Political-Meteorology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$370

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

392

Trades

485

lifetime

Volume

$8.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 11-02 23:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Other

94% 46% +$376

Sports

6% 42% -$7

Crypto

0% 67% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Everton de Viña del Mar win on 2026-10-26?	1	$170	221	0	+221	No	+$51	10-26 20:53
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-10-25?	2	$163	107	107	+0	No	+$51	10-25 20:17
Will CA Boston River win on 2026-05-20?	3	$155	192	20	+172	Yes	+$48	05-20 23:09
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$144	266	0	+266	Knicks	+$122	05-25 19:59
Exact Score: Independiente Santa Fe 1 - 1 CA Platense?	1	$125	144	0	+144	No	+$19	05-19 23:54
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-09-21?	2	$123	71	71	+0	No	+$19	09-22 00:13
Will CD Unión La Calera win on 2026-10-25?	2	$121	159	0	+159	Yes	-$121	10-25 18:07
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-10-24?	2	$119	85	85	+0	No	+$51	10-25 01:01
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-01?	1	$113	205	0	+205	Yes	-$113	11-01 03:29
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-05-22?	1	$112	178	0	+178	No	+$66	05-22 18:40
Magic vs. Raptors	3	$107	83	83	+0	Magic	+$2	10-30 03:35
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	1	$102	192	0	+192	No	+$90	10-31 19:19
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-31?	1	$100	192	0	+192	No	+$92	10-31 19:41
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Patrick Kypson	1	$93	176	0	+176	cancelled	-$5	05-25 01:57
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-08?	2	$89	60	60	+0	No	+$31	09-15 21:56
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-10-30?	1	$88	179	0	+179	Yes	-$88	10-30 20:46
CD Concepción vs. Everton de Viña del Mar: O/U 2.5	1	$85	146	0	+146	Under	+$61	05-17 23:31
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Ann Li	1	$84	196	0	+196	Emma Navarro	+$112	05-22 04:01
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-29?	1	$84	187	0	+187	Yes	-$84	10-29 17:10
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-05-15?	1	$84	97	0	+97	Yes	+$13	05-16 00:26
Exact Score: Instituto AC Córdoba 1 - 1 CA Talleres?	2	$83	49	49	+0	No	-$1	09-20 00:23
Will CD Ñublense win on 2026-05-17?	1	$76	91	0	+91	No	+$15	05-17 21:02
Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-10-25?	1	$74	114	0	+114	No	+$40	10-25 22:08
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	1	$73	158	0	+158	Yes	-$73	10-29 22:01
Will CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?	1	$72	224	0	+224	No	-$72	05-26 21:10
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-26?	1	$71	143	0	+143	Yes	-$71	10-26 19:39
Will Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?	2	$71	107	107	+0	No	$0	05-13 19:34
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-10-27?	1	$71	131	0	+131	Yes	-$71	10-27 21:47
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	1	$70	163	0	+163	No	+$93	10-28 16:31
Will CF América win on 2026-10-31?	1	$70	132	0	+132	No	+$62	11-01 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 23:29:00	CD Concepción vs. CD Palestino: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Yes	BUY	57	23¢	$13	0x4d9f24…
11-02 23:28:45	CD Concepción vs. CD Palestino: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	60	68¢	$41	0x352ab8…
11-02 23:27:27	Will CD Concepción vs. CD Palestino end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	197	29¢	$57	0x9ca174…
11-02 19:26:28	CD Limache vs. Audax CS Italiano: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Yes	BUY	44	24¢	$10	0x1cd039…
11-02 19:22:04	CD Limache vs. Audax CS Italiano: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	47	65¢	$31	0x9c748d…
11-02 19:02:03	Will CD Limache vs. Audax CS Italiano end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	133	27¢	$35	0x7e1097…
11-02 01:05:03	Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	108	44¢	$48	0x74a288…
11-01 23:46:34	Will CA Lanús win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	119	36¢	$43	0xc4b8bd…
11-01 21:23:07	Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	117	55¢	$64	0x1b79e3…
11-01 19:45:55	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	126	51¢	$64	0x0ceb44…
11-01 19:41:31	Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0xdc9d0e…
11-01 19:40:22	Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	48	66¢	$32	0x6ca5db…
11-01 19:30:54	Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	148	29¢	$43	0x2bee9f…
11-01 03:29:39	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	205	55¢	$113	0xbd100e…
11-01 03:15:16	Will CF América win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	132	53¢	$70	0xd3419e…
10-31 21:48:48	Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	95	49¢	$47	0xf40c26…
10-31 20:18:04	Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	107	52¢	$56	0xf4b302…
10-31 19:41:37	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x811f84…
10-31 19:19:42	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	192	53¢	$102	0x942426…
10-30 20:46:37	Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-10-30?	No	BUY	179	49¢	$88	0x92f12c…
10-30 03:35:04	Magic vs. Raptors	Raptors	SELL	83	66¢	$55	0x0a979c…
10-30 00:02:48	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	71	58¢	$41	0x68c3e7…
10-29 23:58:43	Kings vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	47	68¢	$32	0xeaa03d…
10-29 22:01:52	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	158	46¢	$73	0x209736…
10-29 20:40:09	Spread: Hawks (-1.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0xa477fb…
10-29 17:10:19	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	187	45¢	$84	0x7a460d…
10-29 02:32:26	Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	80	41¢	$33	0xc0a641…
10-29 01:49:29	Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	61	43¢	$26	0x2901d0…
10-28 23:22:26	Magic vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	41	65¢	$27	0x49aa08…
10-28 23:12:59	Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0x8e50ce…
10-28 23:08:14	Magic vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	41	63¢	$26	0xab8333…
10-28 21:03:55	Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	159	42¢	$67	0x34bb92…
10-28 19:10:43	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	26	74¢	$19	0x237f3b…
10-28 18:54:10	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	135	47¢	$63	0x320258…
10-28 18:44:32	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x6f076a…
10-28 18:39:19	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	9	84¢	$7	0xffe49d…
10-28 16:31:02	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	163	43¢	$70	0x644a43…
10-28 00:37:23	Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CDPJuniorFC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x9e701d…
10-27 23:56:27	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	38	62¢	$23	0x6253cd…
10-27 22:59:06	Will Ceará SC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	46	57¢	$26	0x359434…
10-27 21:47:06	Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	131	54¢	$71	0xc8a62c…
10-26 23:49:14	Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	55	30¢	$17	0xa1067e…
10-26 20:53:50	Will Everton de Viña del Mar win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	221	77¢	$170	0x2a42ad…
10-26 19:39:09	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	143	50¢	$71	0x4c1954…
10-26 01:01:21	Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	65	39¢	$25	0xd336f4…
10-25 23:24:51	CD Universidad de Concepción vs. CD Limache: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0xc86b8b…
10-25 23:05:39	CD Universidad de Concepción vs. CD Limache: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	16	64¢	$11	0xb237fa…
10-25 22:58:00	CD Universidad de Concepción vs. CD Limache: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x272452…
10-25 22:56:44	Will CD Limache win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	64	63¢	$40	0x373040…
10-25 22:08:47	Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	114	65¢	$74	0x95f9d9…
10-25 22:03:03	Will CA River Plate vs. Racing Club end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$5	0xc4028c…
10-25 20:23:47	Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	115	46¢	$53	0x7a9ccb…
10-25 20:17:05	Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-10-25?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x4f704e…
10-25 19:47:24	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	152	39¢	$59	0xe770dd…
10-25 18:07:17	Will CD Unión La Calera win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x9b8789…
10-25 17:58:20	Will CD Unión La Calera win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	154	76¢	$117	0xa62ace…
10-25 17:52:00	Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	107	52¢	$56	0x1c7bf4…
10-25 16:48:35	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	114	38¢	$43	0xce10df…
10-25 02:55:33	Will Atalanta BC vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x52ed88…
10-25 02:49:47	Will Atalanta BC vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?	No	BUY	29	77¢	$22	0xc7bb58…
10-25 01:01:03	Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0xe924d1…
10-24 21:52:41	Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	85	40¢	$34	0x638729…
10-24 21:12:47	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	68	42¢	$29	0xf73db1…
10-24 19:50:15	Will CA Talleres win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	87	60¢	$52	0x0431e5…
10-24 18:30:27	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	31	34¢	$11	0x267168…
10-24 17:41:09	Will CA Lanús win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	54	54¢	$29	0xa44bb0…
10-23 21:56:15	Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	65	53¢	$35	0x05dfc6…
10-23 18:58:51	1st Half Exact Score: Ipswich Town FC 0 - 2 Nottingham Forest FC?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x16f98a…
10-23 18:43:15	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	32	57¢	$18	0xf5c34f…
10-23 18:26:45	1st Half Exact Score: Deportivo Alavés 2 - 0 Málaga CF?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x6f5bf1…
10-23 18:23:33	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x35300f…
10-23 18:17:21	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x0adf95…
10-14 16:26:37	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x87617b…
09-26 18:35:45	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	No	BUY	114	56¢	$64	0xe09832…
09-25 17:32:18	Will Italy win on 2026-09-25?	No	BUY	59	57¢	$34	0xe1b972…
09-24 18:16:14	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	No	BUY	34	39¢	$13	0x6960cc…
09-24 17:48:12	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	No	BUY	68	39¢	$27	0xd3bbc4…
09-22 00:14:21	Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-09-21?	No	BUY	70	76¢	$54	0x262dc6…
09-22 00:13:34	Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-09-21?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xe28c2a…
09-21 21:49:15	Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-09-21?	No	BUY	71	73¢	$52	0x846665…
09-21 00:17:25	Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	52	57¢	$30	0x93f280…
09-20 22:07:46	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	61	60¢	$37	0x7db4c8…
09-20 18:34:27	Will Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	81	29¢	$24	0xedb945…
09-20 02:15:30	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x425bb3…
09-20 01:08:16	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	37	48¢	$18	0xa6b65d…
09-20 00:23:12	Exact Score: Instituto AC Córdoba 1 - 1 CA Talleres?	No	SELL	49	84¢	$41	0xe18cb4…
09-20 00:16:42	Exact Score: Instituto AC Córdoba 1 - 1 CA Talleres?	No	BUY	49	87¢	$42	0x7006f1…
09-19 23:22:16	Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	83	51¢	$43	0xb8dad6…
09-17 18:19:43	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17?	No	BUY	65	53¢	$34	0x6b7568…
09-16 23:51:30	Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-09-16?	No	BUY	72	57¢	$41	0x5b82c2…
09-16 22:35:45	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?	No	SELL	42	60¢	$25	0x8e1c06…
09-16 17:35:22	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?	No	BUY	42	56¢	$24	0x752a6d…
09-15 21:57:13	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-09-15?	No	BUY	73	65¢	$48	0x616d41…
09-15 21:56:03	Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-08?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xa6a6f4…
09-15 18:38:00	Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-08?	No	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0x9b21c9…
06-11 20:36:40	wta cirstea raducan 2026 06 10	Sorana Cirstea	SELL	59	49¢	$29	0x8d8aa5…
06-10 04:32:58	wta cirstea raducan 2026 06 10	Sorana Cirstea	BUY	59	53¢	$31	0x247d2f…
06-02 20:54:17	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x1046ef…
05-31 23:33:37	Will CD Palestino vs. Audax CS Italiano end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	85	27¢	$23	0x1cc153…
05-31 21:12:39	Will Everton de Viña del Mar win on 2026-05-31?	No	BUY	32	79¢	$26	0x89eab3…