Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.9%

Resolved

865

Trades

1,230

lifetime

Volume

$6.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-23

last 08-18 16:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

96% 66% +$27

Crypto

2% 47% -$48

Politics

1% 60% +$8

Tech

0% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	3	$26	18	18	+0	Yes	+$10	08-17 22:14
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 16?	2	$26	18	18	+0	Yes	+$10	08-16 10:44
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 16?	2	$26	17	17	+0	Yes	+$8	08-16 10:14
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	2	$26	18	18	+0	Yes	+$10	08-17 16:14
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 16?	2	$25	17	17	+0	Yes	+$8	08-16 11:14
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 16?	2	$25	16	16	+0	Yes	+$7	08-16 15:14
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 15?	2	$25	17	17	+0	Yes	+$9	08-16 01:14
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 16?	2	$24	15	15	+0	Yes	+$6	08-16 08:44
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	2	$23	15	15	+0	Yes	+$6	08-18 15:44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 17?	2	$23	14	14	+0	Yes	+$5	08-17 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 15?	2	$23	14	14	+0	Yes	+$5	08-15 08:13
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 72m?	2	$23	15	15	+0	Yes	+$6	08-17 22:44
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 15?	2	$22	14	14	+0	Yes	+$5	08-16 00:44
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	2	$22	14	14	+0	Yes	+$6	08-18 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 15?	2	$21	13	13	+0	Yes	+$5	08-15 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 17?	2	$21	13	13	+0	Yes	+$4	08-17 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 15?	3	$21	12	12	+0	Yes	+$3	08-15 22:44
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 13?	3	$21	14	14	+0	Yes	+$7	08-13 17:13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 14?	2	$21	14	14	+0	Yes	+$7	08-14 16:43
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 13?	3	$21	14	14	+0	Yes	+$7	08-13 15:43
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 15?	2	$21	12	12	+0	Yes	+$3	08-16 00:44
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	2	$21	12	12	+0	Yes	+$3	08-18 16:02
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	+$3	08-15 16:14
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 16?	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	+$3	08-16 15:14
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 15?	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	+$4	08-15 16:44
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 13?	6	$20	13	13	+0	Yes	+$6	08-14 04:13
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 14?	2	$20	13	13	+0	Yes	+$7	08-14 15:43
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 13?	2	$20	13	13	+0	Yes	+$7	08-13 17:13
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 15?	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$2	08-16 03:14
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 16?	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$2	08-16 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 16:08:27	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x5a8396…
08-18 16:08:21	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0xc9cc15…
08-18 16:08:12	Will the most viewed episode of ABC World News Tonight for the week of August 10 - August 16 have between 8.5 million and 9 million viewers?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xa9a436…
08-18 16:08:04	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x209266…
08-18 16:07:58	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0x468f8d…
08-18 16:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 19?	No	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x79d8ae…
08-18 16:07:45	Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0xb2498e…
08-18 16:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 19?	No	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x681622…
08-18 16:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 19?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xc48716…
08-18 16:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 19?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x88465b…
08-18 16:07:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 19?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x280f1f…
08-18 16:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 19?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x03e33a…
08-18 16:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 19?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x626c3b…
08-18 16:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 19?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x61c40b…
08-18 16:06:42	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in August 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd77044…
08-18 16:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 19?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x82ad14…
08-18 16:06:30	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x55fdaf…
08-18 16:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 19?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x5a63ec…
08-18 16:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 19?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xe738eb…
08-18 16:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 19?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x0c369d…
08-18 16:06:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xc41f65…
08-18 16:05:52	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x4fd564…
08-18 16:05:46	Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	71¢	$5	0xe84707…
08-18 16:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 19?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xe28a12…
08-18 16:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 19?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x2ae385…
08-18 16:05:24	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x9424a8…
08-18 16:05:15	Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x31cfe5…
08-18 16:05:06	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0xa4503a…
08-18 16:05:00	Will Eastern Europe & CIS region win The International 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0xef1ac0…
08-18 16:04:54	Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?	No	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0x37c12b…
08-18 16:04:48	Will Databricks have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xf72e69…
08-18 16:04:42	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0x3b4327…
08-18 16:04:34	Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0xdb79d5…
08-18 16:04:25	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x94e320…
08-18 16:04:18	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x6afe88…
08-18 16:04:10	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x404699…
08-18 16:04:03	Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?	No	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x6e07e9…
08-18 16:03:54	Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x3b748b…
08-18 16:03:46	Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x1d5dd5…
08-18 16:03:39	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0xa3dfc7…
08-18 16:03:31	Will BoomBoys Win The International 2026?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x0c0b5d…
08-18 16:03:22	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x09816d…
08-18 16:03:13	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	53¢	$7	0x0e9934…
08-18 16:03:06	Will Western Europe region win The International 2026?	No	SELL	11	71¢	$8	0x54a8f1…
08-18 16:02:57	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x8663ea…
08-18 16:02:49	Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$8	0x84ae96…
08-18 16:02:42	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	16	53¢	$9	0xd18a02…
08-18 16:02:34	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x98b318…
08-18 16:02:25	Will Nigma Galaxy Win The International 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x23d57a…
08-18 16:02:18	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0x88791e…
08-18 16:02:09	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xbf8213…
08-18 15:44:45	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0x0db2e9…
08-18 15:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 19?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7d6c74…
08-18 12:35:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 19?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xfb7a8f…
08-18 12:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 19?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$4	0x8f91f5…
08-18 11:44:43	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfc4848…
08-18 10:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 19?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x61c712…
08-18 09:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2fd403…
08-18 07:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xb47d5e…
08-18 06:44:40	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x98fb04…
08-18 05:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 19?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$4	0xe842e2…
08-18 05:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 19?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xce2c24…
08-18 04:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 19?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa4d3fe…
08-18 04:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 19?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x716b91…
08-18 03:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3941ce…
08-18 03:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 19?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$4	0x7378ba…
08-18 01:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 17?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x775bad…
08-18 01:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 19?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x126790…
08-18 00:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 19?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x1241f1…
08-18 00:14:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 17?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xab46b5…
08-17 23:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 19?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x722f30…
08-17 23:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on August 17?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1647df…
08-17 23:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x677dae…
08-17 22:44:36	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 72m?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0x900496…
08-17 22:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x29d98e…
08-17 22:14:36	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x0e93fc…
08-17 20:20:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x4ac9c4…
08-17 20:14:34	Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 25m?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf2bbcb…
08-17 19:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2f4c4b…
08-17 18:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x29a5d9…
08-17 18:14:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe23f03…
08-17 18:02:13	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x9e7e24…
08-17 16:44:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb2ece9…
08-17 16:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x2d255a…
08-17 16:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd8c8be…
08-17 16:14:31	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x0634c8…
08-17 15:20:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xc68391…
08-17 15:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa7bc02…
08-17 13:31:51	bitcoin above 64k on august 17 2026	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xec05ba…
08-17 13:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x54c0c3…
08-17 11:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$9	0x333969…
08-17 11:19:55	Will the most viewed episode of ABC World News Tonight for the week of August 10 - August 16 have between 8.5 million and 9 million viewers?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x79d9c0…
08-17 10:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x0eb575…
08-17 09:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x017425…
08-17 09:42:43	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x40532c…
08-17 09:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xdfe1d9…
08-17 09:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x356057…
08-17 09:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xe89744…
08-17 08:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x31924c…
08-17 07:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x6fceb2…