Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$314

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved (30d)

130

Trades (30d)

181

181 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.59K

$1.59K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$42

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-02

last 10-30 14:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

76% 53% -$275

Politics

24% 56% -$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	+26	$23	92¢	$24	+$2	10-29 22:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	+16	$15	95¢	$16	+$1	10-30 00:28
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	+9	$4	24¢	$2	-$2	10-30 14:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $330-$335 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?	4	$84	80	80	+0	No	+$4	10-09 15:06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	3	$69	37	37	+0	Yes	+$4	10-28 09:29
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $530 on October 5?	2	$50	2,683	0	+2,683	No	-$50	10-05 19:52
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more?	2	$50	72	0	+72	open	—	10-29 11:03
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8?	3	$48	52	26	+26	Down	-$5	10-08 16:31
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of October 5 2026?	2	$43	92	0	+92	No	-$43	10-05 19:08
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	2	$34	51	0	+51	Yes	-$4	10-07 01:08
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	4	$32	38	38	+0	Yes	-$24	10-13 05:44
Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	2	$32	36	0	+36	Yes	+$4	10-20 17:14
Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?	2	$29	82	0	+82	Yes	-$23	10-09 17:30
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	1	$25	36	0	+36	No	-$25	10-13 12:47
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on October 5?	1	$25	71	0	+71	Yes	-$25	10-05 17:13
Micron (MU) Up or Down on October 20?	1	$25	35	0	+35	Down	-$25	10-20 14:49
Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 25?	2	$25	34	0	+34	Yes	+$9	10-22 21:51
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	3	$23	31	6	+25	Yes	-$11	10-10 15:49
Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	1	$23	43	0	+43	Yes	-$23	10-11 15:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	1	$23	26	0	+26	open	—	10-29 22:18
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 23?	1	$22	27	0	+27	No	-$22	10-23 19:20
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 19?	1	$22	29	0	+29	Up	+$7	10-19 13:37
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	3	$22	31	10	+21	Yes	+$14	10-07 18:53
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 19?	2	$21	26	0	+26	Up	+$5	10-19 14:14
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	1	$21	24	0	+24	No	+$3	10-09 17:23
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on October 5?	1	$20	224	0	+224	No	-$20	10-05 19:56
spx opens up or down on october 5 2026	1	$20	28	0	+28	Up	-$20	10-05 10:07
Paris curfew by October 19?	1	$19	43	0	+43	Yes	+$24	10-19 12:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 7?	2	$17	11	11	+0	Down	+$5	10-07 14:20
spx up or down on october 13 2026	1	$16	24	0	+24	Down	+$8	10-13 03:05
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 21?	1	$16	22	0	+22	Yes	+$7	10-21 15:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 19 2026?	2	$15	27	0	+27	No	-$15	10-19 09:12
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	10-29 13:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 14:44:22	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x41d236…
10-30 12:17:52	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x7e558b…
10-30 08:48:21	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x49832a…
10-30 06:25:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xa6f99f…
10-30 00:28:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x68224c…
10-30 00:28:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xc3f9c6…
10-30 00:28:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x415245…
10-29 22:18:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	26	86¢	$23	0xc288c9…
10-29 14:22:59	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xfbeb44…
10-29 13:59:13	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x696859…
10-29 11:03:53	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more?	Yes	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x84fb17…
10-29 11:03:53	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more?	Yes	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x3ca3d0…
10-29 04:17:41	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd522e5…
10-28 22:50:58	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0x7f4a85…
10-28 21:38:53	Will Trump say "Liar" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xab9c42…
10-28 20:32:11	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x99da9f…
10-28 09:29:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0x3889a6…
10-28 09:28:13	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xa44934…
10-27 21:09:17	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x6dbca9…
10-27 17:36:41	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x719c3b…
10-27 17:36:27	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xe5e114…
10-25 06:31:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x192edc…
10-25 06:31:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x09dac8…
10-24 22:09:29	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xa0b735…
10-23 19:20:51	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0xe38bec…
10-23 16:34:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x957476…
10-23 15:40:44	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	Yes	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0x5e3f81…
10-23 15:34:14	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xbff5f8…
10-23 15:31:30	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xaf7d8f…
10-23 15:31:30	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x25cb5c…
10-23 14:55:59	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $53 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0x75f444…
10-23 14:55:59	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $53 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0x73c464…
10-23 09:51:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 133 and 135 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xd10eb4…
10-23 06:42:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	13	90¢	$11	0x68f040…
10-23 06:42:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0x249ac5…
10-23 02:23:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x21b195…
10-22 21:51:29	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 25?	Yes	BUY	17	73¢	$12	0xe346f0…
10-22 21:51:29	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 25?	Yes	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x7c2bf5…
10-22 21:24:23	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x89eac0…
10-22 14:54:38	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	Yes	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xd428fe…
10-22 14:54:38	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	Yes	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x13ee8d…
10-22 07:23:35	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x3d7435…
10-22 03:55:15	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x4cae53…
10-22 03:55:15	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x0433f5…
10-22 03:36:54	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $348 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb94296…
10-22 03:36:54	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $348 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x762de6…
10-21 16:57:29	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$10	0x8a9c28…
10-21 15:35:03	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	22	70¢	$16	0x675cbb…
10-21 08:02:57	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x6dfc71…
10-21 03:36:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x5f9b7e…
10-21 03:36:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x51ae37…
10-20 22:35:14	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0xf31ccc…
10-20 22:18:47	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$5	0xf7c161…
10-20 22:18:45	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xcafe58…
10-20 20:11:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x12d4f1…
10-20 17:14:08	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	Yes	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x7a7767…
10-20 17:14:06	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	Yes	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0xcf0505…
10-20 14:49:08	Micron (MU) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xd9d136…
10-20 14:17:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x5d379c…
10-20 08:08:23	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xdc654e…
10-20 02:17:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x38e9cf…
10-20 01:46:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x713e94…
10-20 01:03:47	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x5a50ca…
10-20 00:19:23	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xc25123…
10-19 20:50:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$4	0x8a92f3…
10-19 16:29:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x26d84b…
10-19 15:39:24	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $340 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x6597ab…
10-19 15:10:15	SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	17	87¢	$14	0xe4ad66…
10-19 15:10:05	Paris curfew by October 21?	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x4083e4…
10-19 14:14:48	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	13	81¢	$10	0xdc6872…
10-19 14:14:48	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	13	81¢	$10	0xaca189…
10-19 13:37:00	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	29	75¢	$22	0x65ba76…
10-19 12:41:21	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	BUY	43	45¢	$19	0x6ad436…
10-19 12:17:45	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x5b6c7d…
10-19 11:01:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0xa164c1…
10-19 09:12:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	58¢	$8	0x428edb…
10-19 09:12:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	58¢	$8	0xc4ec9d…
10-19 09:05:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x22f52c…
10-19 08:16:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xecc401…
10-19 04:36:20	Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xbe274f…
10-19 03:43:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x687bbe…
10-19 03:38:00	Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb705c4…
10-19 00:08:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xdccec1…
10-19 00:08:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x762a8b…
10-18 16:27:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xeb5c99…
10-17 03:15:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x644c34…
10-16 21:35:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x11e5ea…
10-16 18:56:28	Will Trump say "Laken Riley Act" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xe872f4…
10-16 18:56:28	Will Trump say "Laken Riley Act" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xcb6fa4…
10-16 18:33:10	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x2b80ca…
10-16 15:49:24	wti closes above 95 on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xa731f8…
10-16 14:24:37	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xa7f339…
10-16 13:40:16	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $530-$540 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Yes	BUY	14	60¢	$9	0xc1739f…
10-15 19:28:14	spx opens up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0a8b16…
10-15 15:29:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x35d9ad…
10-14 16:58:55	will trump say border during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	Yes	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x325a0e…
10-14 15:54:55	will trump say transgender during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	No	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0x1e8a55…
10-14 08:54:55	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x6e4752…
10-13 17:29:54	will trump say spoiler during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	Yes	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x893a7b…
10-13 12:47:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xf219c1…