Complicated-Lyocell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.8%

Resolved

Trades

214

lifetime

Volume

$9.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 08-04 11:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 63% +$23

Other

30% 100% +$3

Politics

24% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum reach 2100 in june 2026	4	$440	240	240	+0	open	—	06-18 18:34
bitcoin above 62k on august 4 2026	2	$322	174	174	+0	open	—	08-04 11:17
will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	2	$318	170	170	+0	open	—	08-01 07:21
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$264	139	139	+0	open	—	08-01 07:21
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	3	$251	138	138	+0	open	—	06-27 22:36
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	2	$237	127	127	+0	open	—	07-24 07:13
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	5	$229	124	124	+0	open	—	06-20 19:27
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	2	$211	115	115	+0	open	—	06-18 12:39
will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	2	$210	115	115	+0	open	—	06-14 16:11
will ethereum dip to 1500 june 29 july 5 2026	4	$210	115	115	+0	open	—	07-02 13:25
will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	3	$208	112	112	+0	open	—	07-01 15:25
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	2	$200	107	107	+0	open	—	07-24 11:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$181	97	97	+0	open	—	05-27 16:37
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	5	$173	119	119	+0	open	—	06-15 00:12
will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	2	$168	87	87	+0	open	—	07-27 17:15
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	2	$155	83	83	+0	open	—	06-26 22:58
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	2	$147	79	79	+0	open	—	07-11 23:49
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals harry kane gte2	2	$147	79	79	+0	open	—	07-11 23:03
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	1	$145	165	0	+165	open	—	08-02 05:32
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	2	$143	78	78	+0	open	—	07-27 23:49
wnba min tor 2026 07 30	1	$138	160	0	+160	open	—	07-30 23:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$133	71	71	+0	open	—	05-23 21:31
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$132	71	71	+0	open	—	05-23 01:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	5	$131	514	487	+26	open	—	04-26 11:03
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$129	68	68	+0	open	—	05-31 19:18
iran full airspace closure by august 15	1	$125	142	0	+142	open	—	08-02 02:28
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	2	$124	65	65	+0	open	—	05-26 13:36
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$122	64	64	+0	open	—	05-30 05:30
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$119	63	63	+0	open	—	05-31 00:56
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$112	70	70	+0	open	—	06-16 13:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 11:17:24	bitcoin above 62k on august 4 2026	Yes	SELL	174	98¢	$172	0xee40b8…
08-02 05:32:11	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	165	88¢	$145	0xcbcd02…
08-02 05:31:03	bitcoin above 62k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	174	86¢	$150	0xd314db…
08-02 02:28:20	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	142	88¢	$125	0x6a17cb…
08-01 07:21:11	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0xc61021…
08-01 07:21:11	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x1c8f55…
07-31 03:32:15	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x375f08…
07-30 23:40:03	wnba min tor 2026 07 30	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	160	86¢	$138	0x379d80…
07-28 07:27:07	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	No	BUY	170	87¢	$148	0xb5109a…
07-28 07:26:34	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	139	90¢	$125	0x1c035d…
07-28 07:23:57	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0x29e4c6…
07-27 23:49:13	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	78	98¢	$77	0xa99550…
07-27 17:15:48	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0xc13e5a…
07-24 11:50:28	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	107	97¢	$104	0x7b2d51…
07-24 07:56:39	will ethereum reach 2000 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0xbe9ae9…
07-24 07:56:06	will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	92	88¢	$81	0xa75017…
07-24 07:55:31	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	87	92¢	$81	0xfaab5b…
07-24 07:54:57	bitcoin above 64k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0xac7470…
07-24 07:13:33	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	SELL	127	97¢	$123	0x070705…
07-19 20:14:00	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	127	90¢	$114	0x9a7b4c…
07-19 20:13:27	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	16	86¢	$13	0x2eabbd…
07-19 20:12:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals mikel merino gte1	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xa41974…
07-15 21:11:04	lol sen gen 2026 07 16	Gen.G	BUY	90	93¢	$84	0x708326…
07-15 21:10:31	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	120	85¢	$102	0x42287a…
07-11 23:49:04	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0xdb57a9…
07-11 23:03:04	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals harry kane gte2	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x84db6c…
07-11 14:26:22	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals harry kane gte2	No	BUY	79	86¢	$68	0xf45a42…
07-11 14:25:49	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	No	BUY	79	86¢	$68	0xa7f13e…
07-11 14:23:05	will bitcoin reach 68k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x2fc8b9…
07-07 02:33:01	will bitcoin reach 68k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	32	89¢	$29	0x9448c0…
07-04 17:51:41	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	59	48¢	$28	0xaa7bdd…
07-02 15:32:20	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	107	89¢	$96	0xe5606b…
07-02 14:04:04	bitcoin above 62k on july 2 2026	No	SELL	51	58¢	$30	0x4fb95b…
07-02 13:25:40	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	17	96¢	$17	0x89b860…
07-02 13:24:13	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0xe4759b…
07-02 13:24:05	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	80	96¢	$77	0x52b888…
07-02 02:53:32	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	78	86¢	$67	0x4cd4c8…
07-02 02:52:56	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x1838c4…
07-02 02:15:40	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x47c382…
07-01 22:47:29	bitcoin above 62k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	51	89¢	$46	0xb1da23…
07-01 18:41:55	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	59	89¢	$52	0x6664fc…
07-01 15:25:07	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	107	96¢	$103	0x4e4c71…
07-01 15:24:46	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x48e154…
07-01 13:22:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x743bd2…
07-01 10:52:46	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0xd94a80…
07-01 06:43:02	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x5b5768…
06-30 23:45:17	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xfc9abc…
06-30 15:33:37	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	No	BUY	53	85¢	$45	0xf5a7c6…
06-30 15:31:41	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 30	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x17be3a…
06-30 10:27:44	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 30	No	BUY	51	87¢	$44	0xc93f6a…
06-30 02:19:47	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xaced29…
06-29 21:59:44	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x393807…
06-29 18:15:07	wta muchova zakharo 2026 06 29	Karolina Muchova	SELL	30	96¢	$28	0xa09157…
06-29 18:14:25	wta muchova zakharo 2026 06 29	Karolina Muchova	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf3d95c…
06-28 16:08:19	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 25	No	SELL	44	97¢	$42	0x745b99…
06-28 00:21:35	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	59	88¢	$52	0x0e614d…
06-27 23:26:01	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 27	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xe6f206…
06-27 22:58:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0x4897cb…
06-27 22:57:52	wta muchova zakharo 2026 06 29	Karolina Muchova	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x16a06e…
06-27 22:36:37	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	SELL	138	96¢	$133	0x7eec09…
06-27 19:53:43	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 27	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xf19564…
06-27 15:15:04	ethereum above 1600 on june 27 2026	No	SELL	43	12¢	$5	0x471496…
06-27 15:15:02	ethereum above 1600 on june 27 2026	No	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x27a175…
06-27 08:13:38	ethereum above 1600 on june 27 2026	No	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0x2121ea…
06-27 03:18:40	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	25	43¢	$11	0x8740c9…
06-27 03:08:28	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0xa23016…
06-27 03:08:28	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x708f4c…
06-27 03:08:28	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x55aed6…
06-26 22:58:16	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	83	97¢	$81	0xc61b09…
06-26 15:54:55	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	44	89¢	$39	0x50c32a…
06-26 12:40:32	ethereum above 1600 on june 26 2026	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x25591f…
06-26 01:10:44	ethereum above 1600 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xe2cacb…
06-23 08:32:10	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x001195…
06-21 16:22:01	israel closes its airspace by july 15	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xcc952a…
06-21 03:56:14	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x0a1a3b…
06-20 21:26:07	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0x083a8d…
06-20 19:27:32	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	124	97¢	$119	0x2bc221…
06-19 08:33:16	bitcoin above 64k on june 19 2026	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x877745…
06-19 07:05:10	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0xb3ea77…
06-19 03:19:58	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x10f634…
06-19 03:13:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	32	88¢	$28	0x795769…
06-19 03:08:13	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0x55fe2d…
06-19 03:04:56	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	38	89¢	$34	0x903010…
06-19 02:12:38	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x27baba…
06-18 22:55:08	bitcoin above 64k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xcbbd74…
06-18 20:33:55	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0x53f1df…
06-18 19:31:28	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	83	89¢	$74	0xba22f3…
06-18 18:34:43	will ethereum reach 2100 in june 2026	No	SELL	240	97¢	$233	0xbace15…
06-18 14:24:02	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x37216c…
06-18 14:23:47	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xd096ee…
06-18 14:23:40	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x73b018…
06-18 14:20:19	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x12fe1e…
06-18 13:41:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	30	46¢	$14	0x7f8114…
06-18 13:15:55	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x3cba50…
06-18 12:39:07	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	SELL	115	97¢	$111	0x6ed68d…
06-16 13:56:29	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0xc4a987…
06-16 12:31:31	will ethereum reach 2100 in june 2026	No	BUY	82	85¢	$70	0x2c38bb…
06-16 00:40:49	will ethereum reach 2100 in june 2026	No	BUY	79	87¢	$69	0x82be9c…
06-16 00:18:24	will ethereum reach 2100 in june 2026	No	BUY	78	87¢	$69	0x74899a…
06-15 02:13:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x82645f…