Lasting-Servant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved

111

Trades

254

lifetime

Volume

$1.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 06-29 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

93% 61% +$5

Politics

4% 67% -$8

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-19 20:39
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	04-30 16:08
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	2	$27	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	06-01 05:16
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?	2	$27	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	05-22 20:36
Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	06-29 02:33
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	06-03 14:01
Will Adele be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	05-05 02:10
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	06-23 05:32
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	2	$22	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	04-29 09:17
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win at least 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$0	06-03 02:55
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 30?	2	$20	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-29 07:43
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	06-25 12:44
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 6?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-05 14:03
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 26?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-25 19:55
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 23?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	$0	06-23 11:19
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on June 20?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-19 13:23
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 4?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-04 05:38
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 15?	6	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-15 08:46
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on May 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-26 15:10
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-26 19:56
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 26?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-26 08:41
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 16?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-15 17:10
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 28?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-28 01:56
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-01 23:45
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 30?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-30 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on May 6?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-06 00:31
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 26c	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-23 17:23
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on May 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-27 06:29
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on April 26?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-25 12:12
highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 25c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-24 08:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 17:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xea0d82…
06-29 17:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x2e62b8…
06-29 12:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9ab13c…
06-29 02:33:01	Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb37a9a…
06-28 23:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x36165f…
06-28 23:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 29?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x24de58…
06-28 01:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3ccf5f…
06-28 01:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x00eb65…
06-28 01:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 28?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x04ae8c…
06-27 13:22:47	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x58cf32…
06-27 12:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x33830e…
06-27 08:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 27?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xbed57a…
06-26 09:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xf53e12…
06-26 09:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 26?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xeff488…
06-25 12:44:04	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xc37372…
06-25 08:01:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x1c72da…
06-25 07:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 25?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xabd35c…
06-24 13:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x31d758…
06-24 12:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x82d597…
06-23 11:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 23?	No	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xdea7e3…
06-23 10:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xddf7ac…
06-23 08:39:41	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on June 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x73766e…
06-23 05:32:59	Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x68b18d…
06-22 10:49:05	Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x4cd3af…
06-20 19:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x44dd2a…
06-20 18:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on June 21?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x945956…
06-19 20:39:19	Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x49bec0…
06-19 13:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on June 20?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x451a64…
06-19 13:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on June 20?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x913f92…
06-19 12:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 20?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0c6972…
06-17 23:36:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or below on June 18?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x0e62f9…
06-17 23:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or below on June 18?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xe93924…
06-16 01:23:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x864a5f…
06-16 01:22:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xf9d56d…
06-16 01:19:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x2c4128…
06-16 01:16:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x85ebd1…
06-16 01:16:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x40cd41…
06-16 00:35:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 16?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xcf2adf…
06-15 01:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x22101f…
06-15 01:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x8aec5b…
06-15 00:35:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 15?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x224b29…
06-14 11:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 14?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x168908…
06-14 06:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcc6222…
06-13 17:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xa30d9f…
06-13 12:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xebf509…
06-13 12:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 14?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6b3f2c…
06-12 12:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 13?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x4586e6…
06-11 13:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x659b7f…
06-11 13:21:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x854154…
06-11 13:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb98f56…
06-11 12:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 12?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xa3c0c8…
06-10 18:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 11?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb105c3…
06-10 18:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 11?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb52340…
06-10 18:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 11?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x98ee47…
06-09 03:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x8bc4ad…
06-09 03:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 9?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xb7b0f7…
06-08 09:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xbc3aec…
06-08 06:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 8?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xa2430a…
06-07 15:50:07	Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x1bc841…
06-07 07:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xc46789…
06-07 04:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 7?	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x2015a3…
06-07 04:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xaaaa1f…
06-06 12:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 7?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xfcc7c2…
06-05 17:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x25f6c9…
06-05 17:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x20e1a6…
06-05 17:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7a7868…
06-05 04:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xde8051…
06-05 01:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 5?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x6ce2a7…
06-04 09:09:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x8ef2f5…
06-04 06:47:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 4?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4bed1e…
06-03 14:01:23	Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x3bb67d…
06-03 02:55:24	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win at least 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x249eae…
06-02 22:18:57	Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xf66162…
06-02 17:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x282410…
06-02 16:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc3ec9c…
06-02 15:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe0128c…
06-02 12:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 3?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbc7345…
06-01 23:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xc14c6c…
06-01 19:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x006539…
06-01 08:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?	No	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xea174a…
06-01 08:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xab472b…
06-01 05:16:09	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x4c6d2e…
05-31 14:11:54	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xb13824…
05-31 07:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xd00467…
05-31 07:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x6ef4d3…
05-31 07:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe12c7b…
05-30 17:24:07	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win at least 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x4a0468…
05-30 06:11:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x2fdb06…
05-30 05:15:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 30?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x4e4ce8…
05-29 07:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xce699b…
05-29 07:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbeb997…
05-29 06:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x98f7c1…
05-28 23:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 29?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xbd6fd7…
05-28 15:53:05	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x2a1951…
05-28 14:55:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x196b4e…
05-28 14:44:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x411682…
05-28 12:07:23	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 29?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd1457d…
05-27 18:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 28?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x57b64c…
05-27 06:29:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on May 27?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xdcb641…
05-27 06:27:09	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on May 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7bfb07…