Realized P&L
+$362
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
76.5%
Resolved
15
Trades
31
lifetime
Volume
$5.93K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$191
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 04-24 00:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
77%
20%
+$100
Politics
23%
20%
+$261
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-24).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | 3 | $3.6K | 1,998 | 1,998 | +0 | Yes | +$352 | 04-12 19:10 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 2 | $878 | 13,478 | 13,478 | +0 | No | -$122 | 04-17 14:25 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 3 | $621 | 437 | 437 | +0 | Yes | +$121 | 04-04 22:33 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 2 | $362 | 333 | 333 | +0 | Yes | +$302 | 04-08 18:33 |
| will iran strike jordan again in march | 2 | $152 | 567 | 567 | +0 | Yes | -$48 | 03-27 01:00 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | 2 | $88 | 221 | 221 | +0 | Yes | -$12 | 04-15 12:07 |
| will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15 | 2 | $70 | 464 | 0 | +464 | No | -$70 | 04-12 03:07 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | 2 | $62 | 238 | 238 | +0 | No | -$38 | 04-17 14:44 |
| houthis successfully target shipping by april 15 | 1 | $50 | 200 | 0 | +200 | No | -$50 | 04-07 20:39 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 2 | $36 | 200 | 200 | +0 | No | -$28 | 03-31 12:51 |
| will uae strike iran by march 31 | 2 | $12 | 143 | 143 | +0 | No | -$8 | 03-31 12:51 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | 2 | $12 | 407 | 407 | +0 | No | -$10 | 04-24 00:46 |
| will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31 | 2 | $12 | 125 | 125 | +0 | No | -$8 | 03-31 12:51 |
| will uk strike iran by march 31 | 2 | $11 | 397 | 397 | +0 | No | -$9 | 03-31 12:51 |
| will any eu country strike iran by march 31 | 2 | $11 | 443 | 443 | +0 | No | -$9 | 03-31 12:52 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||