Bumpy-Silk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

300

lifetime

Volume

$9.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-30 20:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

72% 100% +$6

Crypto

15% 100% +$1

Politics

9% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$470	270	270	+0	open	—	04-12 19:31
cbb miaoh tenn 2026 03 20	1	$400	400	0	+400	open	—	03-20 22:07
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$372	600	600	+0	open	—	03-30 16:51
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of April?	1	$300	303	0	+303	open	—	04-30 15:22
will mrbeasts next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1	4	$208	125	110	+15	open	—	03-07 22:07
cbb tcu duke 2026 03 21	2	$208	115	115	+0	open	—	03-21 23:12
cbb txam hou 2026 03 21	2	$200	202	0	+202	open	—	03-21 23:42
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 18-24?	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	05-24 20:56
will jannik sinner win the 2026 mens singles tournament at the miami open	4	$186	171	75	+96	open	—	03-27 02:25
cbb tx pur 2026 03 26	7	$183	117	117	+0	open	—	03-27 01:17
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$180	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-13 13:32
spx opens up or down on february 23 2026	4	$172	200	200	+0	open	—	02-22 23:19
nba phi bos 2026 04 21	3	$154	177	0	+177	open	—	04-22 00:14
will mrbeasts next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 786	1	$150	151	0	+151	open	—	01-25 03:47
atp bellucc bennani 2026 03 30	5	$130	150	0	+150	open	—	03-31 13:03
atp michels sinner 2026 03 24	2	$130	138	0	+138	open	—	03-24 21:22
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 28?	4	$110	116	16	+100	open	—	05-28 19:34
cbb iowa fl 2026 03 22	3	$102	60	59	+0	open	—	03-23 01:27
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 29?	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	05-29 19:58
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 19?	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	05-19 16:47
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 28?	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	05-28 19:58
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 19?	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	05-19 16:23
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?	1	$100	145	0	+145	open	—	04-24 00:00
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	03-25 11:07
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	05-26 19:40
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	1	$100	115	0	+115	open	—	04-27 20:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 18-24?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	05-24 21:18
will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	06-07 21:03
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	05-31 19:24
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 27?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	05-27 19:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 20:27:14	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x94bce9…
06-26 20:00:01	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x6cd6f3…
06-14 01:21:15	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xa432d0…
06-14 01:15:24	Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x47b936…
06-11 19:58:54	meta up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x9d9a60…
06-11 19:53:34	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x85d4f6…
06-09 22:57:31	Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xeeae61…
06-09 22:57:09	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x69dca8…
06-09 22:56:09	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xc6d31b…
06-09 22:49:52	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 9	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9f7bbe…
06-08 20:52:27	xagusd up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xe79641…
06-08 20:45:00	wti up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x92feed…
06-07 21:04:06	will xrp dip to 1 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x279b78…
06-07 21:03:00	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xbe822e…
06-07 21:01:06	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x11b9e1…
06-06 20:50:54	will ethereum dip to 1450 on june 6	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xb77115…
06-06 20:46:19	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 6	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x1509a0…
06-04 22:34:18	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7ba630…
06-03 19:04:33	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x918349…
06-03 19:04:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x43d754…
06-02 16:02:21	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xdb8c03…
05-31 19:24:14	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x02622e…
05-31 19:21:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5ef143…
05-29 20:07:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x4420e2…
05-29 19:58:06	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x11a697…
05-29 19:57:41	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x3d65b3…
05-29 19:56:10	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x806101…
05-29 19:55:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x947a37…
05-28 19:58:33	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x837c9e…
05-28 19:34:24	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa85802…
05-28 19:25:21	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x30ea9d…
05-28 11:36:34	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xb6258b…
05-28 11:01:02	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	SELL	16	28¢	$4	0xf3c139…
05-28 10:54:51	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x70b4c2…
05-27 19:49:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xcd7de4…
05-27 19:38:59	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x2bb631…
05-27 19:29:10	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0fbecc…
05-26 19:59:38	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xba6ade…
05-26 19:56:19	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x784965…
05-26 19:52:13	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x92652f…
05-26 19:41:09	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xcda323…
05-26 19:40:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcba3d8…
05-24 21:18:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf988bd…
05-24 21:00:36	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x78f1d6…
05-24 20:56:50	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 18-24?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x6029f3…
05-21 18:10:00	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	56	16¢	$9	0x26088e…
05-21 16:45:08	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x71a122…
05-21 16:43:00	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xab31f8…
05-21 16:40:21	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xd176ec…
05-20 19:32:04	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xa51473…
05-19 20:51:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xaf7879…
05-19 16:47:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x105740…
05-19 16:44:17	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xa180fc…
05-19 16:23:48	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xb54a6b…
05-13 21:51:31	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xbe4663…
05-13 21:50:54	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf5ffdb…
05-13 21:50:40	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xde7c29…
05-13 21:50:33	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x28b0aa…
05-04 18:39:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x3a821a…
05-04 18:37:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x58beb7…
04-30 15:22:22	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of April?	Yes	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x638206…
04-29 22:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1fc956…
04-29 22:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0e5f0c…
04-29 21:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x89ae6b…
04-28 16:36:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x93327b…
04-28 16:36:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x6f6924…
04-27 20:00:34	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x03e25c…
04-25 00:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xba749c…
04-24 00:56:02	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	Knicks	SELL	27	21¢	$6	0x5dad36…
04-24 00:27:22	nba cle tor 2026 04 23	Cavaliers	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x2a1c38…
04-24 00:22:38	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	Knicks	SELL	27	32¢	$9	0x21a4e2…
04-24 00:06:34	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	Knicks	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x540a6d…
04-24 00:00:12	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x5f723e…
04-23 23:19:06	btc updown 5m 1776986100	Down	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0x3eb517…
04-23 23:16:36	btc updown 5m 1776986100	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x63ce9e…
04-23 23:14:06	btc updown 5m 1776985800	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x7709a6…
04-23 23:03:38	btc updown 5m 1776985200	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x9c23a8…
04-23 22:58:04	btc updown 5m 1776984900	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3861a9…
04-23 22:14:44	btc updown 5m 1776982200	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x4fd4f5…
04-22 00:14:06	nba phi bos 2026 04 21	Celtics	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xff1933…
04-21 06:34:06	nba phi bos 2026 04 21	Celtics	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xb3b47b…
04-20 23:43:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7dd8fa…
04-20 23:30:08	nba phi bos 2026 04 21	Celtics	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x7a8d4a…
04-12 19:32:49	Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0x228629…
04-12 19:31:57	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	270	100¢	$270	0xba32ce…
04-12 19:30:55	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	SELL	26	90¢	$24	0x50fd5b…
04-12 16:31:27	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x3dcdad…
04-12 16:28:59	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x8a93b7…
04-11 20:35:53	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xe41280…
04-07 22:54:11	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d4bcd…
04-07 22:07:59	will bitcoin reach 74k on april 7	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x479413…
04-07 22:07:31	will bitcoin reach 73k on april 7	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xbb7e26…
04-07 22:00:41	Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x2f04f2…
04-05 00:05:57	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xed88f2…
04-04 23:58:01	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb249ba…
04-04 23:56:25	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf460b9…
04-04 23:56:03	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe65386…
04-04 23:50:15	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x03400e…
04-04 23:48:11	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb40924…
04-04 23:46:29	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc00612…