Both-Trial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$119

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 09-09 08:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

46% 56% -$123

Politics

40% 100% +$1

Tech

14% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	1	$158	158	0	+158	Yes	+$0	03-03 07:34
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	4	$124	100	100	+0	No	-$76	04-15 09:15
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$113	113	0	+113	Yes	+$0	04-07 02:32
Will qwen3.5-max-preview have the best AI model on May 23, 2026?	1	$99	99	0	+99	No	+$0	05-23 07:20
will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	1	$99	99	0	+99	No	+$0	06-14 01:09
will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	01-14 15:59
Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$59	59	0	+59	Yes	+$0	02-14 13:00
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?	2	$58	31	31	+0	Yes	-$3	07-19 02:04
us strikes iran by january 12 2026 314	1	$56	57	0	+57	No	+$0	01-13 02:19
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	1	$54	56	0	+56	Yes	+$2	05-04 09:36
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	1	$39	39	0	+39	Yes	-$39	06-07 11:30
iran leadership change by august 22	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	08-18 02:58
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	1	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	09-09 08:51
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	2	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	04-04 11:53
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	07-19 02:04
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	3	$5	180	0	+180	Yes	-$5	03-26 11:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 08:51:13	Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xb8d5f2…
08-18 02:58:06	iran leadership change by august 22	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xa61583…
07-19 02:04:40	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x601b77…
07-19 02:04:22	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?	No	SELL	31	88¢	$27	0x7a879d…
07-08 03:11:28	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x90b3c3…
06-14 01:09:04	will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x942589…
06-07 11:30:52	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xe47889…
05-23 07:20:09	Will qwen3.5-max-preview have the best AI model on May 23, 2026?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xb7d5a5…
05-04 09:36:32	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0xd28261…
04-15 09:15:46	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0x4a3367…
04-15 09:11:44	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x91198a…
04-15 09:07:56	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	24¢	$18	0x97e9bf…
04-07 02:34:57	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd34e71…
04-07 02:32:37	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xf13858…
04-04 11:53:31	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9f19b2…
04-04 11:46:01	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x862814…
03-26 11:53:03	Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xce60a0…
03-26 11:41:29	Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0xde80a9…
03-26 11:39:25	Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xa9e4ed…
03-03 07:34:15	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x7620ec…
02-14 13:00:45	Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0f3023…
02-10 16:10:59	Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x81752e…
01-14 15:59:52	will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x9d556b…
01-13 02:19:55	us strikes iran by january 12 2026 314	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0x961bdb…