Bronze-Fog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

496

Trades

716

lifetime

Volume

$1.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 11-01 00:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 46% +$6

Other

47% 47% -$26

Politics

4% 40% $0

Sports

1% 60% -$4

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:25 UTC	2	$56	50	48	+2	Down	+$10	04-20 18:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	19	$37	44	44	+0	No	-$1	04-19 18:52
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	7	$31	22	22	+0	No	$0	04-17 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 30?	2	$31	54	54	+0	No	-$17	07-30 03:26
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:25 UTC	2	$30	31	30	+1	Down	+$3	04-20 18:26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?	1	$25	44	0	+44	Yes	+$19	06-26 00:01
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	14	$24	103	101	+3	Yes	+$9	04-19 01:32
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on July 9?	1	$23	38	0	+38	No	-$23	07-08 00:01
Chalon/Saone vs. Bourg-en-Bresse	5	$22	16	15	+0	Chalon/Saone	+$8	04-18 21:04
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 86°F or higher on May 26?	2	$21	23	0	+23	Yes	+$2	05-25 19:55
wta fernand sonmez 2026 04 16	4	$20	22	22	+0	Leylah Fernandez	+$4	04-16 20:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:05 UTC	5	$20	22	21	+1	Up	+$0	04-20 18:08
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on May 23?	2	$18	16	16	+0	Yes	-$3	05-23 02:31
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	6	$18	15	15	+0	No	$0	04-19 03:46
highest temperature in beijing on april 18 2026 25corbelow	9	$17	70	67	+3	No	$0	04-18 05:57
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?	2	$17	32	0	+32	Yes	+$15	06-20 14:06
highest temperature in tokyo on april 19 2026 25c	5	$17	64	61	+3	No	-$2	04-18 17:09
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on July 13?	2	$16	145	0	+145	No	-$16	07-12 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on November 2?	1	$16	39	0	+39	open	—	11-01 00:05
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 10?	3	$15	13	5	+8	Yes	+$3	05-10 07:27
Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 27?	1	$14	20	0	+20	Yes	+$6	08-26 12:57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on September 3?	3	$13	55	0	+55	No	-$13	09-02 05:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?	1	$13	18	0	+18	Yes	+$6	05-28 05:02
bitcoin above 76k on april 18	8	$13	17	16	+1	Yes	+$0	04-18 14:26
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	2	$13	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	06-25 15:10
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15?	1	$12	20	0	+20	Yes	+$8	10-14 00:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 14:35 UTC	4	$12	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	04-21 14:35
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on July 21?	1	$12	18	0	+18	No	-$12	07-20 16:16
highest temperature in mexico city on april 19 2026 26c	2	$11	18	17	+1	No	+$1	04-18 13:48
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:05 UTC	1	$11	22	0	+22	Up	-$11	04-20 18:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 00:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on November 2?	Yes	BUY	39	40¢	$16	0xcf97f2…
10-14 00:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x1288b7…
09-25 06:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 26?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa67a5a…
09-21 18:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 22?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd97610…
09-18 00:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18?	Yes	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0x24b3c4…
09-02 05:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on September 3?	Yes	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x61074d…
09-02 05:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on September 3?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xfb8de4…
09-02 05:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on September 3?	Yes	BUY	49	24¢	$12	0x2c55e5…
08-26 12:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 27?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x5ee8d3…
08-22 18:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on August 23?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$3	0xa8834e…
08-22 04:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on August 23?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x0943f6…
08-21 11:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc9dc85…
08-20 05:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 21?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x128483…
08-18 03:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 77°F or below on August 19?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1338e4…
08-06 23:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on August 7?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd51b50…
08-06 13:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd22670…
08-05 00:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 6?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x9feb73…
08-04 00:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6bc708…
08-04 00:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x11d468…
08-02 09:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xd6c3b5…
08-01 14:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on August 2?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x67c006…
08-01 00:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on August 2?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5a12dd…
07-30 03:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 30?	Yes	SELL	54	13¢	$7	0x38544e…
07-29 16:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 30?	Yes	BUY	54	45¢	$24	0x59b4f2…
07-20 16:16:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on July 21?	Yes	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x8f2301…
07-12 07:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on July 13?	Yes	BUY	110	12¢	$13	0x685f99…
07-12 06:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on July 13?	Yes	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0xffe844…
07-08 00:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on July 9?	Yes	BUY	38	62¢	$23	0x30e5f9…
06-30 03:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or below on July 1?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb20cf3…
06-30 00:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or below on July 1?	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x7b339c…
06-26 00:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?	Yes	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x8f3396…
06-25 15:10:31	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0xd36b08…
06-25 13:28:04	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x8fbf98…
06-24 00:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?	Yes	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0x67d791…
06-23 20:16:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x38bc1c…
06-22 03:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 22?	Yes	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0x2ac76f…
06-21 00:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 22?	Yes	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xca2aa0…
06-20 14:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?	Yes	BUY	16	53¢	$8	0x7fb246…
06-20 12:07:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?	Yes	BUY	16	53¢	$8	0x95a6b4…
06-01 14:24:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x5e7c47…
06-01 00:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x13d296…
05-31 23:43:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 92°F or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x849fb7…
05-31 23:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 1?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x239a90…
05-31 23:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xfabe83…
05-31 21:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x519b30…
05-31 12:13:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 92°F or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa96791…
05-31 05:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 94°F or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf0dc03…
05-30 06:32:11	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 31?	Yes	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0x72a53b…
05-30 02:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x476f1e…
05-30 00:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0x8ebd89…
05-30 00:41:53	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6b69e3…
05-30 00:41:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc971a4…
05-29 02:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xb30d8b…
05-28 05:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0x6a339d…
05-25 19:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 86°F or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x29441b…
05-25 19:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 86°F or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x51fe80…
05-23 02:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on May 23?	Yes	SELL	16	47¢	$7	0x064d38…
05-22 22:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on May 23?	Yes	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0xd91bab…
05-21 08:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 87°F or below on May 21?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9d4962…
05-17 12:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xda39d1…
05-10 07:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 10?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x985cbf…
05-09 01:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 10?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x1901f4…
05-08 17:42:38	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 10?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xa2a7ac…
05-08 13:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 76°F or higher on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x16dad9…
04-22 17:00:06	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf3ae6f…
04-22 16:00:08	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9356c6…
04-22 16:00:08	bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3a978b…
04-22 16:00:04	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-22 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa3c3f4…
04-22 15:50:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa19d3e…
04-21 20:29:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x75b7cb…
04-21 17:50:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf57d33…
04-21 17:25:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xe01c13…
04-21 17:10:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf6009a…
04-21 15:39:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x258b45…
04-21 15:10:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xcecb87…
04-21 15:10:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9de0df…
04-21 15:07:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x6d1f4e…
04-21 15:00:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x9378b8…
04-21 15:00:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xa8b097…
04-21 15:00:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x028b42…
04-21 14:40:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xa06780…
04-21 14:35:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 14:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x3f71b3…
04-21 14:35:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 14:35 UTC	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x94ad24…
04-21 14:35:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xe14277…
04-21 14:35:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x6dabba…
04-21 13:13:40	Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x9f6727…
04-21 13:05:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x259007…
04-21 12:45:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x31bed8…
04-21 12:38:26	dota2 xtreme vg 2026 04 21	Xtreme Gaming	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdcd26c…
04-21 12:20:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xeea9ea…
04-21 12:05:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbba694…
04-21 11:50:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd5915a…
04-21 11:47:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xcb20cc…
04-21 11:45:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1ae682…
04-21 11:30:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4066d6…
04-21 11:10:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x981751…
04-21 11:06:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2b786c…
04-21 10:50:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x60f1b3…
04-21 06:55:18	Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x2d7a6b…
04-21 05:23:26	Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x0edd4c…