Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

-$84

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

212

Trades

1,095

lifetime

Volume

$26.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$77

1 position

First seen

2026-08-29

last 10-21 19:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 58% -$26

Tech

2% — —

Other

1% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 477 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes		+828	$161	9¢	$77	-$84	10-21 19:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 12:20 UTC	12	$875	814	814	+0	Down	+$75	08-30 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 12:10 UTC	10	$859	483	483	+0	Up	+$59	08-30 12:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 08:45 UTC	13	$784	680	680	+0	Up	-$16	08-30 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 13:00 UTC	9	$673	734	734	+0	Up	+$173	08-30 13:04
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	4	$555	1,202	1,202	+0	open	—	09-18 21:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:30 UTC	8	$544	442	442	+0	Down	+$44	08-30 09:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:15 UTC	8	$527	349	349	+0	Down	+$27	08-30 17:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:35 UTC	7	$515	287	287	+0	Up	+$15	08-30 09:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 12:45 UTC	9	$513	407	407	+0	Down	+$13	08-30 12:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:00 UTC	12	$485	393	393	+0	Up	-$35	08-31 17:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	9	$468	416	260	+156	Up	-$72	08-31 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 12:30 UTC	9	$460	534	534	+0	Up	-$40	08-30 12:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:45 UTC	7	$457	321	321	+0	Down	+$57	08-31 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 11:00 UTC	10	$444	284	284	+0	Up	+$26	08-30 11:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 04:20 UTC	9	$443	378	378	+0	Down	+$43	08-31 04:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 04:25 UTC	9	$440	350	350	+0	Up	+$0	08-31 04:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:05 UTC	8	$437	247	247	+0	Down	+$17	08-30 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:20 UTC	12	$435	319	319	+0	Down	-$5	08-30 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 12:55 UTC	7	$430	267	267	+0	Up	+$30	08-30 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:35 UTC	8	$407	303	303	+0	Down	+$7	08-31 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 11:45 UTC	7	$405	318	318	+0	Down	+$5	08-30 11:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:00 UTC	7	$383	335	275	+60	Up	-$23	08-30 09:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:10 UTC	9	$371	710	235	+475	Down	-$69	08-30 17:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 08:40 UTC	8	$354	266	266	+0	Up	+$42	08-30 08:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:15 UTC	6	$345	430	430	+0	Down	+$45	08-30 09:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:05 UTC	5	$340	384	222	+162	Down	-$60	08-30 09:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 19:50 UTC	4	$335	259	259	+0	Down	+$135	08-31 19:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:55 UTC	9	$329	241	241	+0	Down	+$12	08-30 10:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:35 UTC	7	$325	250	250	+0	Up	+$19	08-30 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 11:15 UTC	5	$311	208	208	+0	Up	+$11	08-30 11:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 19:54:15	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	61	15¢	$9	0xf83547…
10-21 19:53:27	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	68	15¢	$10	0xa50a97…
10-21 19:53:06	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	55	16¢	$9	0x95a52d…
10-21 19:52:21	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0xa79e7c…
10-21 19:51:48	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	68	15¢	$10	0xfc7697…
10-20 17:07:47	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0x96cf7a…
10-20 17:06:42	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xb7d43e…
10-20 17:06:09	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xd74667…
10-18 14:53:18	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	181	23¢	$42	0xf5f146…
10-18 14:52:35	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	109	22¢	$24	0x4cce68…
10-18 14:50:35	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	231	20¢	$46	0x16fd83…
10-18 14:49:50	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	475	21¢	$100	0xb325df…
09-27 11:59:48	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xe00631…
09-27 11:51:41	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x6003a4…
09-27 11:51:05	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0xbc2f3e…
09-27 11:50:14	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	155	13¢	$20	0x9f0052…
09-27 10:16:08	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x49bd34…
09-27 10:15:20	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	129	16¢	$20	0x6b1f93…
09-27 10:11:44	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x795b4b…
09-27 10:07:56	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	73	28¢	$20	0xe9b94e…
09-27 10:02:53	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x568733…
09-27 10:02:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xa6b118…
09-27 09:57:38	bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	262	6¢	$16	0x9d07e3…
09-27 09:55:57	bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xaa6c27…
09-27 09:54:56	bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x8d858c…
09-27 09:51:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	71	68¢	$48	0xc711dc…
09-27 09:24:02	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x586f38…
09-27 09:17:48	bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	24	23¢	$5	0xa97fd3…
09-27 09:15:29	bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xcabd38…
09-27 08:02:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x179289…
09-27 08:00:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5e8691…
09-27 07:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xeceb03…
09-22 16:58:09	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0xb31433…
09-22 16:58:09	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x71cd80…
09-22 16:58:09	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x27d02c…
09-21 16:35:20	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0x6e54ec…
09-21 08:01:54	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xf141f9…
09-21 08:00:45	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x72f2de…
09-21 07:59:48	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xb91e41…
09-20 18:41:14	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	267	0¢	$1	0x495724…
09-20 18:40:29	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x33a851…
09-20 18:35:04	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x1bb82a…
09-20 12:28:25	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	383	9¢	$34	0x1994cc…
09-20 07:02:10	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	121	8¢	$10	0x6e1f18…
09-18 21:32:10	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,202	33¢	$397	0xff8e17…
09-12 17:35:55	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	918	12¢	$113	0x6788ee…
09-12 17:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd5c37c…
09-12 17:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	95	20¢	$19	0x6b4cd6…
09-12 17:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x16d735…
09-11 07:33:01	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	49	17¢	$8	0x395b33…
09-09 11:14:37	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	235	16¢	$38	0xda5554…
09-09 11:13:55	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x2d7439…
09-09 11:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	52	9¢	$5	0xa2c29c…
09-09 09:13:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-09 09:10 UTC	Up	SELL	6	73¢	$5	0xc4e8b6…
09-09 09:11:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-09 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x536e2e…
09-09 09:08:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-09 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfc2455…
09-09 09:08:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-09 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x488add…
09-09 09:07:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-09 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0e760f…
09-09 09:06:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-09 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0525ed…
09-09 09:06:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-09 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x24fc80…
09-09 09:01:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-09 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	24	13¢	$3	0x4507c7…
09-09 09:01:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-09 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe052d6…
09-09 09:01:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-09 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd04fd4…
09-09 09:00:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-09 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7691d3…
09-09 08:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x41efa2…
09-09 08:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x68bc46…
09-09 08:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xebf8a0…
09-09 08:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbf37fa…
09-09 08:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x4605cb…
09-09 08:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2e1b70…
09-09 08:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4431a7…
09-09 08:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x68a855…
09-09 08:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa61924…
09-09 08:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x76b3e4…
09-09 08:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x51cb09…
09-09 08:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x987477…
09-09 07:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x4f3faf…
09-09 07:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6b43e7…
09-09 07:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfd3293…
09-09 07:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0xf2ed75…
09-09 07:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x176b5f…
09-09 07:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6106a2…
09-09 07:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x35863b…
09-09 07:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x92e884…
09-09 07:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$1	0xc61772…
09-09 07:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x33d77d…
09-09 07:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$2	0x986a4f…
09-09 07:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x15dfba…
09-09 07:08:13	Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	Yes	SELL	79	8¢	$6	0x4cd99c…
09-02 11:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x88e3ea…
09-02 11:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcc2209…
09-02 11:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9cefde…
09-02 11:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6c4c75…
09-02 11:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xeedf57…
09-02 10:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x6017b2…
09-02 10:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x59f57e…
09-02 10:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x53b19c…
09-02 10:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbf06e2…
09-02 10:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0844ae…
09-02 10:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x0e64b6…