Authentic-Buffet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.21K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,570

lifetime

Volume

$51.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-26

last 05-08 07:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

55% 0% $-633

Politics

38% 0% $-574

Sports

5% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 1808 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up		+0	$1	4¢	$0	$-1	04-24 10:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	6	$3.8K	2,237	2,237	-0	open	—	05-06 10:08
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	6	$2.2K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	05-06 09:04
nba dal phx 2026 04 08 total 230pt5	4	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-08 09:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	4	$1.9K	1,050	1,050	+0	open	—	05-06 08:57
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	4	$1.8K	1,280	1,280	+0	No	$-572	05-06 09:09
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-01 11:34
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 total 3pt5	4	$1.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-08 11:49
rklb up or down on april 13 2026	4	$1.3K	1,300	1,283	+17	open	—	04-12 02:49
will fideszkdnp finish with the second most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	14	$1.1K	1,649	1,649	+0	open	—	04-10 19:04
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	4	$943	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-11 14:22
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	7	$923	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-11 12:46
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$830	525	525	+0	open	—	05-05 12:57
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	2	$830	814	814	+0	open	—	05-06 06:43
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	4	$782	812	812	+0	open	—	04-10 03:08
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	2	$780	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	$-80	05-05 13:31
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$760	500	500	+0	open	—	03-31 15:43
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza finish with the second most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$755	500	500	+0	open	—	04-11 07:48
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	3	$737	297	1,297	-1,000	Yes	$-549	05-05 13:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$660	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-06 08:55
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?	2	$658	500	500	+0	open	—	04-09 16:22
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 spread home 1pt5	2	$650	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-08 09:01
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	4	$647	585	585	+0	open	—	04-11 04:19
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	12	$630	600	600	+0	open	—	04-05 11:18
open up or down on april 10 2026	6	$592	600	600	+0	open	—	04-10 06:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$590	1,100	500	+600	open	—	05-08 07:40
aapl up or down on april 13 2026	2	$515	500	500	+0	open	—	04-12 02:41
amzn up or down on april 13 2026	2	$505	500	500	+0	open	—	04-12 02:15
nvda up or down on april 13 2026	2	$505	500	500	+0	open	—	04-12 02:10
meta up or down on april 13 2026	2	$503	500	500	+0	open	—	04-12 02:20
hood up or down on april 13 2026	2	$500	500	500	+0	open	—	04-12 02:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 07:40:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	33¢	$99	0xa7fe93…
05-08 01:59:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	31¢	$93	0x241c33…
05-07 23:00:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	66¢	$198	0xf839d3…
05-07 20:45:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0xf793d6…
05-06 10:59:06	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	No	SELL	300	27¢	$82	0xbce14e…
05-06 10:59:02	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	No	BUY	300	48¢	$144	0xf9ff1e…
05-06 10:10:04	Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?	Yes	SELL	104	60¢	$62	0xc27149…
05-06 10:10:02	Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?	Yes	BUY	104	61¢	$63	0x0180ed…
05-06 10:08:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	813	84¢	$681	0x86ddcd…
05-06 10:06:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	813	84¢	$686	0x0e374d…
05-06 09:55:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	616	84¢	$518	0x1a34ce…
05-06 09:54:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	616	85¢	$523	0x1488ad…
05-06 09:52:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	808	87¢	$705	0xb47d38…
05-06 09:52:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	808	88¢	$707	0xd85037…
05-06 09:28:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	270	19¢	$51	0x88748e…
05-06 09:27:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	270	19¢	$51	0x1ebc3e…
05-06 09:26:32	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	Yes	SELL	99	38¢	$37	0xea7fd3…
05-06 09:26:28	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	Yes	BUY	99	40¢	$39	0xe37988…
05-06 09:09:54	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	1,000	47¢	$473	0xe04669…
05-06 09:08:58	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	280	90¢	$252	0x79ec1b…
05-06 09:08:58	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	280	45¢	$127	0x75f64f…
05-06 09:08:44	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0x5104e8…
05-06 09:04:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1,000	91¢	$911	0xe6fd8e…
05-06 09:04:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0xcad105…
05-06 09:03:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x786f39…
05-06 09:02:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x7effcb…
05-06 09:02:22	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x2ac962…
05-06 09:02:18	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x60296b…
05-06 09:01:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	23	19¢	$4	0x80e8d5…
05-06 09:01:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0x5a1bc4…
05-06 08:59:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,000	4¢	$40	0x294e4a…
05-06 08:59:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x447181…
05-06 08:57:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	1,000	92¢	$920	0xd1eeb7…
05-06 08:57:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0x4b0440…
05-06 08:55:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	32¢	$320	0xf810d4…
05-06 08:55:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	34¢	$340	0xd6b07a…
05-06 08:51:52	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	99	67¢	$66	0x521b4b…
05-06 08:51:48	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	99	68¢	$67	0x001242…
05-06 08:51:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	352	50¢	$176	0xfdcc6d…
05-06 08:51:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	352	50¢	$176	0x8f7e06…
05-06 06:43:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	SELL	814	50¢	$407	0x94f9c0…
05-06 06:43:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	BUY	814	52¢	$423	0x662646…
05-05 13:46:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	184	90¢	$166	0x63a1b7…
05-05 13:44:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	184	91¢	$168	0xe55585…
05-05 13:41:34	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0xd8ba90…
05-05 13:41:30	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x8e2271…
05-05 13:39:50	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	No	SELL	319	50¢	$160	0x92530d…
05-05 13:39:48	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	No	BUY	319	51¢	$163	0x26347f…
05-05 13:38:34	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	128	80¢	$102	0x891dc9…
05-05 13:38:30	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	128	81¢	$103	0xfb03d7…
05-05 13:33:36	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 in May?	Yes	SELL	107	32¢	$34	0xdb8b90…
05-05 13:33:16	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?	No	SELL	52	43¢	$23	0x1f5081…
05-05 13:33:12	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?	No	BUY	52	44¢	$23	0x7268a2…
05-05 13:32:36	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	Yes	SELL	297	45¢	$134	0x59d1b2…
05-05 13:31:50	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,000	46¢	$460	0x19fddb…
05-05 13:31:48	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	No	SELL	1,000	35¢	$350	0x7dfdcf…
05-05 13:31:46	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	Yes	BUY	297	48¢	$143	0x9f4a17…
05-05 13:31:42	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	No	BUY	1,000	43¢	$430	0xc9fce6…
05-05 13:31:24	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 in May?	Yes	BUY	107	44¢	$47	0xb5d963…
05-05 13:31:18	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	No	SELL	31	65¢	$20	0x889761…
05-05 13:31:14	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x69e3ae…
05-05 12:57:50	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	525	78¢	$410	0x3e1dc7…
05-05 12:57:46	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	525	80¢	$420	0x92e154…
05-05 09:00:08	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	70	52¢	$36	0x1b4e70…
05-05 08:58:36	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x065cac…
05-05 08:19:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x25856c…
05-05 07:47:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x087297…
05-01 12:14:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	343	24¢	$82	0x1ba888…
05-01 12:13:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	940	14¢	$136	0xf6ea9c…
05-01 12:13:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	940	17¢	$160	0xfc2529…
05-01 12:12:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x9b62cd…
05-01 12:11:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	25¢	$12	0xa2629f…
05-01 12:11:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	399	25¢	$100	0x2deeee…
05-01 12:11:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	17¢	$10	0xc31c04…
05-01 12:10:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0xad3d83…
05-01 11:34:18	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	1,000	83¢	$830	0x52bd9f…
05-01 11:33:52	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0xd50602…
05-01 10:23:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x6cfa4e…
05-01 10:17:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xbfd94e…
05-01 10:14:00	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	900	2¢	$18	0xeb5079…
05-01 10:13:38	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x3dac93…
05-01 10:13:36	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$29	0x7f8371…
05-01 09:36:34	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	685	9¢	$62	0x0d6e5e…
05-01 09:35:56	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	71	31¢	$22	0xbb327d…
05-01 09:35:46	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	71	33¢	$24	0x8e338a…
05-01 09:25:36	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0x105546…
05-01 09:23:36	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	208	10¢	$21	0xc94bde…
05-01 09:21:22	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0xc31131…
05-01 09:09:50	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xc156ab…
05-01 09:09:12	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	606	10¢	$61	0x7bedd1…
04-30 13:44:44	Will "Six Seven" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xa72f86…
04-30 13:44:36	Will "Six Seven" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xe13b93…
04-30 13:32:24	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xaf55d0…
04-30 13:28:22	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x91d8f7…
04-30 13:05:38	Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x1c187f…
04-30 12:44:18	Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x82a6c3…
04-30 12:07:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x815c8c…
04-30 12:07:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x85b07f…
04-30 12:06:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x44c217…
04-30 12:06:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x76f9ef…