b966…
05-15 04:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8635ce…
05-15 04:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4ecc8b…
05-15 04:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x9d7a0a…
05-15 04:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb2d734…
05-15 04:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x73d637…
05-15 04:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x14c885…
05-15 04:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x7c6b25…