Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$62

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

96.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$410

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$301

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-09 16:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

53% 50% +$62

Other

47% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	+179	$176	99¢	$177	+$1	06-09 16:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	+63	$50	88¢	$55	+$5	05-27 21:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	+79	$50	62¢	$50	$-0	06-09 16:50
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	No	+22	$20	88¢	$20	$-0	06-09 16:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$176	179	0	+179	open	—	06-09 16:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$50	63	0	+63	open	—	05-27 21:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	79	0	+79	open	—	06-09 16:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$50	113	0	+113	Yes	+$63	01-29 11:09
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	1	$40	60	0	+60	open	—	05-27 21:34
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	06-09 16:49
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$8	12	0	+12	open	—	03-05 10:35
will russia capture rodynske by january 31	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	01-02 00:45
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	01-02 00:46
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	1	$2	0	4	-4	Yes	$-2	03-01 01:40
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$2	42	0	+42	open	—	03-01 01:28
will trump deport less than 250000	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	03-01 01:28
will starmer say restore britain during the next prime ministers questions	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	02-17 19:42
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-29 11:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:51:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	179	98¢	$176	0xb72df2…
06-09 16:50:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x29421f…
06-09 16:49:31	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x487cf6…
05-27 21:34:33	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x87c790…
05-27 21:34:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xe4d52a…
03-05 10:35:53	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0xfd8413…
03-01 01:40:25	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0xfdb36a…
03-01 01:28:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0x7c486e…
03-01 01:28:21	will trump deport less than 250000	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xbcbed7…
02-28 20:05:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xc1ee3f…
02-24 13:51:30	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x017327…
02-17 19:42:11	will starmer say restore britain during the next prime ministers questions	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc4408d…
01-29 11:09:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xf716fc…
01-29 11:08:00	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x189489…
01-02 00:46:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	44¢	$12	0x8d38c4…
01-02 00:46:21	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xb5d16a…
01-02 00:45:29	will russia capture rodynske by january 31	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x883a19…
01-02 00:44:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	44¢	$34	0xf7142d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	12	$191.7K	2,824	06-10 03:52
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	11	$2.70M	3,592	06-10 04:48
Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428	11	$64.7K	859	06-09 21:45
Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae	11	$52.7K	14,281	06-10 04:43
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	11	$29.5K	304	06-08 20:15
Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1	10	$21.2K	324	06-09 09:34
Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb	10	$5.23K	330	06-09 18:10
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	10	$963	105	05-30 14:22