Finished-Bell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

292

Trades

293

lifetime

Volume

$3.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-06 09:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 235 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 6?	No		+8	$8	100¢	$8	$0	11-06 09:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 07:21
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 05:24
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	25	+25	No	-$24	05-15 05:15
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:46
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 16:50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 06:33
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 10:19
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 01:34
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 12:17
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 04:12
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:19
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:48
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:25
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 04:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:18
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:52
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 29c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:39
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$22	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:52
highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 35c	1	$22	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-04 13:33
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 3 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 12:26
highest temperature in los angeles on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 02:13
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 09:20:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b97b2…
11-04 13:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2bfb6e…
11-03 17:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3d21d…
11-02 06:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefd776…
10-31 15:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x749eb5…
10-30 14:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63233e…
10-29 17:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82a99b…
10-29 09:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f9b6c…
10-28 07:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x96f68a…
10-27 09:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2fd47b…
10-26 09:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe62487…
10-24 11:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x037341…
10-22 10:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e767c…
10-20 07:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe699c7…
10-19 09:29:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x940d12…
10-18 10:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32b558…
10-17 15:43:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa155db…
10-16 10:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe058f7…
10-15 13:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7231cd…
10-14 09:46:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xacba92…
10-13 10:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x383c75…
10-12 09:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5459b1…
10-11 09:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e1af4…
10-08 12:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7caf41…
10-07 15:43:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a9bc5…
10-06 15:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x708024…
10-05 06:27:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x590871…
10-03 09:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2fb798…
10-02 13:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x675c42…
10-01 09:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f8eb9…
09-30 14:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x192835…
09-30 03:29:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83688b…
09-28 09:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf0317…
09-27 09:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb18891…
09-25 16:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e330c…
09-24 08:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f6168…
09-23 10:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f9299…
09-22 08:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d823b…
09-21 09:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa5c79…
09-20 05:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2fa8f…
09-19 08:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e198d…
09-18 07:47:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5896e…
09-17 04:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19fd9c…
09-16 08:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaae1f5…
09-15 10:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f63bc…
09-14 09:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68cf1e…
09-13 03:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc40df1…
09-11 09:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83eb9b…
09-10 08:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x487897…
09-09 02:40:37	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc723ad…
09-08 06:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18e749…
09-07 08:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc357bd…
09-06 11:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e34b7…
09-05 01:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee8f5a…
09-04 01:02:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9ca1b…
09-02 07:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x244404…
08-30 14:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x330246…
08-29 09:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc48317…
08-28 08:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6414ce…
08-27 09:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x284ce8…
08-26 08:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c86a4…
08-25 09:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x182d6f…
08-24 14:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4d9146…
08-23 15:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd37d4c…
08-22 09:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab5ed5…
08-21 08:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1dc89…
08-20 09:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ecbad…
08-18 08:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85982f…
08-17 08:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ddc56…
08-16 14:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x563efc…
08-15 10:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19f97f…
08-14 06:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ab821…
08-13 09:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a0f57…
08-12 09:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaaafca…
08-11 07:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x162cac…
08-10 08:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc43178…
08-09 06:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17db5b…
08-08 07:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f276d…
08-07 08:23:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x967d2c…
08-06 07:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff3bb6…
08-05 08:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c13ce…
08-04 08:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfcd3b1…
08-03 07:45:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d100e…
08-02 06:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x651426…
08-01 07:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0144c7…
07-31 14:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71e11c…
07-30 07:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x513640…
07-29 07:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d1fb1…
07-28 07:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0191c0…
07-27 09:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3e944…
07-26 08:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe63f74…
07-25 09:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82a579…
07-24 13:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8a574…
07-23 08:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46be9a…
07-22 02:11:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x922faa…
07-21 09:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27f9cb…
07-21 00:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25998a…
07-20 08:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ed0d8…
07-18 23:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf3172…
07-18 05:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x377fee…