Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$75

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

47.8%

Resolved

269

Trades

1,295

lifetime

Volume

$27.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$300

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 07-17 17:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Other

51% 42% -$696

Politics

37% 44% +$295

Crypto

9% 86% +$309

Tech

1% 56% +$28

Pop-Culture

1% 67% -$45

Sports

1% 100% +$34

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		+300	$172	97¢	$291	+$120	04-30 08:03
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No		+300	$126	3¢	$9	-$117	06-16 15:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 12:15 UTC	40	$978	600	599	+1	Up	+$19	01-08 12:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 12:30 UTC	31	$765	900	900	+0	Up	+$129	01-08 12:42
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	7	$667	537	537	+0	No	+$3	01-09 08:40
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	4	$539	300	300	+0	No	+$2	01-31 01:41
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	4	$490	300	300	+0	No	-$10	01-09 04:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 12:45 UTC	34	$479	500	500	+0	Down	+$71	01-08 12:55
evidence epstein blackmailed politicians released by jan 31	8	$470	500	600	-100	No	+$73	01-31 15:57
will melania opening weekend box office be greater than 5m	9	$456	440	680	-240	Yes	-$11	01-31 12:19
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	7	$417	372	228	+144	No	+$2	01-31 10:30
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	3	$385	200	200	+0	No	-$2	02-13 16:31
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	5	$373	200	200	+0	Yes	-$5	05-31 09:34
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	18	$366	750	150	+600	open	—	06-16 15:44
will there be between 14 and 17 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	2	$356	220	260	-40	No	-$32	01-28 06:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	7	$323	200	250	-50	No	-$33	05-29 16:05
will israel strike lebanon on january 13 2026	6	$302	300	300	+0	No	-$10	01-13 04:11
will zelenskyy attend the world economic forum	3	$284	200	100	+100	Yes	-$92	01-21 11:25
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	17	$279	300	277	+23	No	-$17	07-14 16:54
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	4	$266	200	200	+0	No	-$2	01-09 07:24
Will the US strike Syria next?	11	$266	128	200	-72	No	-$14	02-06 13:10
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	6	$253	350	350	+0	Yes	-$8	05-28 17:37
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	11	$248	190	190	+0	Yes	-$2	06-12 09:46
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	7	$246	250	250	+0	Yes	$0	04-07 12:05
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	6	$241	200	200	+0	Yes	-$1	05-20 11:56
ice shooter charged by march 31	6	$238	100	200	-100	No	-$22	01-09 08:34
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	3	$234	150	250	-100	Yes	-$44	04-20 07:10
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?	6	$228	240	240	+0	No	-$7	06-18 04:55
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$226	100	150	-50	No	-$5	03-24 15:24
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	5	$224	100	150	-50	No	-$6	03-08 12:24
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	5	$222	150	150	+0	No	+$0	03-10 10:09
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	8	$215	250	250	+0	open	—	05-28 18:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 17:19:18	Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x9f3e07…
07-16 14:03:04	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x284bcc…
07-16 14:02:35	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0xfef137…
07-14 16:54:16	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x7a55bb…
07-14 16:18:52	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x1abbc6…
07-14 11:16:46	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x0d5352…
07-14 07:45:59	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x41d147…
07-14 07:45:58	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	52¢	$44	0x87df60…
07-14 07:06:41	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xd65ec8…
07-14 01:21:20	Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xf40d7b…
07-14 01:21:07	Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x3cf5c9…
07-14 01:21:05	Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?	No	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x8013e4…
07-12 23:14:41	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	44¢	$2	0x106fc3…
07-12 23:14:40	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	43¢	$10	0xb4a79e…
07-12 23:08:19	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	44¢	$2	0x1684a2…
07-12 22:30:44	Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x3c4076…
07-12 22:25:11	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	No	SELL	116	43¢	$50	0x720962…
07-12 14:48:35	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xc1ea9c…
07-12 13:33:11	Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xd21eec…
07-12 12:44:07	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xb50c9a…
07-12 12:43:40	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$27	0x5c44fb…
07-12 09:05:10	Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x06a3d8…
07-12 08:49:29	Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x32ee82…
07-12 08:25:34	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x158cd5…
07-12 08:18:20	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xe4861c…
07-12 07:52:07	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x45ce40…
07-12 07:01:35	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0xe9b4a4…
07-12 06:14:46	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x1d2d66…
07-12 05:36:38	Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x3db3ed…
07-07 23:41:40	will rebels capture gao by december 31 20260706144440995	Yes	SELL	60	34¢	$20	0xf1f9b0…
07-07 14:43:53	will trump praise cristiano ronaldo by july 31 20260626214328042	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xec1ec6…
07-07 14:38:34	will trump praise cristiano ronaldo by july 31 20260626214328042	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xabe949…
07-07 13:38:41	mmm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 17 2026 2pt24	Yes	SELL	60	77¢	$46	0x55e5d8…
07-07 11:49:59	will rebels capture gao by december 31 20260706144440995	Yes	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x275cc1…
07-07 11:49:56	will rebels capture gao by december 31 20260706144440995	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xcd216a…
07-07 11:49:20	will rebels capture gao by december 31 20260706144440995	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x37b7f5…
07-07 11:49:16	will rebels capture gao by december 31 20260706144440995	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xc79cd5…
07-07 10:52:47	will trump praise cristiano ronaldo by july 31 20260626214328042	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xa66dbb…
07-07 10:13:26	will trump praise cristiano ronaldo by july 31 20260626214328042	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x38efc2…
07-07 10:07:22	mmm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 17 2026 2pt24	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xb6af80…
07-07 10:01:37	tfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 17 2026 1pt08	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xdcbf82…
07-07 10:01:17	tfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 17 2026 1pt08	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x249c00…
07-07 07:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x997855…
07-07 06:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 7?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x63ef25…
07-06 16:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xce3a9d…
07-06 15:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 7?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xae142d…
07-06 14:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x9ff115…
07-06 14:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 8?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe5eab2…
07-06 14:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf69e30…
06-26 16:26:47	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	40	35¢	$14	0x24b2ca…
06-26 12:01:16	will the announcers say freedom during the turkiye vs usa fifa world cup match 20260623182415019	Yes	SELL	34	94¢	$31	0x46c4db…
06-26 10:51:59	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0xac0d2c…
06-26 09:33:29	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xca2a24…
06-26 09:27:52	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x716eef…
06-25 16:08:40	Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	42¢	$20	0xb8911e…
06-25 16:08:14	Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x447b2b…
06-25 16:08:04	Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xc6f4e0…
06-25 12:42:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0xee13d8…
06-25 10:22:14	Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	39¢	$5	0x7c6336…
06-25 10:22:14	Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x08da22…
06-25 09:07:19	Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x9442fb…
06-25 08:36:58	Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	39¢	$27	0x6e8593…
06-25 08:36:56	Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x0f19fd…
06-25 08:33:35	Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x8b5866…
06-25 08:33:34	Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x4f6998…
06-25 08:31:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x72593e…
06-25 07:33:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	300	22¢	$66	0x832a06…
06-24 23:48:31	will the announcers say freedom during the turkiye vs usa fifa world cup match 20260623182415019	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$4	0x0f8435…
06-24 13:58:49	will the announcers say ronaldo during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809465	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x857f26…
06-24 12:10:28	will the announcers say freedom during the turkiye vs usa fifa world cup match 20260623182415019	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x10f4bd…
06-24 12:01:32	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa50ebe…
06-24 12:00:49	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x1d7e1d…
06-24 12:00:44	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xf5cb8f…
06-24 12:00:37	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x8a147f…
06-24 12:00:34	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0x583a69…
06-24 11:59:32	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0xded5f9…
06-24 11:59:04	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x209c8c…
06-24 11:59:04	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0x04c016…
06-24 01:21:37	Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	No	SELL	30	76¢	$22	0x0980f3…
06-23 22:27:52	Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?	No	SELL	18	75¢	$13	0x16c91a…
06-23 13:22:19	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x2a6e00…
06-23 12:59:34	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x63b43c…
06-23 12:50:26	Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x500809…
06-23 12:05:59	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xc29cb1…
06-23 11:27:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	85	13¢	$11	0x834f87…
06-23 11:24:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xcac114…
06-23 11:23:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xdd557f…
06-23 11:20:53	Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	No	BUY	26	73¢	$19	0xa412bc…
06-23 11:11:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	56	14¢	$8	0x475ed4…
06-23 10:56:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x21ac11…
06-23 10:41:50	Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 10–15%?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x6970b9…
06-23 10:41:29	Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?	No	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0x2f8dcc…
06-23 10:24:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x1c8b6d…
06-23 10:19:13	Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 10–15%?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x58f394…
06-21 16:06:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x88d102…
06-21 15:11:44	starmer out by august 31 2026 593 871 753 427 452	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xa9816a…
06-21 14:34:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xd28047…
06-19 14:08:43	Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	39	87¢	$34	0xee2967…
06-18 13:47:11	Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	39	87¢	$34	0x0ca435…
06-18 12:37:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x954afd…