Puzzled-Cinder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$135

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved

Trades

555

lifetime

Volume

$18.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-17 08:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-135

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 228 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	6	$624	811	360	+452	open	—	05-17 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	3	$405	431	431	+0	open	—	05-17 07:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	6	$405	354	276	+78	open	—	05-02 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	3	$300	540	0	+540	open	—	05-17 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	3	$300	589	0	+589	open	—	05-17 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	3	$300	472	0	+472	open	—	05-17 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$292	399	193	+206	open	—	05-02 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$257	371	205	+167	open	—	05-02 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$249	189	189	+0	open	—	05-16 05:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$246	147	147	+0	Up	+$46	05-07 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$240	399	0	+399	open	—	05-02 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$236	201	151	+50	open	—	05-02 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$225	443	0	+443	open	—	05-17 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$224	156	156	+0	open	—	05-16 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$214	153	143	+11	open	—	05-03 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$212	123	123	+0	Down	+$12	05-07 03:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	3	$209	199	199	+0	Up	+$9	05-06 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	5	$207	294	207	+88	open	—	05-17 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$202	193	193	+0	open	—	05-16 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	6	$201	312	0	+312	open	—	05-02 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	6	$200	334	109	+225	open	—	05-02 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$200	403	0	+403	open	—	05-17 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$200	496	0	+496	open	—	05-17 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$200	426	0	+426	Down	$-4	05-06 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$200	398	0	+398	Up	$-34	05-07 07:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$200	286	0	+286	open	—	05-17 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$200	281	0	+281	open	—	05-17 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$174	121	121	+0	open	—	05-03 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$171	127	127	+0	Down	$-29	05-07 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$163	127	127	+0	open	—	05-02 16:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 08:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x555d7b…
05-17 08:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xf2b952…
05-17 08:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	203	49¢	$100	0x1c0b5f…
05-17 08:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xf30c43…
05-17 08:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	47	54¢	$25	0x592573…
05-17 08:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x7a9be3…
05-17 08:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0x08b598…
05-17 08:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xf3aa11…
05-17 08:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x4c4a01…
05-17 08:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	160	62¢	$100	0xc4e868…
05-17 08:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x9152b3…
05-17 08:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	42	19¢	$8	0x6c33a6…
05-17 08:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x424c17…
05-17 08:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0x61407c…
05-17 08:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xc09f17…
05-17 07:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xe49889…
05-17 07:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x479653…
05-17 07:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x9f77d3…
05-17 07:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	207	15¢	$32	0xdd8c1d…
05-17 07:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	207	48¢	$100	0x0042d7…
05-17 07:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	264	38¢	$100	0x3c1e65…
05-17 07:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xe98b5d…
05-17 07:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x277222…
05-17 07:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0x7b5e25…
05-17 07:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xc7aafa…
05-17 07:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	431	48¢	$205	0x556d56…
05-17 07:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	209	48¢	$100	0xc57427…
05-17 07:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x11dedf…
05-17 07:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	99	9¢	$9	0x8d9d68…
05-17 07:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	99	25¢	$25	0x4aa9c5…
05-17 07:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x99cea9…
05-17 07:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xad957d…
05-17 07:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xf42f8c…
05-17 07:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xb3b585…
05-17 07:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0x6cdea8…
05-17 07:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0x8aa42e…
05-17 07:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x19f491…
05-17 07:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x7c4962…
05-17 07:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	360	34¢	$124	0x65c03c…
05-17 07:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0x769e35…
05-17 07:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	178	56¢	$100	0x5abca7…
05-17 07:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x005fae…
05-17 07:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xaafdf2…
05-17 07:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0xd48f3a…
05-17 06:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x360dd0…
05-17 06:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	245	41¢	$100	0xc5f975…
05-17 06:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	194	51¢	$100	0xed93b1…
05-17 06:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	140	72¢	$100	0x635986…
05-17 06:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	146	68¢	$100	0x1c3c18…
05-17 05:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x23bcea…
05-17 05:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x57c12a…
05-17 05:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x402125…
05-17 05:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	215	47¢	$100	0x024b27…
05-17 05:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x2da801…
05-17 05:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x05787f…
05-17 05:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	49	45¢	$22	0xd3791c…
05-17 05:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x8e61fb…
05-17 05:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x8d6124…
05-17 05:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xc52a81…
05-17 05:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xc0d1d8…
05-17 05:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0x0dc3ff…
05-17 04:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xc475cb…
05-17 04:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xbd51e5…
05-17 04:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x6ea75a…
05-17 04:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	44	45¢	$20	0x22e7fe…
05-17 04:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xa9e650…
05-17 04:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x7f8e6d…
05-17 04:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x23f14c…
05-17 04:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	46	58¢	$27	0x64587a…
05-17 04:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	53	48¢	$25	0xc61616…
05-17 04:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x998ba7…
05-17 04:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xa06add…
05-17 04:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x70b8bc…
05-17 04:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	87	27¢	$23	0x169001…
05-17 04:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xa4ebf6…
05-17 04:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x9b4c07…
05-17 04:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x6e5c21…
05-17 04:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa98e28…
05-17 04:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x6c2558…
05-17 04:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x7c8d70…
05-17 04:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x83e040…
05-17 03:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xa90bb0…
05-17 03:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xe8d559…
05-17 03:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0xc16ce7…
05-17 03:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xdbdcc9…
05-17 02:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	41	28¢	$12	0x8a0a65…
05-17 02:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0x0ef193…
05-17 02:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x413383…
05-17 02:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xc97cb9…
05-17 02:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x5a82d4…
05-17 02:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	42	82¢	$34	0xc9d0b8…
05-17 02:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	54	63¢	$34	0x0f4541…
05-17 02:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x89077b…
05-17 02:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x77e4f0…
05-17 02:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	52	21¢	$11	0x4a3cf0…
05-17 02:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xabe128…
05-17 02:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x044a85…
05-17 01:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	77	32¢	$25	0x3610b7…
05-17 01:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0x916398…
05-17 01:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	60	28¢	$17	0x9c8926…