Warped-Savings — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$469

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.0%

Resolved

102

Trades

145

lifetime

Volume

$67.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$466

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-12 17:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 77% $-743

Other

1% 100% +$274

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	7	$2.8K	4,127	2,848	+1,279	Up	+$108	05-12 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$2.0K	2,762	0	+2,762	Up	$-418	05-12 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	3	$2.0K	2,261	0	+2,261	Up	$-838	05-12 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$1.7K	2,647	0	+2,647	Up	+$63	05-12 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$1.6K	1,758	0	+1,758	Up	+$159	05-12 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	3	$1.5K	2,083	0	+2,083	Up	$-569	05-12 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$1.5K	1,824	0	+1,824	Down	$-937	05-12 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	3	$1.5K	1,739	0	+1,739	Down	+$239	05-12 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$1.3K	1,811	0	+1,811	Up	+$461	05-12 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$1.3K	1,886	0	+1,886	Up	$-775	05-12 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$1.3K	1,944	0	+1,944	Up	+$170	05-12 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$1.3K	1,842	0	+1,842	Down	$-302	05-12 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$1.2K	1,358	0	+1,358	Down	+$158	05-12 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$1.2K	1,376	0	+1,376	Down	+$176	05-12 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$1.2K	1,311	0	+1,311	Down	+$111	05-12 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$1.1K	1,214	0	+1,214	Down	+$84	05-12 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$1.1K	1,184	0	+1,184	Down	+$84	05-12 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$1.0K	1,073	0	+1,073	Down	+$73	05-12 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$1.0K	1,196	0	+1,196	Up	+$196	05-12 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$1000	1,136	0	+1,136	Up	+$136	05-12 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$1000	1,242	0	+1,242	Down	+$242	05-12 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$1000	1,150	0	+1,150	Down	+$150	05-12 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$1000	1,154	0	+1,154	Up	+$154	05-12 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$1000	1,069	0	+1,069	Down	+$69	05-12 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$1000	1,112	0	+1,112	Up	$-1,000	05-12 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$1000	1,231	0	+1,231	Down	+$231	05-12 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$1000	1,102	0	+1,102	Down	+$102	05-12 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$1000	1,135	0	+1,135	Up	+$135	05-12 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$1000	1,012	0	+1,012	Down	+$12	05-12 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$1000	1,094	0	+1,094	Up	+$94	05-12 11:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 17:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x8f9bcf…
05-12 16:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x2d6884…
05-12 16:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x8e730c…
05-12 16:21:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x0432bb…
05-12 16:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	87	69¢	$60	0xbced53…
05-12 16:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x5ef20d…
05-12 16:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xab633c…
05-12 15:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	102	88¢	$90	0xe776a3…
05-12 15:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xff0e88…
05-12 15:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	70	86¢	$60	0x312661…
05-12 15:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0x40be1f…
05-12 15:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xb93fd5…
05-12 15:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xa69ca8…
05-12 15:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xcfb44a…
05-12 14:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	134	44¢	$59	0x559c10…
05-12 14:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	151	39¢	$59	0xa78e80…
05-12 14:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1,009	50¢	$500	0x65425a…
05-12 14:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	517	97¢	$500	0xbd882f…
05-12 14:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	151	52¢	$79	0xecfd3b…
05-12 14:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	544	92¢	$500	0xb09749…
05-12 13:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	599	83¢	$500	0x41b4b8…
05-12 13:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x9cc168…
05-12 13:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	563	89¢	$500	0x28cd18…
05-12 13:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1,261	79¢	$1,000	0xc99a7d…
05-12 13:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	424	83¢	$350	0x34c06a…
05-12 13:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	208	69¢	$143	0x3e0c8e…
05-12 13:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1,312	65¢	$857	0x159a31…
05-12 13:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	575	61¢	$350	0xd15f8c…
05-12 13:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1,311	76¢	$1,000	0xf8d269…
05-12 13:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	364	81¢	$296	0xc57a9c…
05-12 13:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	915	77¢	$704	0x48132a…
05-12 13:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	892	26¢	$229	0x8179d9…
05-12 13:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1,956	31¢	$600	0x187deb…
05-12 13:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1,337	36¢	$477	0xe5459e…
05-12 13:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1,108	34¢	$374	0xa27394…
05-12 13:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	402	37¢	$149	0x6b7dcf…
05-12 13:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0x1bb35e…
05-12 13:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	390	84¢	$327	0xd7326c…
05-12 13:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	823	82¢	$673	0xcee6c5…
05-12 12:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1,098	91¢	$1,000	0x57cdb9…
05-12 12:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	622	96¢	$600	0x707900…
05-12 12:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0x2213b4…
05-12 12:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0xf26d5e…
05-12 12:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1,082	92¢	$1,000	0x765f62…
05-12 12:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	793	44¢	$350	0xa349c3…
05-12 12:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1,048	95¢	$1,000	0xc32d77…
05-12 12:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1,012	99¢	$1,000	0xafa99e…
05-12 12:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	442	79¢	$350	0x5af42b…
05-12 12:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1,370	73¢	$1,000	0x14ebef…
05-12 12:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1,112	90¢	$1,000	0x870543…
05-12 11:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	452	84¢	$380	0xc2078b…
05-12 11:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,341	75¢	$1,000	0xbe6aaa…
05-12 11:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	854	41¢	$350	0x1b42ae…
05-12 11:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1,135	88¢	$1,000	0xf43cd4…
05-12 11:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	446	65¢	$290	0x719f7f…
05-12 11:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1,136	62¢	$710	0x6c426c…
05-12 11:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1,180	85¢	$1,000	0x605895…
05-12 11:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1,094	91¢	$1,000	0x0a4c66…
05-12 11:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1,154	87¢	$1,000	0xe08262…
05-12 11:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	891	76¢	$682	0x22e38a…
05-12 11:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	270	83¢	$224	0x1787fb…
05-12 11:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1,019	98¢	$1,000	0xdd5f29…
05-12 11:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1,196	84¢	$1,000	0xe8827f…
05-12 11:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1,102	91¢	$1,000	0x8cf331…
05-12 11:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1,082	92¢	$1,000	0x013957…
05-12 11:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,099	91¢	$1,000	0x603a11…
05-12 11:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,073	93¢	$1,000	0x3448d7…
05-12 10:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	427	89¢	$380	0x17b875…
05-12 10:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0xfa1051…
05-12 10:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1,027	97¢	$1,000	0xf98e67…
05-12 10:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1,069	94¢	$1,000	0x0c9ebb…
05-12 10:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	136	83¢	$112	0xb510cc…
05-12 10:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1,095	81¢	$888	0x4c61ca…
05-12 10:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1,150	87¢	$1,000	0x5a6b2e…
05-12 10:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1,020	98¢	$1,000	0x0d8511…
05-12 10:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xeccc8d…
05-12 10:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1,146	86¢	$986	0x6061a5…
05-12 10:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1,099	91¢	$1,000	0x31087a…
05-12 10:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1,242	81¢	$1,000	0xfe6381…
05-12 10:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,023	98¢	$1,000	0x69c698…
05-12 09:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0xf8b129…
05-12 09:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	684	88¢	$600	0x3a6b03…
05-12 09:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	631	95¢	$600	0x480258…
05-12 09:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	745	80¢	$600	0xa2a455…
05-12 09:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	613	98¢	$600	0x46ed3d…
05-12 09:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	744	81¢	$600	0xd9d3e7…
05-12 09:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	637	94¢	$600	0x3c5e0f…
05-12 09:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	674	89¢	$600	0x6103ec…
05-12 09:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	651	92¢	$600	0xb8c9ef…
05-12 09:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	656	91¢	$600	0x25c787…
05-12 09:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	617	97¢	$600	0xc1cba2…
05-12 09:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	518	97¢	$500	0x56a4cd…
05-12 09:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	667	90¢	$600	0xd871f3…
05-12 09:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	657	91¢	$600	0x44fa23…
05-12 09:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	354	99¢	$350	0xc9d499…
05-12 09:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	627	96¢	$600	0x152b4b…
05-12 09:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,102	54¢	$600	0x999439…
05-12 08:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	681	88¢	$600	0x4d2dc1…
05-12 08:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	702	85¢	$600	0xed0599…
05-12 08:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	530	94¢	$500	0xae8110…