Crooked-Means — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$56

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 09-02 00:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

38% 100% +$0

Other

28% 100% +$1

Tech

23% 100% +$1

Sports

7% 100% +$0

Politics

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	1	$11	11	+11	No	+$0	02-18 13:23
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	01-13 05:57
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$4	5	+5	No	+$0	03-15 06:39
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$4	4	+4	Yes	+$0	05-24 01:50
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$4	4	+4	Yes	+$0	04-29 01:07
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$4	4	+4	Yes	+$0	01-13 05:57
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$3	3	+3	Yes	+$0	02-18 13:23
will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$3	3	+3	Yes	+$0	03-15 06:39
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3	3	+3	No	+$0	06-10 06:28
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	05-24 01:51
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	04-29 01:10
will dtmf bad bunny be the 1 song on spotify this week 793	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	02-18 13:24
will end of beginning djo be the 1 song on spotify this week 777	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	01-13 05:57
will alberto di rubba win the 2026 rovigo by election	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	03-15 06:40
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 19°C or below on April 30?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	04-29 01:11
Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	06-10 06:33
Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	06-10 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 25?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	05-24 01:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-02 00:22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	07-26 02:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 00:22:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x615da6…
07-26 02:45:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b40b6…
06-10 06:33:49	Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3c9b12…
06-10 06:28:43	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9f9ddd…
06-10 06:28:24	Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc9a558…
05-24 01:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xee70e7…
05-24 01:51:27	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0b72c4…
05-24 01:50:38	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xe2be26…
04-29 01:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 19°C or below on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfeb50d…
04-29 01:10:20	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x264b4a…
04-29 01:07:56	Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x11b3e8…
03-15 06:40:03	will alberto di rubba win the 2026 rovigo by election	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa50401…
03-15 06:39:43	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x5bc8a1…
03-15 06:39:29	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x8edf8e…
02-18 13:24:02	will dtmf bad bunny be the 1 song on spotify this week 793	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x703d6f…
02-18 13:23:42	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x5e214c…
02-18 13:23:26	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7004e1…
01-13 05:57:39	will end of beginning djo be the 1 song on spotify this week 777	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x900bf9…
01-13 05:57:23	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x66b054…
01-13 05:57:07	will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc488b6…