Quaint-Dolor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$184

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$24

1 position

First seen

2026-05-07

last 06-21 02:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

44% — —

Politics

36% 50% +$17

Crypto

20% 14% $-24

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+25	$12	94¢	$24	+$12	06-21 02:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$58	51	25	+25	open	—	06-21 02:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$25	0	48	-48	open	—	06-12 18:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$24	23	23	+0	Yes	+$22	05-09 11:47
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$11	100	0	+100	open	—	05-07 03:04
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-12 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	05-08 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$7	20	0	+20	Down	$-7	05-08 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Up	$-5	05-07 03:25
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	1	$5	31	0	+31	No	$-5	05-07 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	$-5	05-07 03:11
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$5	27	0	+27	Up	$-5	05-08 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	$-5	05-07 03:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-07 03:31
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-13 04:46
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-12 05:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	05-12 05:29
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$0	1	0	+1	Up	$-0	05-08 18:27
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$0	0	15	-15	open	—	06-14 02:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 02:12:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	25	92¢	$23	0x3a384c…
06-14 02:29:13	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x60eaaf…
06-12 18:59:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	48	53¢	$25	0x27b9f8…
05-30 22:14:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	51	69¢	$35	0x17671d…
05-13 04:46:48	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xd7a1af…
05-12 05:34:49	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc9fd6d…
05-12 05:34:42	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xfa65a8…
05-12 05:34:12	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xa719ff…
05-12 05:29:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb65cae…
05-09 11:47:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xb02acd…
05-08 18:27:54	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x0a4512…
05-08 18:21:45	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xeee8c4…
05-08 18:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x50a38b…
05-08 18:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xf808ab…
05-08 18:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe27f9b…
05-08 18:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xf532a9…
05-07 03:31:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x01249c…
05-07 03:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xc5e8e9…
05-07 03:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x513c75…
05-07 03:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xb2e4fa…
05-07 03:04:39	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x8f5ce2…
05-07 03:04:25	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x48a6b5…
05-07 03:03:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x3ba783…