Careless-Lilac — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$191

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-13 19:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% $-11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-12 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	4	$13	17	17	+0	Up	$-7	05-13 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$12	12	6	+6	Down	$-5	05-13 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	3	$7	12	4	+8	Down	$-1	05-13 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$5	05-13 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	3	$7	12	4	+8	Down	$-1	05-13 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	4	$6	5	1	+4	Down	+$0	05-13 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$6	14	0	+14	Up	$-1	05-13 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-13 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-12 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$4	6	0	+6	Up	+$2	05-13 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$3	3	1	+2	Up	$-1	05-13 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$3	7	1	+5	Up	$-1	05-13 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	Down	+$0	05-13 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	3	$3	4	1	+3	Down	$-1	05-13 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-13 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-13 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$-3	05-13 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 03:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Up	$-2	05-13 18:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 19:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x1eab09…
05-13 19:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0xde0274…
05-13 19:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x47a799…
05-13 19:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb52fa0…
05-13 19:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc905e4…
05-13 18:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x20166d…
05-13 18:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x9e6c1a…
05-13 18:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x87c9e6…
05-13 18:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xbbea55…
05-13 15:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xa098bf…
05-13 15:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x75b523…
05-13 15:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xcda82c…
05-13 15:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xde1d9a…
05-13 15:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x658aeb…
05-13 15:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x60c1c9…
05-13 15:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5a1e63…
05-13 15:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x082992…
05-13 14:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf4ea9f…
05-13 14:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x97dc76…
05-13 14:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x1db71b…
05-13 14:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xfce2b5…
05-13 14:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x89d081…
05-13 14:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x67aef0…
05-13 14:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x52dc47…
05-13 14:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb99e0f…
05-13 14:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x04b3c2…
05-13 04:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x71322d…
05-13 04:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xdcc43d…
05-13 04:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x42bf3e…
05-13 04:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xac868e…
05-13 04:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x818a27…
05-13 04:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0xb1ba3d…
05-13 04:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf9a807…
05-13 04:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x631046…
05-13 04:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x189609…
05-13 04:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x8a4897…
05-13 04:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x27750f…
05-13 04:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8bb91d…
05-13 04:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x31ad5d…
05-13 04:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xfb2a5a…
05-13 04:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7c4d5a…
05-13 04:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x60e5c4…
05-13 04:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf1e3ca…
05-13 04:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xa3109e…
05-13 04:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9e34b2…
05-13 04:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8cf182…
05-13 04:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb7fa0d…
05-13 03:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xa4cbe5…
05-13 03:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8f126c…
05-13 03:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x1372cf…
05-13 03:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2496ff…
05-13 03:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x853857…
05-13 03:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1c259a…
05-13 03:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa8ce2a…
05-13 03:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x86f540…
05-13 03:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x12d58a…
05-13 03:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe6eace…
05-13 03:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa75f57…
05-13 03:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x60d203…
05-13 03:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8d9625…
05-13 03:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1c8f44…
05-13 02:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x01c096…
05-13 02:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe745af…
05-13 02:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc17754…
05-13 02:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc29387…
05-13 02:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x03b979…
05-13 02:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc046bd…
05-13 02:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xdf25a1…
05-13 02:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x75ac91…
05-13 01:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x621d25…
05-13 01:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0cf77e…
05-13 01:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9f13c1…
05-13 01:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5991a3…
05-13 01:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd4d812…
05-13 01:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xcc6478…
05-13 01:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x18e7e9…
05-13 01:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x6e6875…
05-13 01:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x929440…
05-13 01:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x7afe5e…
05-13 01:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6c0df4…
05-13 01:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x07ef68…
05-12 19:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb5ce6a…
05-12 19:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x12da64…
05-12 19:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x913852…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xb27b…5b82	45	$82.9K	11,928	05-13 19:14
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	45	$79.6K	5,955	05-13 19:14
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	45	$48.2K	556	05-13 19:14
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	45	$44.2K	1,586	05-13 19:16
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	45	$32.0K	2,632	05-13 19:15
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	45	$28.2K	6,843	05-13 19:15
(anonymous) 0x3375…a69c	45	$24.2K	3,344	05-13 19:15
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	45	$21.3K	3,925	05-13 19:14