Menacing-Disagreement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.07K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.3%

Resolved

1,220

Trades

4,539

lifetime

Volume

$52.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 10-28 13:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 199 days

Categories

Other

85% 56% +$1,233

Crypto

11% 79% -$135

Politics

4% 44% -$29

Sports

0% 100% +$9

Tech

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 27 2026 182	5	$679	350	350	+0	Yes	+$1	03-31 06:48
will bitcoin dip to 65k on april 3	2	$370	385	0	+385	No	+$15	04-03 12:17
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	2	$362	190	190	+0	No	$0	04-12 09:25
will love on the spectrum season 4 be the top us netflix show this week	4	$361	370	0	+370	No	+$9	04-04 21:54
highest temperature in nyc on april 2 2026 59forbelow	1	$355	375	0	+375	Yes	+$20	04-01 15:39
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	1	$352	370	0	+370	No	+$18	03-27 14:35
highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 22c	1	$347	365	0	+365	No	+$18	03-31 07:32
highest temperature in seoul on march 28 2026 11c	1	$338	350	0	+350	No	+$12	03-27 20:34
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	1	$333	340	0	+340	No	+$7	03-29 17:40
highest temperature in seoul on march 27 2026 10c	3	$323	347	0	+347	No	+$24	03-26 18:37
highest temperature in madrid on march 29 2026 11corbelow	2	$289	300	0	+300	No	+$11	03-29 08:46
highest temperature in chicago on april 5 2026 56forhigher	1	$283	300	0	+300	No	+$17	04-04 21:28
ethereum above 2300 on april 2	3	$281	290	0	+290	No	+$9	04-01 15:52
will bitcoin reach 69k on april 2	2	$280	287	0	+287	No	+$7	04-02 18:45
bun uni pau 2026 04 05 total 4pt5	1	$277	295	0	+295	Under	+$18	04-05 11:12
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$275	161	161	+0	No	-$24	04-15 13:32
highest temperature in london on march 27 2026 14c	3	$266	275	0	+275	No	+$9	03-26 23:37
bitcoin above 72k on april 1	1	$264	280	0	+280	No	+$16	03-30 07:44
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 6	2	$258	275	0	+275	No	+$17	04-06 09:14
highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 86forhigher	9	$252	255	0	+255	No	+$3	03-26 20:19
highest temperature in miami on march 28 2026 80 81f	3	$237	250	0	+250	No	+$12	03-28 11:38
highest temperature in nyc on march 28 2026 46 47f	12	$237	250	0	+250	No	+$12	03-28 12:19
highest temperature in london on april 9 2026 23c	3	$236	129	129	+0	No	-$14	04-09 12:41
highest temperature in milan on april 3 2026 23corhigher	1	$236	258	0	+258	No	+$22	04-03 11:28
ethereum above 2100 on april 10	2	$233	244	0	+244	Yes	+$11	04-10 08:15
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 8	3	$220	150	149	+1	No	-$58	04-08 15:18
highest temperature in miami on april 6 2026 78 79f	1	$220	236	0	+236	No	+$16	04-06 11:15
highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 14c	4	$211	224	0	+224	No	+$13	04-02 18:15
will ethereum dip to 2100 on april 6	1	$200	220	0	+220	Yes	-$200	04-06 22:13
will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week 483	5	$196	200	0	+200	No	+$4	04-04 23:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:55:56	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xa975f1…
10-28 13:55:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x61cd07…
10-28 13:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x1ee340…
10-28 13:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xaa3ea9…
10-28 13:22:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0x78de6d…
10-28 13:22:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xeb7588…
10-28 13:22:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x1f9f8b…
10-28 13:22:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	66	52¢	$34	0xb67c6b…
10-28 10:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc768b0…
10-28 09:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	126	44¢	$55	0xbf9a71…
10-28 09:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$5	0x4e47e6…
10-28 09:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xe43b3e…
10-28 09:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xfc1942…
10-28 08:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	125	48¢	$60	0xd5a12d…
10-27 15:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x52cdc2…
10-27 15:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xd67276…
10-27 15:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xdbe568…
10-27 15:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	18	47¢	$9	0x66db65…
10-27 15:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	12	47¢	$5	0x51c235…
10-27 15:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x30aed2…
10-27 15:01:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xbd4e55…
10-27 14:20:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xcd0206…
10-27 14:20:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0xa26e16…
10-27 14:20:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x698896…
10-27 14:20:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x681d11…
10-27 14:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x97be95…
10-27 14:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x2832c4…
10-27 14:15:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf99665…
10-27 13:37:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0a96fc…
10-27 13:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xa8ac7b…
10-27 13:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xa1a23f…
10-27 13:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0b3eb0…
10-27 13:19:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x58a5ea…
10-27 13:19:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x19a91d…
10-27 13:14:17	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x96dda7…
10-27 12:23:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x8ca570…
10-27 12:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xea5f26…
10-27 12:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x447163…
10-27 12:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x92ab88…
10-27 12:22:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc3e2ef…
10-27 12:22:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3680e0…
10-27 12:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x566be5…
10-27 12:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xfcdc0d…
10-27 12:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x793cf6…
10-27 12:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x28d5fd…
10-27 12:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x25a519…
10-27 12:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0621d1…
10-27 12:21:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe31798…
10-27 12:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xa4b7a7…
10-27 12:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x0c116c…
10-27 12:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe8e0da…
10-27 12:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe67288…
10-27 12:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7f6b2c…
10-27 12:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x694780…
10-27 12:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3a8c27…
10-27 12:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x3281d0…
10-27 12:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x249356…
10-27 11:45:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xec3d05…
10-27 11:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	34	51¢	$17	0xd36725…
10-27 11:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc3674a…
10-27 11:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa4b6e6…
10-27 11:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x671c25…
10-27 11:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0x4a025f…
10-27 11:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x8ee523…
10-27 11:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xfb4ad6…
10-26 12:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf8f852…
10-26 12:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x6cfeb6…
10-26 12:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x7a8613…
10-26 12:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0f06b3…
10-26 11:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe1ff05…
10-26 11:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x83d716…
10-26 11:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x15d9f0…
10-26 11:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	27	53¢	$14	0x9e9653…
10-26 11:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0x6c7046…
10-26 11:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5fb631…
10-26 11:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x29fce0…
10-26 10:23:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x313545…
10-26 10:22:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6a49ef…
10-26 10:11:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb23856…
10-26 10:10:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x15e761…
10-26 09:36:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xf4d737…
10-26 09:36:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x887711…
10-26 09:36:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7857ad…
10-26 09:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x479eb4…
10-26 09:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0xf0d723…
10-26 09:12:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd194f3…
10-26 09:00:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xb83749…
10-26 08:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x10db74…
10-26 07:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x884b83…
10-26 07:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0f7f32…
10-26 07:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xe98b6e…
10-26 06:46:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x8c98c3…
10-25 14:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0b3eda…
10-25 14:50:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x681fd2…
10-25 14:29:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0xc52752…
10-25 14:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x152b9b…
10-25 13:59:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xaede36…
10-25 13:59:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	112	49¢	$55	0x42e376…
10-25 13:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x97a167…
10-25 13:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	57	47¢	$27	0xf7188c…