Somber-Breakdown — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$968

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

45.2%

Resolved

1,199

Trades

2,609

lifetime

Volume

$9.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 08-04 01:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 45% -$643

Other

15% 29% -$324

Sports

2% 36% -$1

Politics

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-04).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+9	$5	32¢	$3	-$2	06-09 12:36
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+24	$5	8¢	$2	-$3	06-09 12:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?	7	$109	81	81	+0	Yes	+$49	07-09 16:50
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?	7	$88	112	112	+0	No	+$28	07-13 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	18	$88	200	0	+200	Down	+$12	05-13 13:40
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 13?	19	$68	303	303	+0	No	+$10	07-13 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 14?	25	$63	79	73	+6	Yes	+$10	07-14 01:11
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on July 13?	24	$61	86	86	+0	No	+$1	07-13 17:28
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 13?	34	$60	136	116	+20	No	+$0	07-13 08:37
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 8?	12	$60	240	0	+240	No	-$60	07-08 11:25
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 13?	22	$59	81	81	+0	Yes	-$1	07-13 04:01
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 13?	11	$57	81	81	+0	No	-$3	07-13 04:48
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 13?	10	$54	59	59	+0	Yes	-$6	07-13 04:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 14:15 UTC	8	$48	102	0	+102	Up	+$54	07-24 14:28
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$40	89	89	+0	No	+$32	07-09 16:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 23:30 UTC	12	$39	85	0	+85	Up	+$47	06-09 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	3	$38	42	42	+0	Up	+$0	05-22 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 13?	36	$37	250	250	+0	No	-$22	07-13 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	7	$37	50	50	+0	Down	-$8	05-13 14:02
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 15:30 UTC	10	$37	80	0	+80	Down	+$43	07-24 15:37
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 13?	2	$32	61	7	+54	No	-$27	07-13 02:54
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on July 9?	1	$30	47	0	+47	No	-$30	07-08 08:21
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 12?	7	$30	500	0	+500	No	-$30	07-12 14:44
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?	9	$30	167	0	+167	No	-$30	07-12 14:31
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 8?	7	$30	75	0	+75	No	-$30	07-08 10:18
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 12?	6	$30	231	0	+231	No	-$30	07-12 21:54
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 8?	1	$30	86	0	+86	Yes	+$56	07-08 08:23
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 8?	1	$30	57	0	+57	Yes	+$27	07-08 08:21
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 8?	2	$30	77	0	+77	No	-$30	07-08 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?	7	$30	130	0	+130	Yes	+$100	07-09 01:37
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 13?	23	$30	130	0	+130	No	-$30	07-13 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 12?	16	$30	88	0	+88	No	-$30	07-12 20:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 01:46:41	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x2b8055…
08-04 01:46:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfb385b…
08-04 01:46:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x27cda9…
08-04 01:45:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xc39fc0…
08-04 01:45:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0xf5b772…
08-04 01:45:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xa26907…
08-04 01:45:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x949286…
08-04 01:45:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x03e548…
08-04 01:45:20	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x883162…
08-04 00:54:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x7b9b71…
08-04 00:54:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x634d38…
08-04 00:50:56	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0xa6654c…
08-04 00:45:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xa29565…
08-03 21:16:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xc150ca…
08-03 21:16:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xb3b684…
08-03 21:16:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x9817bd…
08-03 21:15:39	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xde9145…
08-03 21:15:39	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x845ca4…
08-03 21:15:39	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x446851…
08-03 20:27:00	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfa2248…
08-03 19:15:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xc6bbd3…
08-03 19:15:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xdc14e1…
08-03 18:15:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x94bab7…
08-03 17:30:44	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xfcb7bf…
08-03 17:30:44	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x925874…
08-03 17:30:44	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x160a36…
07-31 16:19:32	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1e4991…
07-31 14:16:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x93e9ed…
07-31 14:16:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x32856b…
07-31 13:34:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x1db214…
07-31 11:30:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0x6506fa…
07-31 11:30:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x288e23…
07-31 11:30:20	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0xbcc80d…
07-31 11:30:20	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1cdb68…
07-31 10:30:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$4	0xf390f6…
07-31 10:30:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x72698c…
07-31 10:30:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x5995d9…
07-31 09:57:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x555a46…
07-31 09:45:44	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb85d38…
07-31 09:45:44	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xade600…
07-31 09:45:44	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xad727d…
07-31 09:45:44	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x75407c…
07-31 09:15:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xc046be…
07-31 08:27:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xd7f2cd…
07-31 08:27:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x5f722c…
07-31 08:27:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x3ccae5…
07-31 08:15:53	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0x4dbad8…
07-31 08:15:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5a6acf…
07-31 08:15:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x7a06dc…
07-31 07:18:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xf3372e…
07-31 06:32:42	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcbb56d…
07-31 06:32:42	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x63c6eb…
07-31 06:30:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xcf08ba…
07-31 05:30:11	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x805d70…
07-31 04:17:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xaeb39a…
07-31 04:17:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3df2b4…
07-31 04:17:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x19296d…
07-31 04:01:56	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x58324d…
07-31 04:01:51	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x76b56b…
07-31 04:00:50	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xe136af…
07-31 04:00:50	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xb82ea0…
07-30 01:30:38	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdafdf6…
07-30 01:30:38	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa3925f…
07-30 01:30:38	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x1f4003…
07-30 01:30:32	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xd83bab…
07-30 01:30:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x2c4d2f…
07-30 01:30:32	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x13ddf3…
07-30 01:30:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x0e78e8…
07-30 01:30:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe63254…
07-30 00:00:18	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xd3912d…
07-29 21:45:26	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x8fa50b…
07-29 19:45:23	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x0f5fdc…
07-29 18:16:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x6f5a1b…
07-29 18:16:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x69d9a1…
07-29 16:15:32	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xa4e112…
07-29 05:01:44	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x994479…
07-29 05:01:44	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4a9459…
07-29 05:01:44	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x0445ec…
07-29 05:01:42	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xb7badc…
07-29 05:01:42	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x86d5dc…
07-29 05:01:42	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3d404c…
07-29 05:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf5d743…
07-29 05:00:12	Solana Up or Down - July 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xb9adb5…
07-29 03:36:27	Solana Up or Down - July 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x79bb4d…
07-29 03:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x7641b8…
07-29 03:16:48	Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x83eb83…
07-29 03:16:27	Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x45a217…
07-29 02:45:48	Solana Up or Down - July 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd045ed…
07-29 02:45:48	Solana Up or Down - July 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x43917d…
07-29 02:45:48	Solana Up or Down - July 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x2fe664…
07-29 02:45:47	Solana Up or Down - July 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xa946e4…
07-29 02:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x23f721…
07-29 01:00:13	Solana Up or Down - July 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x819120…
07-29 01:00:13	Solana Up or Down - July 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0bd0ee…
07-29 01:00:13	Solana Up or Down - July 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x09929e…
07-29 00:15:11	Solana Up or Down - July 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf6dbc4…
07-29 00:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x8c6cf8…
07-29 00:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x850cef…
07-29 00:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x743373…
07-29 00:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x691b8d…