Best-Repayment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$43

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-20 17:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

65% 67% +$43

Other

30% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes		-100	$-20	16¢	$-16	+$5	06-16 15:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?	5	$215	213	200	+13	open	—	01-09 21:29
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$134	100	100	+0	open	—	01-05 14:55
Canadiens vs. Sabres	1	$122	250	0	+250	open	—	05-18 20:52
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	2	$88	200	0	+200	open	—	05-26 12:34
cfl mtl edm 2026 06 20	1	$64	100	0	+100	open	—	06-20 17:22
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	1	$62	200	0	+200	open	—	05-28 15:34
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$60	100	0	+100	open	—	01-13 17:56
nhl las car 2026 06 04	1	$60	100	0	+100	open	—	06-05 00:04
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	1	$60	100	0	+100	open	—	06-02 22:17
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$60	100	0	+100	open	—	05-15 11:45
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$57	100	0	+100	Sabres	$-57	05-11 12:44
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	1	$57	100	0	+100	open	—	06-06 15:00
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$55	100	0	+100	open	—	06-06 15:00
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$54	100	0	+100	Canadiens	+$46	05-10 11:27
nhl car las 2026 06 09	5	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	06-05 01:27
nhl car las 2026 06 06	1	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	06-05 00:04
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	1	$51	100	0	+100	open	—	05-18 21:00
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	1	$50	500	0	+500	open	—	01-31 18:15
nhl car las 2026 06 14	2	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	06-11 14:36
Canadiens vs. Sabres	1	$49	100	0	+100	open	—	05-14 12:02
Canadiens vs. Sabres	1	$46	100	0	+100	Canadiens	+$54	05-08 19:31
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	1	$36	100	0	+100	open	—	05-19 17:12
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	1	$35	100	0	+100	open	—	05-22 11:02
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	1	$34	100	0	+100	open	—	06-05 14:30
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$32	100	0	+100	open	—	02-06 20:28
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	1	$30	50	0	+50	open	—	05-20 23:31
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$21	100	0	+100	open	—	01-12 02:24
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	1	$21	100	0	+100	open	—	06-14 20:53
AI bubble burst in 2026?	1	$20	0	100	-100	open	—	06-16 15:34
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	2	$14	30	0	+30	open	—	05-22 18:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 17:22:43	cfl mtl edm 2026 06 20	Montreal Alouettes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xfb82ae…
06-16 15:34:59	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x767622…
06-14 20:53:24	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x3ea927…
06-11 14:36:03	nhl car las 2026 06 14	Hurricanes	BUY	91	50¢	$46	0x164d75…
06-11 13:07:52	nhl car las 2026 06 14	Hurricanes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xada165…
06-06 15:00:40	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xa5bfdd…
06-06 15:00:34	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x173aa3…
06-05 14:30:40	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xf05d05…
06-05 01:27:36	nhl car las 2026 06 09	Hurricanes	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xcbcf66…
06-05 00:22:39	nhl car las 2026 06 09	Hurricanes	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x6ea56d…
06-05 00:21:39	nhl car las 2026 06 09	Hurricanes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xebb8ab…
06-05 00:18:22	nhl car las 2026 06 09	Hurricanes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x36fa11…
06-05 00:04:33	nhl car las 2026 06 09	Hurricanes	BUY	67	53¢	$35	0xf97100…
06-05 00:04:27	nhl car las 2026 06 06	Hurricanes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x715d10…
06-05 00:04:16	nhl las car 2026 06 04	Hurricanes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xbff7bb…
06-02 22:17:16	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x7ae432…
05-28 15:34:46	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x134c65…
05-26 12:34:39	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x2d8d7d…
05-22 18:03:10	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xe3e0bc…
05-22 12:27:24	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x22eb1f…
05-22 12:27:19	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x4327cf…
05-22 11:02:05	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x3fedc0…
05-20 23:31:44	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x22aa3f…
05-19 17:12:27	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x7be8ab…
05-18 21:00:14	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xb2106a…
05-18 20:52:18	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	250	49¢	$122	0xf305c8…
05-15 11:45:12	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x70c808…
05-14 12:02:01	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xd926ea…
05-11 12:44:20	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x75e4fa…
05-10 11:27:56	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x8726c1…
05-08 19:31:38	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xd9b1c7…
02-06 20:28:27	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x4ff71c…
02-01 16:05:50	will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xef38a9…
01-31 18:15:56	will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xf112ec…
01-13 17:56:05	Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xc3a11f…
01-12 02:24:30	Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x0948bc…
01-12 02:09:52	Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xd7d85a…
01-12 02:08:00	Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	78	21¢	$17	0x198fe2…
01-09 21:29:48	Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x6a10f0…
01-08 19:53:30	Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?	Yes	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0xa509a3…
01-08 17:17:54	Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xd544ba…
01-08 17:17:54	Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x05da4f…
01-08 17:14:44	Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xd7947f…
01-05 14:55:23	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0x4895c2…
01-05 12:34:29	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x185852…