Elementary-Spelt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$301

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

714

Trades

839

lifetime

Volume

$32.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 08-08 07:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Other

92% 74% -$380

Politics

8% 56% +$79

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	4	$618	334	334	+0	No	+$18	06-01 02:40
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	5	$476	256	256	+0	No	+$36	06-01 02:40
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	3	$470	272	272	+0	No	+$70	05-30 02:00
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	4	$445	236	236	+0	No	+$25	06-01 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?	3	$429	230	230	+0	No	+$29	06-05 08:05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 6?	3	$418	222	222	+0	No	+$18	06-06 06:17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7?	3	$415	215	215	+0	No	+$15	06-07 12:48
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 6?	3	$414	214	214	+0	No	+$14	06-06 11:12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 5?	4	$404	215	214	+0	No	+$4	06-05 06:36
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 7?	2	$398	200	200	+0	No	-$2	06-07 04:09
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 7?	3	$391	211	211	+0	No	-$9	06-07 04:12
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 7?	3	$299	216	110	+106	No	+$5	06-07 16:48
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 7?	3	$296	221	116	+105	No	+$1	06-07 17:04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	2	$258	160	160	+0	No	+$58	06-05 08:05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 7?	2	$217	117	117	+0	No	+$17	06-07 12:48
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on August 2?	2	$214	136	136	+0	No	+$14	08-02 13:17
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 6?	2	$212	113	113	+0	No	+$12	06-06 23:39
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 6?	2	$212	114	114	+0	No	+$12	06-06 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 5?	2	$211	111	111	+0	No	+$11	06-05 06:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$209	110	110	+0	No	+$9	06-01 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on June 6?	2	$209	109	109	+0	No	+$9	06-06 11:12
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 5?	2	$207	108	108	+0	No	+$7	06-05 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 8?	2	$206	113	113	+0	No	+$6	06-08 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 6?	2	$206	106	106	+0	No	+$6	06-06 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 5?	2	$205	106	106	+0	No	+$5	06-05 06:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$205	105	105	+0	No	+$5	06-01 02:39
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 9?	2	$205	106	106	+0	No	+$5	06-09 17:18
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 8?	2	$204	104	104	+0	No	+$4	06-09 07:35
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 8?	2	$203	110	110	+0	No	+$3	06-08 16:10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 6?	2	$202	103	103	+0	No	+$2	06-06 07:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 07:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 8?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x937a17…
08-08 07:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x4e9c06…
08-08 01:51:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0x97af43…
08-07 06:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on August 7?	No	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0x404f5a…
08-07 02:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x17a4b9…
08-06 06:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on August 6?	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x663bf3…
08-06 02:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	22	74¢	$16	0xc4b0e9…
08-04 06:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x00d3e4…
08-04 06:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on August 4?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xe176fb…
08-04 06:30:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xd3d86e…
08-04 02:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 4?	No	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xbdce70…
08-03 10:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 3?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x787955…
08-03 06:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3?	No	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x726dac…
08-02 13:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on August 2?	No	SELL	136	84¢	$114	0xc7f0da…
08-02 10:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on August 2?	Yes	SELL	23	27¢	$6	0x1970e0…
08-02 06:49:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xaa9376…
08-02 06:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on August 2?	No	BUY	136	74¢	$100	0x3955d2…
08-02 06:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 2?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xe8ca20…
08-02 06:48:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xaf7386…
08-02 06:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 2?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xc1e5e3…
08-02 06:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 2?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x39d880…
08-01 10:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 1?	No	SELL	136	65¢	$88	0xff45b5…
08-01 08:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xadb60d…
08-01 05:55:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 1?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x58a543…
08-01 05:54:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 1?	No	BUY	136	74¢	$100	0xa4d120…
08-01 05:54:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 1?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x064b0e…
08-01 05:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on August 1?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x65372a…
08-01 05:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on August 1?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x58070d…
08-01 05:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 1?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xd33681…
07-31 06:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	177	56¢	$100	0xfca78d…
07-31 06:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 31?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x1f0875…
07-31 06:29:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 31?	No	BUY	115	73¢	$84	0x14b60e…
07-31 06:29:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 31?	No	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xa42563…
07-31 06:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on July 31?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x0d8f61…
07-31 06:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 31?	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x54be52…
07-30 06:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x1784a6…
07-30 06:40:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x299630…
07-30 06:34:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 30?	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xf35eaf…
07-30 06:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 30?	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xd84609…
07-30 06:32:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on July 30?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x7850cd…
07-30 06:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 30?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x7e54ce…
07-30 02:05:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 30?	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xa5c1d9…
07-30 02:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 30?	No	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x439c3b…
07-30 02:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 30?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x0e911a…
07-30 02:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on July 30?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x3944ae…
07-30 02:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x349f62…
07-30 02:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x3c8671…
07-30 02:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 30?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xf76149…
07-30 02:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 30?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x5d9649…
07-29 06:28:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x7cd47c…
07-29 06:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 29?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xa4dba9…
07-29 06:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on July 29?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x641448…
07-29 02:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 29?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x48c41a…
07-29 02:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 29?	No	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0x18fca5…
07-29 02:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 29?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x40644f…
07-29 02:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 29?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x99d1ee…
07-29 02:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 29?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x25abde…
07-29 02:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 29?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xbc961f…
07-28 06:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 28?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xc8f1c9…
07-28 06:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 28?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xf64479…
07-28 06:52:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 28?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x045264…
07-28 06:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 28?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xf01fad…
07-28 06:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 28?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x01ebbe…
07-28 06:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 28?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xdb131b…
07-28 02:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 28?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x6e1463…
07-28 02:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 28?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xd28402…
07-28 02:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 28?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x467340…
07-28 02:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 28?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x427a33…
07-28 02:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 28?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x4c0ba5…
07-28 02:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 28?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6fc028…
07-27 05:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 27?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x44b5e3…
07-27 05:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 27?	No	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0x76872e…
07-27 02:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 27?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xb80000…
07-26 07:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on July 26?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x7680ba…
07-26 07:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 26?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x4c3917…
07-26 07:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 26?	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x74c68e…
07-26 02:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 26?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xbfb321…
07-25 06:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 25?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x2c5b08…
07-25 06:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 25?	No	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x69cc8e…
07-25 06:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 25?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x3fddcd…
07-25 02:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 25?	No	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x71bc1a…
07-24 07:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 24?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x5708aa…
07-24 07:24:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x5f4dd4…
07-24 07:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 24?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x6d0673…
07-24 02:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 24?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x6ef807…
07-24 02:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 24?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x17d7f5…
07-24 02:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 24?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x801b9d…
07-24 02:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 24?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd5e569…
07-24 02:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 24?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xd759c3…
07-24 02:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 24?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xc6dfbe…
07-24 02:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 24?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x06e2f9…
07-23 06:32:01	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 23?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xa34efe…
07-23 06:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 23?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x40aa3f…
07-23 06:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 23?	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x75acbc…
07-23 06:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 23?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x857352…
07-22 07:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 22?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x578e0c…
07-22 07:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 22?	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x349686…
07-22 07:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 22?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x9d09ef…
07-22 07:19:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x38f007…
07-22 07:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 22?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x688e48…