Puzzling-Depressive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-01-24

last 06-29 21:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 100% +$1

Other

31% — —

Politics

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	No		+16	$16	99¢	$16	$-0	06-29 21:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be at least 6pt0	1	$59	59	0	+59	open	—	04-15 14:30
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 3?	2	$52	52	0	+52	open	—	06-03 10:10
bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	2	$51	51	0	+51	open	—	06-22 09:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	2	$46	46	0	+46	Yes	+$0	05-07 14:40
will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-17 19:45
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	1	$35	36	0	+36	open	—	05-21 20:11
bitcoin above 68k on april 24	1	$33	34	0	+34	open	—	04-22 10:27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 23?	2	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	05-22 15:30
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-23 17:35
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-13 17:14
highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 17c	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	04-13 22:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	06-02 14:14
will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 5	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	06-06 01:50
will there be between 6 and 9 us strikes on somalia in march 2026	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-04 22:51
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-14 11:04
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-01 06:51
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-20 18:47
will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-16 13:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	05-26 18:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	05-26 12:11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	05-20 08:38
bitcoin above 80k on april 22	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-21 20:14
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-29 07:38
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	04-27 03:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	05-10 06:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-25 15:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	1	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	05-19 13:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-23 07:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-18 12:04
bitcoin above 80k on april 18	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-18 08:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 21:51:55	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x97135d…
06-25 11:56:53	bitcoin above 66k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7e1614…
06-23 09:13:16	ethereum above 1500 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd48829…
06-22 16:17:25	bitcoin above 58k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0a1296…
06-22 09:40:01	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1ffee3…
06-21 17:04:49	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x9b070b…
06-06 01:50:49	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 5	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x98f375…
06-03 10:10:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7a0389…
06-03 07:50:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x841080…
06-02 14:14:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xe99e47…
06-02 06:47:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x545b12…
05-29 06:44:56	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0572f3…
05-28 07:52:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x219db4…
05-27 06:15:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x853536…
05-26 18:00:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x180c6d…
05-26 12:11:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc42c93…
05-25 15:00:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0a8598…
05-25 02:24:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x82b752…
05-24 18:17:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x06c601…
05-24 06:30:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x63c73f…
05-23 07:55:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8ae0ad…
05-23 04:49:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0dbc06…
05-22 15:30:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 23?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfd4add…
05-22 09:06:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 23?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0c17ac…
05-21 20:11:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$35	0x939e49…
05-20 22:05:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x87aac2…
05-20 08:38:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb3ac02…
05-20 01:07:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x6a156f…
05-19 13:22:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0xb4564e…
05-19 07:36:14	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x04d0b5…
05-18 12:04:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x4db08c…
05-14 14:34:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa4e6c8…
05-13 17:14:59	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x75ba5e…
05-10 13:57:02	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 4-10?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0e56b4…
05-10 06:31:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x575eeb…
05-09 17:27:36	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x518398…
05-07 14:40:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xed61be…
05-07 08:11:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe16c66…
05-05 14:26:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe40c79…
05-04 14:12:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdf85fe…
05-03 21:52:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9fbe41…
05-01 23:34:28	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4fde0c…
05-01 06:51:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x375d90…
04-30 21:02:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xaa15b1…
04-29 07:38:52	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x9f3c91…
04-27 11:02:08	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x256852…
04-27 07:40:46	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x85f16e…
04-27 03:22:26	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x101aaf…
04-26 10:28:10	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17.5m?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2fba21…
04-26 04:32:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x970e72…
04-26 02:46:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x21bb7f…
04-23 21:48:52	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 27c	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x121816…
04-23 17:35:48	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x6c33b3…
04-23 10:40:46	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4f37d3…
04-22 13:55:20	highest temperature in austin on april 23 2026 70forhigher	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbd9de1…
04-22 10:27:52	bitcoin above 68k on april 24	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0xd96c27…
04-21 20:14:44	bitcoin above 80k on april 22	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xd7f105…
04-21 03:28:04	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 280 299	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x5ad1c8…
04-20 18:47:44	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6d8b36…
04-19 20:46:22	bitcoin above 82k on april 21	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x573514…
04-19 12:29:58	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 340 359	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x28b979…
04-18 18:24:08	will gerb sds gerbsds win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xcfec4c…
04-18 08:49:36	bitcoin above 80k on april 18	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x5a0ab4…
04-17 19:45:56	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xde82db…
04-16 13:33:54	will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc3d3e8…
04-15 17:33:06	will analilia mejia win the nj 11 special election	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x5ea2d6…
04-15 14:30:56	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be at least 6pt0	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x1c03ae…
04-15 03:12:24	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 200 219	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x85d801…
04-14 11:04:17	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb5480f…
04-13 22:31:13	highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 17c	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x682b19…
04-13 10:28:45	highest temperature in mexico city on april 14 2026 21c	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7309e5…
04-12 04:01:15	ethereum above 2400 on april 12	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4ca3de…
04-12 00:20:21	bitcoin above 80k on april 13	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd7ded9…
04-10 21:04:19	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x00a473…
04-06 21:02:25	bitcoin above 76k on april 7	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdaa4d1…
04-04 22:51:47	will there be between 6 and 9 us strikes on somalia in march 2026	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd94e1f…
04-03 19:51:09	ethereum above 1800 on april 4	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7c7d67…
04-03 01:16:19	will there be between 6 and 9 us strikes on somalia in march 2026	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x75f6a0…
03-28 16:38:27	highest temperature in madrid on march 29 2026 18c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xefcc9f…
03-13 23:32:15	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x84b929…
02-03 22:28:14	Will Tetsuo Saito be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1991a6…
01-31 02:53:32	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xba62ae…
01-27 03:26:59	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd42859…
01-24 06:43:38	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x449cd1…