Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.46K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

2,556

Trades

10,902

lifetime

Volume

$224.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-09

last 10-23 14:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 73% -$1,332

Politics

1% 0% -$24

Other

0% 0% -$104

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 1031 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	50	$1.4K	1,556	1,356	+200	Yes	-$24	09-08 08:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	28	$1.0K	543	493	+50	Down	+$6	10-16 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	49	$958	1,927	0	+1,927	Down	-$159	10-10 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	39	$817	1,475	40	+1,435	Up	+$27	10-10 22:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 00:30 UTC	23	$813	424	424	+0	Down	+$5	10-17 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	29	$790	1,163	40	+1,123	Up	-$76	10-11 12:44
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?	13	$771	4,224	4,224	+0	No	-$104	09-08 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	29	$742	1,142	0	+1,142	Down	-$109	10-10 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	30	$736	1,150	0	+1,150	Down	-$92	10-10 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	41	$725	1,424	0	+1,424	Down	+$83	10-09 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	30	$725	1,209	0	+1,209	Up	-$90	10-10 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	23	$697	997	0	+997	Up	-$313	10-15 20:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:15 UTC	19	$689	932	0	+932	Up	-$356	10-14 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	30	$645	1,465	14	+1,451	Down	-$192	10-11 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	33	$644	1,241	41	+1,200	Down	-$149	10-12 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	23	$627	925	0	+925	Down	-$109	10-11 13:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 00:15 UTC	9	$624	350	280	+70	Down	+$0	10-17 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	19	$603	732	0	+732	Down	-$153	10-10 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	22	$588	877	0	+877	Down	-$166	10-11 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	23	$557	885	0	+885	Up	+$34	10-10 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	21	$555	1,714	0	+1,714	Up	-$39	10-16 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	23	$549	936	0	+936	Down	+$14	10-10 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	21	$542	853	0	+853	Down	-$220	10-09 21:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 21:45 UTC	23	$537	1,449	0	+1,449	Down	+$254	10-16 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	23	$483	810	0	+810	Down	-$119	10-11 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	11	$482	551	0	+551	Down	-$81	10-12 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	17	$482	629	0	+629	Up	-$82	10-11 10:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 12:45 UTC	15	$464	592	0	+592	Down	-$64	10-11 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	20	$463	707	0	+707	Down	-$71	10-11 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	25	$459	665	47	+618	Down	-$100	10-10 10:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 14:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x9ed11f…
10-23 14:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x3ba68d…
10-23 14:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x9eebfc…
10-23 14:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x853a94…
10-23 14:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x23f3a4…
10-23 14:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xd45723…
10-23 14:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xeed836…
10-23 13:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x838a87…
10-23 13:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x571364…
10-23 13:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x74edc2…
10-23 13:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0xe02c22…
10-23 13:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x854eee…
10-23 13:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9d0318…
10-23 13:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8885ad…
10-23 12:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x6559d5…
10-23 12:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x894545…
10-23 12:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x4e441a…
10-23 12:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x9d9445…
10-23 11:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xcce5b8…
10-23 11:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x52a262…
10-23 11:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xbd21bf…
10-23 11:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x589880…
10-23 11:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xbc6c4d…
10-23 11:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xd363e4…
10-23 11:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x9b7301…
10-23 11:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x975c2b…
10-23 11:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x29d823…
10-23 10:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x443396…
10-23 10:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x63fdcb…
10-23 10:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xf91fd6…
10-23 09:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x9b1680…
10-23 09:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xd88d85…
10-23 09:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xdc1b22…
10-23 09:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x7cc3a2…
10-23 08:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x270c06…
10-23 08:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x5db5bc…
10-23 07:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x4bb808…
10-23 07:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x4cf709…
10-23 07:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x109404…
10-23 07:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x3a7b1b…
10-23 07:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x2256af…
10-23 06:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x31d699…
10-23 06:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x60517f…
10-23 06:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x990264…
10-23 06:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xa38827…
10-23 06:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xf05e62…
10-23 06:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xf11b33…
10-23 06:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xc4f3e1…
10-23 05:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x02315d…
10-23 04:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x0973dc…
10-23 04:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x31738e…
10-23 04:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x6b212d…
10-23 04:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xb0c4f0…
10-23 04:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xc5918b…
10-23 04:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xadfa63…
10-23 04:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x548b69…
10-23 04:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x62c35e…
10-23 04:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xf90bd3…
10-23 04:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xe1ca0c…
10-23 03:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x544983…
10-23 03:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x13c706…
10-23 03:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x7a96e3…
10-23 03:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x1e3be5…
10-23 03:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xe4b5a0…
10-23 03:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc86b7e…
10-23 03:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2f1427…
10-23 03:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb341aa…
10-23 03:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x746adb…
10-23 03:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc6c346…
10-23 03:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x170172…
10-23 03:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2c41a3…
10-23 02:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0xfa3fdd…
10-23 02:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x7708c9…
10-23 02:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x3721f9…
10-23 02:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x61b2a7…
10-23 02:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xadd9b0…
10-23 02:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x6a05de…
10-23 02:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x0fe298…
10-23 01:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xd249b4…
10-23 01:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x29c7ea…
10-23 01:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x8d6b63…
10-23 01:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x9ca915…
10-23 01:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x553b63…
10-23 01:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x802fb6…
10-23 01:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3ac533…
10-23 01:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe395ec…
10-23 01:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x300bda…
10-23 01:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xaee910…
10-23 01:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x51ca12…
10-23 01:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x95fb62…
10-23 01:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2fc51a…
10-23 01:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x2b109e…
10-23 01:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xbc83e6…
10-23 01:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xcac737…
10-23 01:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xc6e3bf…
10-23 01:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xea82db…
10-23 01:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x3dbdea…
10-23 01:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x6b9b66…
10-23 00:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x410b72…
10-23 00:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x48cd13…