Dry-Solvency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$98.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

55.4%

Resolved

53,131

Trades

490,056

lifetime

Volume

$2.91M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-27 10:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 222 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% +$98,525

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1936 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down		+4	$2	98¢	$4	+$2	10-27 12:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 16:30 UTC	395	$3.4K	5,595	+5,595	Up	+$3	02-12 16:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 15:15 UTC	423	$2.6K	4,498	+4,498	Up	+$122	02-11 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 14:30 UTC	60	$1.8K	2,692	+2,692	Down	-$890	02-23 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 16:00 UTC	243	$1.8K	3,115	+3,115	Up	-$17	02-12 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 14:30 UTC	155	$1.6K	2,681	+2,681	Up	-$43	02-13 16:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 13:40 UTC	82	$1.5K	2,457	+2,457	Up	+$531	02-20 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 23:45 UTC	27	$1.5K	2,831	+2,831	Down	-$194	02-19 23:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 20:30 UTC	286	$1.5K	2,721	+2,721	Down	-$248	02-05 20:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 15:00 UTC	209	$1.4K	2,398	+2,398	Down	-$133	02-12 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 14:45 UTC	205	$1.4K	2,286	+2,286	Up	+$44	02-12 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 14:30 UTC	70	$1.4K	2,592	+2,592	Up	-$196	02-27 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 14:35 UTC	94	$1.4K	2,570	+2,570	Down	-$238	02-23 14:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 15:45 UTC	222	$1.3K	2,532	+2,532	Up	-$347	02-10 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 03:50 UTC	63	$1.3K	2,086	+2,086	Up	+$153	02-24 03:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 15:30 UTC	236	$1.3K	2,276	+2,276	Up	+$123	02-05 15:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 19:25 UTC	64	$1.3K	2,002	+2,002	Up	-$650	02-18 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 15:05 UTC	228	$1.3K	2,238	+2,238	Down	-$145	02-12 15:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 16:15 UTC	207	$1.3K	2,365	+2,365	Down	-$57	02-12 16:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 19:45 UTC	203	$1.3K	2,355	+2,355	Up	-$252	02-09 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 17:25 UTC	46	$1.3K	1,785	+1,785	Down	+$46	02-23 17:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 16:10 UTC	166	$1.1K	2,055	+2,055	Down	-$119	02-12 16:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 15:30 UTC	238	$1.1K	2,610	+2,610	Up	-$184	02-10 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 01:20 UTC	55	$1.1K	2,115	+2,115	Up	+$13	02-25 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 14:35 UTC	46	$1.1K	2,125	+2,125	Down	+$41	02-26 14:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 20:45 UTC	168	$1.1K	2,167	+2,167	Up	+$78	02-05 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 08:00 UTC	135	$1.1K	1,977	+1,977	Down	-$72	02-11 08:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:00 UTC	215	$1.1K	2,112	+2,112	Down	+$108	02-05 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 01:15 UTC	44	$1.1K	1,551	+1,551	Up	+$59	02-25 01:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 16:15 UTC	58	$1.1K	1,646	+1,646	Up	+$190	02-18 16:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 17:00 UTC	203	$1.1K	1,836	+1,836	Up	+$63	02-11 17:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2157cb…
10-27 11:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$5	0xf89336…
10-27 11:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	63¢	$16	0xa0bc89…
10-27 11:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x58633e…
10-27 11:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	76	1¢	$1	0x9d25b9…
10-27 11:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	258	1¢	$3	0xbc545e…
10-27 11:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x1e8238…
10-27 11:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xe7cc36…
10-27 11:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0x37c3d5…
10-27 11:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0x4ecb30…
10-27 10:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x760404…
10-27 10:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc14e6a…
10-27 10:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	164	1¢	$2	0x4e9fa2…
10-27 10:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0x9122d7…
10-27 10:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x163862…
10-27 10:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9305d4…
10-27 10:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x9cb3db…
10-27 10:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0xf48bc7…
10-27 10:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x90d520…
10-27 10:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8d4595…
10-27 10:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x343c2b…
10-27 10:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xe06567…
10-27 10:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	101	2¢	$2	0x61cc71…
10-27 10:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	231	1¢	$2	0x24102a…
10-27 10:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	457	1¢	$5	0x4c9278…
10-27 10:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	11¢	$3	0x0156e2…
10-27 10:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0x928bb0…
10-27 10:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	66	1¢	$1	0x53a1ef…
10-27 09:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xce615e…
10-27 09:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x8ff33f…
10-27 09:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xc65f50…
10-27 09:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x483853…
10-27 09:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	229	1¢	$2	0xb26440…
10-27 09:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x2711cc…
10-27 08:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9fed3e…
10-27 08:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0x6be37c…
10-27 08:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3fbaa2…
10-27 08:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x1e3ab0…
10-27 08:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x28a4af…
10-27 08:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xb2ddb5…
10-27 08:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	86	3¢	$3	0xafd429…
10-27 08:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0xfb8e0f…
10-27 07:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x243469…
10-27 07:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x3ff634…
10-27 07:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xf696cf…
10-27 07:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0x91c23e…
10-27 07:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	61	4¢	$2	0x874bb8…
10-27 07:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0xfd02a1…
10-27 07:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	27	71¢	$19	0x0a6ca7…
10-27 07:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x5c2d60…
10-27 07:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x74a5af…
10-27 07:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0xf80924…
10-27 06:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x4e64b9…
10-27 06:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2d5113…
10-27 06:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0xee7d9b…
10-27 06:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0xcd8db3…
10-27 06:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x1963ed…
10-27 05:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xc0072a…
10-27 05:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0xf910d8…
10-27 05:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x68d38c…
10-27 05:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	512	1¢	$5	0x1c853e…
10-27 04:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xe9f777…
10-27 04:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xed1618…
10-27 04:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xc92c4a…
10-27 04:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xef7222…
10-27 04:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x0805db…
10-27 04:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xdfec95…
10-27 03:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x431796…
10-27 03:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xff7000…
10-27 03:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x815311…
10-27 02:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x479648…
10-27 02:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xda4f3a…
10-27 02:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xce7847…
10-27 02:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6b9397…
10-27 02:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0x401e55…
10-27 02:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xe82084…
10-27 02:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	303	1¢	$3	0x547116…
10-27 02:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	50¢	$15	0x4e9c11…
10-27 02:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	37	39¢	$15	0x19ab2a…
10-27 02:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x0ca8af…
10-27 02:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x158636…
10-27 02:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x59868a…
10-27 02:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x6ab96f…
10-27 02:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	302	1¢	$3	0x9d5711…
10-27 02:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x0b4f6d…
10-27 02:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xac8945…
10-27 02:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xac97dd…
10-27 02:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	44	18¢	$8	0x74cb9a…
10-27 02:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	86	18¢	$15	0x43feec…
10-27 02:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x040674…
10-27 02:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x6d61ee…
10-27 02:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xdd4ad2…
10-27 02:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	253	1¢	$3	0x42e439…
10-27 01:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xdaae52…
10-27 01:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xcb1fb6…
10-27 01:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf7a569…
10-27 01:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xd6a624…
10-27 01:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	64	4¢	$3	0x21e9bf…
10-27 01:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	124	2¢	$2	0x978013…
10-27 01:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xfea0f3…