Flickering-Patrimony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$75

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 05-13 14:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 33% $-6

Other

47% — —

Politics

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$6	93	+93	open	—	01-16 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$5	12	+12	Up	$-5	05-13 14:12
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$5	42	+42	open	—	03-14 14:15
xrp above 2pt1 on january 9	1	$3	10	+10	open	—	01-08 19:49
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	1	$3	10	+10	open	—	01-11 14:46
Will the People's Bank of China decrease rates in April?	1	$3	43	+43	open	—	04-01 16:07
will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	1	$3	35	+35	open	—	04-01 16:14
will 40 44 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	1	$3	38	+38	open	—	04-01 16:14
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$2	10	+10	open	—	01-24 22:23
will the price of xrp be between 2pt20 2pt30 on january 14	1	$2	31	+31	open	—	01-13 17:49
will ethereum reach 2450 on april 13	1	$2	21	+21	open	—	04-13 23:59
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	01-08 19:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$2	8	+8	open	—	04-03 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$2	7	+7	open	—	05-02 19:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	1	$2	13	+13	open	—	04-03 21:23
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?	1	$2	154	+154	open	—	04-03 21:02
will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on january 14	1	$2	22	+22	open	—	01-13 17:49
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 9	1	$2	9	+9	open	—	01-08 19:48
will nick taylor win the 2026 sony open in hawaii tournament	1	$2	14	+14	open	—	01-16 20:39
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	1	$2	61	+61	open	—	04-03 21:02
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600b and $610b on April 30?	1	$2	8	+8	open	—	04-03 21:19
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$2	15	+15	open	—	04-03 21:35
will ethereum reach 2300 on april 13	1	$1	1,000	+1,000	open	—	04-14 00:02
will ethereum reach 2350 on april 13	1	$1	1,000	+1,000	open	—	04-14 00:02
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	1	$1	250	+250	open	—	04-03 21:02
bitcoin up or down on april 14 2026	1	$1	20	+20	open	—	04-14 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$1	12	+12	Up	$-1	05-11 18:41
will bitcoin reach 77k on april 13	1	$1	125	+125	open	—	04-14 00:10
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	1	$1	6	+6	open	—	05-11 18:43
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	1	$1	13	+13	open	—	04-03 21:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 14:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x8bcab0…
05-13 00:11:47	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x2fc461…
05-13 00:10:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xa51791…
05-11 18:43:35	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc299a6…
05-11 18:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6e0125…
05-11 18:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x734ef1…
05-11 18:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4e1e60…
05-03 15:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?	Down	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x31a6d9…
05-02 19:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa30574…
04-14 00:12:59	bitcoin up or down on april 14 2026	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x172d99…
04-14 00:10:41	will bitcoin reach 77k on april 13	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xea7938…
04-14 00:02:15	will ethereum reach 2300 on april 13	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x053769…
04-14 00:02:05	will ethereum reach 2350 on april 13	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf0d606…
04-13 23:59:43	will ethereum reach 2450 on april 13	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x21e894…
04-13 23:59:33	will ethereum reach 2500 on april 13	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x798183…
04-13 23:51:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc2de80…
04-03 21:35:35	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xbe9a36…
04-03 21:23:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x6aba20…
04-03 21:23:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xceb194…
04-03 21:19:21	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600b and $610b on April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x76bb0d…
04-03 21:11:41	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xe35e27…
04-03 21:02:39	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x606c17…
04-03 21:02:25	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0x4b253b…
04-03 21:02:13	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0x3270e1…
04-01 16:14:27	will 40 44 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xb2c58d…
04-01 16:14:11	will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0x538415…
04-01 16:07:37	Will the People's Bank of China decrease rates in April?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x10b391…
03-14 14:15:29	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xb793b3…
01-24 22:23:40	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x7018f2…
01-16 21:11:56	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0xd5eb89…
01-16 20:39:06	will nick taylor win the 2026 sony open in hawaii tournament	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xb334d3…
01-13 17:49:49	will the price of xrp be between 2pt20 2pt30 on january 14	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x66fc56…
01-13 17:49:35	will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on january 14	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x36526c…
01-11 19:28:42	will sweden win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x6616cd…
01-11 14:46:10	Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x33fbc5…
01-08 19:49:40	xrp above 2pt1 on january 9	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xdcc9ff…
01-08 19:48:20	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 9	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x715acf…
01-08 19:27:02	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xa9ef43…
01-08 19:26:38	will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x04d80a…