Grown-Reading — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.7%

Resolved

Trades

114

lifetime

Volume

$1.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-22 16:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

87% 57% +$1

Other

13% 40% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	7	$99	108	108	+0	No	$0	05-07 00:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	5	$96	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-10 07:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	8	$90	123	123	+0	No	+$1	05-29 16:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	9	$88	90	90	+0	No	+$0	05-18 16:25
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	6	$84	87	87	+0	No	+$0	05-27 01:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$63	34	34	+0	No	$0	05-21 17:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	4	$63	34	30	+4	No	+$0	05-15 22:14
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	8	$61	84	84	+0	No	+$0	05-04 06:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$56	80	80	+0	No	+$0	05-08 22:19
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?	6	$55	86	86	+0	No	-$1	05-14 13:25
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-07 08:46
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	04-27 12:22
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	3	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	04-26 09:01
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	3	$47	24	24	+0	No	$0	05-12 18:19
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	04-30 04:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	06-01 08:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	7	$44	67	67	+0	No	+$0	06-02 05:33
iran closes its airspace by june 15	3	$42	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	06-05 11:24
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	06-02 22:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	05-20 22:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	$0	05-20 14:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$40	21	21	+0	No	$0	05-29 06:24
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	$0	04-28 01:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	$0	05-22 04:12
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	2	$6	43	43	+0	open	—	05-14 04:53
Iran leadership change by May 31?	4	$5	63	63	+0	No	$0	05-21 04:58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	6	$5	53	53	+0	No	+$0	05-10 22:43
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	2	$2	46	46	+0	No	-$1	05-30 00:39
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 11?	1	$2	45	0	+45	No	-$2	06-10 01:32
will kanye west have a 1 hit in june	1	$1	21	0	+21	No	-$1	06-22 16:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 16:58:59	will kanye west have a 1 hit in june	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x6c6784…
06-10 01:32:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0xa31233…
06-05 11:24:48	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xfe3493…
06-05 11:24:46	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x887816…
06-05 07:18:58	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0xe8fd93…
06-02 22:01:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x19a6f4…
06-02 17:55:50	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x126a97…
06-02 05:33:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x95a579…
06-02 02:46:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xa51d42…
06-01 19:47:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xfe5adc…
06-01 19:47:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$1	0xbd22dd…
06-01 19:47:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0x6f7bba…
06-01 19:33:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0xbc294a…
06-01 19:33:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0x57aeb6…
06-01 08:07:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x39389f…
06-01 07:00:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xa3ff95…
05-30 00:39:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	46	2¢	$1	0x87f2f8…
05-29 23:27:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	46	3¢	$1	0x1c1beb…
05-29 16:37:12	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	4¢	$2	0xcd5c0c…
05-29 16:34:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0x7a1c6a…
05-29 06:24:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x1b113e…
05-29 06:23:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x41dfee…
05-29 05:02:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xad420a…
05-29 02:39:55	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x3cbb96…
05-28 23:27:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x6b987a…
05-27 14:17:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x8e5fb2…
05-27 14:16:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xdbe063…
05-27 07:07:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0x9015d0…
05-27 05:35:57	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x74316e…
05-27 01:32:23	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0x38e07c…
05-26 23:38:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$2	0x5400c4…
05-26 13:46:45	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x84382c…
05-26 10:48:01	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xd7e6b4…
05-26 02:52:51	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0xa6658e…
05-25 21:34:53	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x67607a…
05-22 04:12:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x5d4fb6…
05-22 02:08:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x2674de…
05-21 17:29:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x86472a…
05-21 17:17:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x0376f2…
05-21 15:07:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xe67672…
05-21 13:40:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xa75a3a…
05-21 04:58:29	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x861d6a…
05-21 04:58:22	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	43	4¢	$2	0xeddaea…
05-21 02:32:14	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0xfb6fad…
05-21 02:32:14	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x059ac2…
05-20 22:54:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x2c2c47…
05-20 22:45:49	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe337a9…
05-20 14:20:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x16fae6…
05-20 10:59:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x418d60…
05-18 16:25:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	46	2¢	$1	0x9eed70…
05-18 15:19:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x60c641…
05-18 15:19:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x56577a…
05-18 15:19:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0x0f5489…
05-18 14:05:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x5a18de…
05-18 11:31:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x5938e2…
05-18 05:55:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xe295f7…
05-18 05:55:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x911bbf…
05-18 00:52:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x368e0b…
05-15 22:14:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xafa995…
05-15 22:13:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6d0018…
05-14 13:25:12	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0xc27201…
05-14 12:02:25	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x339e40…
05-14 04:53:45	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	7¢	$3	0xef6662…
05-14 03:00:56	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x1ea089…
05-13 16:27:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x4d353c…
05-13 12:32:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x614eca…
05-12 18:19:24	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x68de87…
05-12 18:19:24	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x4cac55…
05-12 14:33:56	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x523266…
05-12 10:20:37	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0xdd9296…
05-12 10:20:37	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x0c29d5…
05-12 07:23:49	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x1d449b…
05-12 07:23:47	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0xb9301b…
05-10 22:43:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0x3d1f7b…
05-10 20:50:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x0f3283…
05-10 17:51:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0xc6491f…
05-10 15:04:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x1f6cc6…
05-10 13:45:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd82192…
05-10 13:45:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0x8dc110…
05-10 07:25:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x9a42f1…
05-10 05:18:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xf14405…
05-10 02:57:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xa9ae50…
05-10 02:57:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x25a32f…
05-09 21:33:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xf43da0…
05-08 22:19:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0xce68fa…
05-08 19:38:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x0789a2…
05-07 23:50:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	53	3¢	$2	0x501a4f…
05-07 21:38:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	53	3¢	$2	0x27151d…
05-07 08:46:22	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0x39e740…
05-07 06:11:37	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x8d03c7…
05-07 00:04:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0xfa3712…
05-06 20:59:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x8928a9…
05-05 04:31:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	3¢	$2	0x29d5d6…
05-05 02:40:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0x63499d…
05-04 22:02:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xe9e1a0…
05-04 22:02:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x7b2ee0…
05-04 20:57:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x7690dc…
05-04 06:03:48	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0x1ddc4f…
05-04 05:55:20	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x7402a7…
05-04 05:55:20	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x4193fd…