Limited-Warlord — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$146

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

92.5%

Resolved

104

Trades

147

lifetime

Volume

$23.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$157

Open exposure

$56

1 position

First seen

2026-04-29

last 10-24 03:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

51% 100% +$93

Politics

26% 89% +$28

Crypto

17% 100% +$5

Tech

4% 100% +$11

Sports

1% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Solana dip to $60 in October?	No		+56	$56	100¢	$56	+$0	10-24 03:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$1.7K	885	885	+0	No	+$15	05-31 09:55
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$1.7K	851	851	+0	No	-$4	05-03 13:41
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	21	$1.6K	930	930	+0	No	+$30	05-01 16:00
Will CZ post 200+ posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$845	846	0	+846	No	+$1	05-06 06:44
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 2?	1	$839	840	0	+840	No	+$1	05-02 02:47
iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	3	$752	377	377	+0	No	+$2	08-01 05:30
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$613	614	0	+614	No	+$1	04-29 12:43
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	2	$591	598	0	+598	No	+$6	05-27 06:18
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21?	1	$549	555	0	+555	No	+$6	08-17 02:30
will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	1	$494	500	0	+500	No	+$6	06-27 01:14
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?	1	$454	454	0	+454	No	+$0	05-01 00:11
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	1	$398	400	0	+400	No	+$2	07-02 07:27
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	3	$375	200	200	+0	No	+$6	06-16 18:20
Trump out as President by August 31?	1	$368	369	0	+369	No	+$1	08-24 07:50
Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	1	$347	348	0	+348	No	+$1	07-16 03:56
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$330	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$8	06-11 09:40
will wti dip to 50 by july 20 2026	1	$319	323	0	+323	No	+$4	07-17 22:17
Will Chainlink dip to $2 in May?	1	$319	319	0	+319	No	+$0	05-31 11:15
will wti reach 110 by august 10 2026	1	$315	322	0	+322	No	+$7	08-08 03:11
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	3	$297	303	0	+303	No	+$6	07-22 20:26
Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$297	300	0	+300	No	+$3	06-24 01:52
will open dip to 3 25 by july 13 2026	1	$289	289	0	+289	No	+$0	07-16 03:57
xrp above 1pt6 on july 4 2026	1	$271	271	0	+271	No	+$0	07-02 07:26
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?	3	$254	257	0	+257	No	+$4	06-15 08:56
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	3	$252	256	0	+256	Yes	+$4	06-05 07:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$243	245	0	+245	No	+$2	09-02 06:20
dtrump out as president by september 30	1	$235	239	0	+239	No	+$4	09-05 02:55
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$213	110	110	+0	open	—	10-21 16:52
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$211	211	0	+211	No	+$0	05-31 11:14
Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$209	209	0	+209	No	+$0	08-01 16:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 03:31:21	Will Solana dip to $60 in October?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xe6cedb…
10-23 22:15:17	will open close between 5 and 6 week october 30 2026	No	BUY	162	99¢	$160	0xa69f0b…
10-22 06:50:32	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.25 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xb0c5b7…
10-22 06:47:29	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.70 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xdb7296…
10-21 16:52:38	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	110	98¢	$108	0xdc4428…
10-21 13:39:32	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.70 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9a7a42…
10-21 13:36:30	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xe04fe1…
10-16 17:45:06	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xaa89ef…
10-16 17:44:32	Will Solana dip to $50 October 12-18?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x03654f…
10-16 06:32:57	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.00 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x1e116e…
10-13 06:13:12	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	110	96¢	$105	0xda7e30…
10-13 05:58:15	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xcad6e0…
10-13 05:57:55	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x97c7e0…
10-13 05:57:18	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.75 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xfeb79b…
10-12 19:51:09	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 12 above $1.00?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x46306b…
10-11 15:06:27	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xe545d8…
10-11 15:06:01	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 12 above $4.00?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1f5405…
10-11 15:05:42	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcfe805…
09-05 02:55:19	dtrump out as president by september 30	No	BUY	239	98¢	$235	0xf570e5…
09-02 06:43:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd5cef2…
09-02 06:41:49	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $120-$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 31 – Sep 4?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xf27034…
09-02 06:28:22	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x59b03f…
09-02 06:25:42	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0xe90a5a…
09-02 06:25:03	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	163	99¢	$161	0xc36a5a…
09-02 06:20:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	245	99¢	$243	0xd8fdc6…
09-02 06:20:01	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0xb8c467…
08-24 07:50:13	Trump out as President by August 31?	No	BUY	369	100¢	$368	0xc42900…
08-24 07:24:39	Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xa58863…
08-17 02:30:28	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21?	No	BUY	555	99¢	$549	0x77b033…
08-08 03:11:24	will wti reach 110 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	322	98¢	$315	0xcee9eb…
08-08 03:08:00	will open dip to 1 75 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x26bffb…
08-08 03:06:30	nflx above 30 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xa0c460…
08-08 03:06:09	nflx above 120 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xa83af6…
08-08 03:05:16	nflx above 20 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x2836ad…
08-08 03:04:39	nflx above 130 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xfa52ba…
08-08 03:04:22	nflx above 10 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x4a10b8…
08-08 03:03:42	open above 6pt5 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x99bde2…
08-08 03:03:24	open above 1 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x82f10e…
08-08 03:03:06	open above 0pt5 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x688ff9…
08-06 13:40:00	will open reach 5 00 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x938e93…
08-06 13:37:20	will ng reach 3 40 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc4d846…
08-05 08:15:51	nflx above 40 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x167dcc…
08-05 08:15:05	open above 6 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x26b256…
08-05 08:13:21	will ng reach 3 30 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0ffe8c…
08-05 08:06:20	nflx above 40 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0b2192…
08-01 16:10:30	Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0x8a9de0…
08-01 16:09:57	Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0xe4b323…
08-01 16:08:42	Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x2050af…
08-01 16:08:15	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x9e636a…
08-01 05:30:18	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	377	100¢	$377	0x6090c3…
08-01 05:19:42	will solana dip to 10 in august 2026	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x623342…
07-31 06:22:26	will ethena dip to 0pt04 in july	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x76d98d…
07-31 06:21:57	will ethena reach 0pt16 in july	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xb91cef…
07-27 13:38:48	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xec6627…
07-26 18:28:16	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x52812b…
07-26 14:07:52	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x93dadb…
07-22 20:26:27	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x2e7ad6…
07-22 19:19:07	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x95a026…
07-22 15:01:04	will ng dip to 2 20 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xc01389…
07-22 15:00:16	open above 3 on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xfbab21…
07-22 14:57:55	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xc9d806…
07-17 22:17:48	will wti dip to 50 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	323	99¢	$319	0xcd6ab6…
07-17 05:50:28	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0xbdde86…
07-16 03:57:40	will open dip to 3 25 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	289	100¢	$289	0x314693…
07-16 03:56:29	Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	348	100¢	$347	0xc47674…
07-16 03:54:13	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x11c2a9…
07-16 03:50:44	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xb4cc3c…
07-12 08:33:59	open above 7 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x41f2e6…
07-12 01:40:53	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc66356…
07-12 01:40:05	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xea9fcc…
07-12 01:39:44	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x63f22d…
07-09 01:41:44	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at >$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xae8c71…
07-09 01:40:32	spcx above 185 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xb67ab2…
07-02 07:27:35	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	400	99¢	$398	0xcf1ada…
07-02 07:26:32	xrp above 1pt6 on july 4 2026	No	BUY	271	100¢	$271	0xac3583…
07-02 07:26:16	xrp above 1pt5 on july 4 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x89b363…
07-02 07:25:35	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on July 4?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3e6228…
06-27 01:14:11	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	No	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0x4ac8c8…
06-24 01:52:40	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x74fccc…
06-20 11:13:11	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x12b4fd…
06-20 11:12:40	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb6c289…
06-20 11:00:32	Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0x63562d…
06-18 13:59:16	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x5fcedf…
06-18 13:55:01	Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x5c01ab…
06-16 18:20:20	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$191	0x210603…
06-16 11:11:40	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x358c4d…
06-16 10:48:37	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$90	0x344aab…
06-15 08:56:10	Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?	No	BUY	155	99¢	$153	0x9ee39d…
06-13 08:06:10	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9bcfa2…
06-13 08:05:28	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $0-$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x5bf230…
06-11 09:44:25	xrp above 1pt5 on june 13 2026	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x2e1c0b…
06-11 09:40:04	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	23	17¢	$4	0x26f5bd…
06-11 09:39:45	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	977	17¢	$165	0x8ed1ec…
06-10 07:49:40	xrp above 1pt6 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x17bf09…
06-10 07:45:31	Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5cca34…
06-10 07:45:10	Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x8707ee…
06-09 08:55:13	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x08c4f3…
06-08 15:25:13	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	324	16¢	$52	0x8526c1…
06-08 15:24:43	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	676	16¢	$109	0x62dad1…
06-05 07:38:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	183	98¢	$180	0x222036…