Well-Informed-Ridge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$872

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.6%

Resolved

792

Trades

3,532

lifetime

Volume

$24.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 10-24 01:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Other

74% 27% -$899

Crypto

24% 93% -$152

Politics

2% 100% +$177

Sports

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$433	610	0	+610	Yes	+$177	08-21 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 8?	18	$121	137	80	+57	Yes	+$40	07-08 02:24
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 8?	10	$120	160	80	+80	No	-$5	07-07 08:20
Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on July 9?	19	$112	159	51	+107	Yes	+$4	07-08 21:59
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 26?	21	$111	135	75	+60	Yes	-$6	07-25 13:33
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 30?	11	$103	195	5	+190	No	-$4	06-29 14:45
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 9?	14	$103	142	53	+89	No	-$2	07-08 21:02
Ethereum above 2,020 on May 28, 8PM ET?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	05-28 23:02
ethereum above 2010 on may 28 2026 7pm et	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	-$100	05-28 22:00
Bitcoin above 72,800 on May 29, 12AM ET?	1	$89	90	0	+90	Yes	+$1	05-29 03:03
Bitcoin above 74,000 on May 29, 3AM ET?	1	$89	90	0	+90	No	+$1	05-29 06:03
bitcoin above 73200 on may 29 2026 6am et	1	$89	90	0	+90	Yes	+$1	05-29 09:01
Bitcoin above 73,200 on May 29, 8AM ET?	1	$89	90	0	+90	Yes	+$1	05-29 11:01
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 9?	14	$86	133	48	+85	No	-$4	08-08 16:25
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 12?	11	$85	104	64	+40	No	-$5	08-11 11:09
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 18?	11	$85	126	34	+92	Yes	-$5	07-17 01:51
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 26?	10	$82	115	35	+80	No	-$4	07-25 03:41
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on August 6?	18	$82	121	59	+62	No	-$6	08-05 17:38
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 22?	9	$82	120	40	+80	No	-$3	07-21 06:44
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 3?	11	$81	138	18	+120	Yes	+$2	07-02 17:22
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 8?	16	$80	161	84	+78	No	-$6	07-07 20:16
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 8?	11	$80	122	42	+80	No	-$5	08-06 17:49
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 14?	10	$79	120	40	+80	No	-$5	08-13 04:52
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 16?	12	$78	114	34	+80	No	+$1	08-15 11:12
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 2?	15	$75	109	42	+66	Yes	-$1	08-01 06:25
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	8	$73	150	19	+131	Yes	-$18	07-01 21:10
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 29?	9	$73	100	51	+49	No	-$1	07-28 05:54
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 31?	14	$72	81	73	+9	No	-$2	07-30 14:12
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 31?	14	$72	128	12	+116	No	-$1	07-29 10:54
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 9?	12	$70	115	35	+80	No	-$6	08-08 02:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 01:42:21	nba por sac 2026 10 23 threes deni avdija 4pt5	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x9f2d68…
10-24 01:41:09	nba lac lal 2026 10 23 threes sandro mamukelashvili 3pt5	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x390577…
10-24 01:39:59	nba lac lal 2026 10 23 threes quentin grimes 3pt5	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x247d05…
09-20 18:32:25	Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x8491d4…
08-24 20:25:27	where will it rain on august 24 2026 denver co	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xf5fc4b…
08-24 12:45:33	where will it rain on august 24 2026 denver co	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa3d99f…
08-24 12:34:42	where will it rain on august 24 2026 houston tx	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x02e505…
08-24 12:33:33	where will it rain on august 24 2026 chicago il	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xdd2a3a…
08-24 12:29:03	where will it rain on august 24 2026 new york ny	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0c8721…
08-24 12:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 25?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xc01757…
08-24 12:22:49	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x1de311…
08-24 12:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 25?	Yes	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0x9bcc51…
08-24 11:22:54	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x759cb0…
08-24 10:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x45bcdb…
08-24 09:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xa2d2a7…
08-24 09:46:36	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 25?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x932eda…
08-24 07:32:24	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 25?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xfe856b…
08-24 07:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 25?	No	BUY	18	60¢	$10	0x9f0491…
08-24 06:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 25?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x79fa98…
08-24 06:18:09	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xacf98e…
08-24 06:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 25?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xd55691…
08-24 06:12:12	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 25?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x502c06…
08-24 05:50:43	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x6740af…
08-24 05:34:30	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x7ac25a…
08-24 05:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xe57670…
08-24 05:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xa483d1…
08-24 05:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 25?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x455afe…
08-24 05:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 25?	No	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xf0b70d…
08-24 05:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x8ab717…
08-24 05:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x77541b…
08-24 04:55:19	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xf7dc2b…
08-24 04:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 25?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x69e010…
08-24 04:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xd281fe…
08-24 04:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xc09fad…
08-24 04:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	14	39¢	$6	0x86c5c1…
08-24 04:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xec3536…
08-24 04:23:55	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x4df5d9…
08-24 04:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 25?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x238b87…
08-24 04:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xf2d994…
08-24 04:20:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 25?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x55271a…
08-24 04:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 25?	No	SELL	10	67¢	$6	0x529e35…
08-24 04:20:13	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	35	37¢	$13	0xf920bd…
08-24 04:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x2f328e…
08-24 04:02:04	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xbb723c…
08-24 04:00:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xa25eb6…
08-24 03:55:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 25?	No	SELL	14	61¢	$9	0x8f372e…
08-24 03:55:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 25?	No	BUY	9	62¢	$5	0x9e8d50…
08-24 01:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x5e44eb…
08-24 01:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$6	0x3785cb…
08-24 01:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x85e489…
08-24 00:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x240e5f…
08-24 00:02:31	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x259c52…
08-24 00:01:48	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 25?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x96c508…
08-23 23:26:57	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xabe547…
08-23 22:42:21	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd7519d…
08-23 22:38:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 25?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xd6a447…
08-23 22:38:03	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa20c96…
08-23 22:05:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xea313b…
08-23 20:02:52	where will it rain on august 23 2026 miami fl	No	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0xa2b2b4…
08-23 20:02:52	where will it rain on august 23 2026 houston tx	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x1f4d92…
08-23 15:40:21	where will it rain on august 23 2026 new york ny	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x603d46…
08-23 14:25:54	where will it rain on august 23 2026 new york ny	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x3d04f0…
08-23 13:36:30	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 25?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x70347e…
08-23 13:34:48	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x1e1ea3…
08-23 13:25:22	where will it rain on august 23 2026 miami fl	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x50fde1…
08-23 13:21:43	where will it rain on august 23 2026 denver co	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5986fc…
08-23 12:56:01	where will it rain on august 23 2026 new york ny	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcb8f1e…
08-23 12:55:06	where will it rain on august 23 2026 new york ny	No	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x9045a1…
08-23 12:51:42	where will it rain on august 23 2026 houston tx	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0c2a2e…
08-23 12:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 24?	No	SELL	39	45¢	$18	0x515ecd…
08-23 07:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 25?	No	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0x6be5bf…
08-23 07:51:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xcb6bd0…
08-23 07:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 25?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x816128…
08-23 07:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 24?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x409111…
08-23 07:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 24?	No	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xcb3ce5…
08-23 04:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 24?	No	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x1aef8a…
08-23 04:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 24?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7f17f3…
08-23 04:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 24?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfd8a2e…
08-23 04:12:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on August 24?	No	SELL	13	59¢	$7	0x5708cb…
08-23 03:11:52	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on August 24?	No	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0xaa54be…
08-23 00:03:42	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on August 24?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xd3768d…
08-22 23:29:19	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xb1bf62…
08-22 23:20:21	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x8f3c9f…
08-22 22:37:33	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x17782a…
08-22 22:32:45	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on August 24?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xfdf089…
08-22 20:10:48	where will it rain on august 22 2026 new york ny	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xe3c46b…
08-22 15:29:00	where will it rain on august 22 2026 chicago il	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6f9b4f…
08-22 12:45:49	where will it rain on august 22 2026 los angeles ca	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x966b1e…
08-22 12:38:51	where will it rain on august 22 2026 new york ny	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x70162f…
08-22 12:08:12	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x30b909…
08-22 12:08:12	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on August 23?	No	SELL	16	53¢	$9	0x2e0002…
08-22 04:23:19	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on August 23?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x5ea72d…
08-22 04:22:13	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb2284e…
08-22 04:18:30	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x788d6d…
08-22 04:18:22	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x71865e…
08-22 04:17:52	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on August 23?	No	BUY	1	62¢	$0	0x2adc74…
08-22 04:17:40	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on August 23?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xcdfcb2…
08-22 04:17:40	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on August 23?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x7ab17c…
08-22 04:17:34	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on August 23?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xa930ce…
08-22 04:17:34	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on August 23?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x1816e1…