Evergreen-Convention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.39K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

642

Trades

2,867

lifetime

Volume

$314.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-02 12:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 45% +$8,555

Other

35% 31% -$939

Politics

17% 53% -$142

Sports

0% 29% -$86

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	13	$28.9K	36,162	31,496	+4,666	Yes	-$1,929	01-29 16:36
ethereum up or down february 1 3pm et	248	$15.8K	14,506	14,814	-308	Down	+$6,329	02-01 20:59
will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	32	$13.7K	10,241	10,241	+0	Yes	+$1,726	01-31 14:14
will ethereum dip to 2400 in january 2026 453	24	$13.7K	11,717	11,717	+0	Yes	+$8,393	01-31 17:13
ethereum up or down february 1 4pm et	278	$12.0K	25,580	10,469	+15,111	Down	-$1,333	02-01 21:47
ethereum up or down february 4 5pm et	83	$8.0K	7,071	7,172	-101	Down	+$4,170	02-04 23:00
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	5	$7.9K	5,466	5,466	+0	No	+$235	01-30 14:24
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	37	$7.7K	6,374	6,374	+0	No	-$406	01-31 19:24
ethereum above 2400 on february 1	9	$5.8K	7,281	167	+7,114	No	-$5,565	02-01 07:08
will no government funding bill be passed by january 31 2026 823	13	$5.6K	3,083	3,302	-219	Yes	+$442	01-30 03:54
will ethereum dip to 2200 in february 2026	5	$5.6K	5,542	5,542	+0	Yes	-$797	02-01 00:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 1	6	$5.6K	5,709	5,709	+0	No	+$320	01-31 09:31
will the next government funding bill be passed on january 30 2026 763	11	$5.4K	3,558	2,681	+878	No	+$351	01-29 23:30
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	3	$5.4K	2,866	2,866	+0	No	-$21	01-28 23:54
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	4	$5.1K	3,321	3,321	+0	No	-$65	01-29 13:02
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	8	$5.0K	2,988	2,988	+0	No	-$52	01-29 09:23
will the price of ethereum be less than 2500 on january 31	28	$4.6K	5,990	5,990	+0	Yes	+$2,918	01-31 17:00
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	14	$4.1K	6,403	6,403	+0	No	-$548	01-15 00:17
ethereum up or down february 1 5pm et	115	$4.1K	11,034	4,234	+6,800	Up	-$1,109	02-01 22:29
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes 328 877	5	$3.8K	2,011	2,866	-855	Yes	+$620	01-25 02:41
ethereum up or down february 1 6pm et	4	$3.0K	2,188	2,154	+34	Down	+$261	02-01 23:06
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	5	$2.8K	2,184	2,184	+0	Yes	-$30	06-20 23:34
ethereum up or down february 9 11am et	6	$2.8K	2,140	2,140	+0	Up	+$1,339	02-09 16:47
minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	2	$2.6K	1,826	1,826	+0	No	-$90	01-28 23:53
internet access restored in iran by friday 972	6	$2.5K	2,577	2,577	+0	Yes	+$9	01-21 22:43
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on february 1	2	$2.4K	3,782	0	+3,782	No	-$2,405	02-01 08:45
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	5	$2.3K	1,479	1,479	+0	No	+$108	01-15 10:20
ethereum up or down february 1 2pm et	22	$2.0K	1,064	1,064	+0	Down	+$70	02-01 19:51
ethereum up or down february 9 8pm et	2	$2.0K	7,778	0	+7,778	Up	-$1,999	02-10 01:20
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	4	$1.9K	1,137	1,137	+0	No	+$27	01-15 17:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 12:44:59	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	FaZe	BUY	188	74¢	$139	0xe85972…
10-02 12:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x3cfb07…
10-02 12:36:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	130	15¢	$20	0xb61190…
10-02 12:36:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0xd8d06c…
10-02 12:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xce5cde…
07-31 14:11:08	dota2 l1ga rnx 2026 07 31 game2	REKONIX	BUY	138	45¢	$62	0x2952f6…
07-31 14:00:38	cs2 faze mglz 2026 07 30 game2	TheMongolz	SELL	79	82¢	$64	0xd5b18c…
07-31 13:48:36	cs2 faze mglz 2026 07 30 game2	TheMongolz	BUY	79	55¢	$43	0xce35d5…
07-31 13:32:54	cs2 faze mglz 2026 07 30 game2	FaZe	SELL	85	53¢	$45	0xad8e83…
07-31 13:32:21	cs2 faze mglz 2026 07 30 game2	FaZe	BUY	86	54¢	$46	0xc48930…
07-31 13:28:26	cs2 inox fal 2026 07 31	Falcons Force	SELL	175	28¢	$49	0xc81bfe…
07-31 11:23:29	cs2 inox fal 2026 07 31	Falcons Force	BUY	175	32¢	$56	0xfff778…
07-31 11:15:53	cs2 havu bcg 2026 07 31	HAVU	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0xe8341a…
07-31 11:13:21	cs2 havu bcg 2026 07 31	HAVU	BUY	192	21¢	$41	0xadfd09…
07-31 11:01:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xc776b8…
07-31 10:57:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xf14897…
07-31 10:56:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xfd104d…
07-31 10:56:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x10921f…
07-31 10:56:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x60e653…
07-31 10:56:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x1dd9e7…
07-31 10:55:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1409f9…
07-19 21:15:10	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	818	15¢	$123	0xf61710…
07-19 21:02:09	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	238	9¢	$23	0xb71dee…
07-19 19:45:13	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	2,174	2¢	$43	0x7f84ee…
07-19 18:57:18	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	208	7¢	$15	0xc0d88e…
07-19 18:49:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals mikel oyarzabal gte1	Yes	SELL	149	31¢	$46	0xd45fb5…
07-19 17:44:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals mikel oyarzabal gte1	Yes	BUY	339	32¢	$108	0x29cf51…
07-19 01:08:10	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	750	8¢	$60	0x9d5058…
07-19 01:08:07	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	714	6¢	$43	0xb6fdcf…
07-18 21:57:42	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 4pt5	England	BUY	202	26¢	$53	0x72fe40…
07-18 21:51:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xe1fb45…
07-18 21:51:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x4d09ab…
07-18 21:48:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	64	45¢	$29	0xf1280e…
07-18 21:48:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x8fa6ef…
07-18 21:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	16	89¢	$14	0x7c7f67…
07-18 21:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xfe1473…
07-18 21:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xf3b709…
07-18 21:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0xd4041a…
07-18 21:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xcb50cd…
07-18 21:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0xa27b97…
07-18 21:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x892916…
07-18 21:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0x7325f9…
07-18 21:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x43beb3…
07-18 21:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x431f55…
07-18 21:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0x3f45f2…
07-18 21:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x259700…
07-18 21:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x041586…
07-18 21:41:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xd0c58f…
07-18 21:41:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x52b7cf…
07-18 21:41:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xe77f1d…
07-18 21:41:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x3a6845…
07-18 21:41:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x73e444…
07-18 21:41:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x62d95c…
07-18 21:39:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xb8943b…
07-18 21:38:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:35 UTC	Up	SELL	103	52¢	$54	0x6e09b2…
07-18 21:36:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	103	24¢	$25	0x64b89e…
07-18 21:26:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	41	46¢	$19	0x9a36ab…
07-18 21:23:27	France leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	314	2¢	$5	0xd9dcbb…
07-18 21:04:34	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	No	SELL	151	10¢	$15	0x7e393e…
07-18 20:58:58	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	No	BUY	151	35¢	$53	0x8cd203…
07-18 20:58:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	SELL	353	16¢	$56	0xc36871…
07-18 20:50:40	France leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	314	45¢	$141	0x933a40…
07-18 20:49:49	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners first half total 5pt5	Under	SELL	217	68¢	$148	0xe3344a…
07-18 20:48:51	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread home 2pt5	France	BUY	407	16¢	$65	0xbba8d1…
07-18 20:48:16	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread home 1pt5	France	SELL	212	33¢	$70	0x9e34f0…
07-18 20:46:01	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	423	34¢	$144	0x06d40d…
07-18 20:45:22	Exact Score: France 3 - 0 England?	Yes	BUY	351	6¢	$20	0x73c8f4…
07-18 20:44:52	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	212	26¢	$55	0x34bca5…
07-18 20:44:07	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	353	17¢	$60	0x2ea9d0…
07-18 20:43:45	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals harry kane gte1	No	SELL	352	83¢	$292	0xe5be07…
07-18 20:39:03	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	352	82¢	$291	0x4aae91…
07-18 20:38:21	Spain to score first vs. Argentina?	Yes	SELL	241	53¢	$128	0x9647e4…
07-18 20:37:52	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	153	38¢	$58	0xc2cafd…
07-18 20:37:31	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	716	4¢	$31	0x03af8f…
07-18 20:37:16	cs2 33 bmb 2026 07 19	BASEMENT BOYS	SELL	203	37¢	$75	0xc834e5…
07-18 20:23:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x7e2729…
07-18 20:23:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xefeebc…
07-18 20:20:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	91	27¢	$25	0xf87742…
07-18 20:19:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:15 UTC	Up	SELL	106	64¢	$68	0x095e0c…
07-18 20:18:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4146fe…
07-18 20:17:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xbcf8c3…
07-18 20:17:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe2106d…
07-18 20:17:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x8ca165…
07-18 20:16:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x8867bf…
07-18 20:13:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x6b7a3b…
07-18 20:11:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0x3a4e1a…
07-18 19:54:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:50 UTC	Up	SELL	79	96¢	$76	0x218ce8…
07-18 19:54:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xce6566…
07-18 19:54:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xb68116…
07-18 19:53:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:50 UTC	Up	SELL	81	83¢	$67	0x5ba8bf…
07-18 19:52:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x2a81cd…
07-18 19:48:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x23d321…
07-18 19:39:54	cs2 pcy paina 2026 07 18 game1	paiN Academy	SELL	167	28¢	$47	0x16d549…
07-18 19:24:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xf2616b…
07-18 19:24:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xd086ca…
07-18 19:24:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x7e8071…
07-18 19:23:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xb7e2f0…
07-18 19:22:06	cs2 pcy paina 2026 07 18 game1	paiN Academy	BUY	167	72¢	$120	0x612e30…
07-18 19:15:48	cs2 hero k271 2026 07 18 game3	Heroic	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x19253f…
07-18 19:08:30	val th1 tl1 2026 07 18 game2	Team Liquid	SELL	48	25¢	$12	0xd6b5bf…