Hot-Year — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

90.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-10 02:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

100% 50% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 10?	Yes		+16	$1	99¢	$16	+$15	05-10 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 10?	Yes		+9	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	05-10 02:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 02:21:47	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3cb770…
05-10 02:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x7fcfe6…
05-09 07:39:47	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	No	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0xf66098…
05-08 06:55:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8b844a…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	1	$10	0	25	-25	Yes	+$10	05-09 07:39
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$1	17	0	+17	No	$-1	05-08 06:55
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 10?	1	$1	16	0	+16	open	—	05-10 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 10?	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	05-10 02:21