Soft-Dinner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$907

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.0%

Resolved

12,734

Trades

16,951

lifetime

Volume

$62.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 10-28 12:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 191 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 80% -$769

Other

4% 69% -$136

Sports

1% 42% -$1

Politics

0% 12% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mlb sea sd 2026 04 16	14	$96	98	48	+50	San Diego Padres	-$5	04-17 03:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	9	$74	149	149	+0	No	+$4	04-19 14:40
nhl lak cal 2026 04 16	6	$54	119	43	+76	Flames	-$2	04-17 03:22
cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 04 17	5	$45	111	0	+111	Spirit	-$45	04-17 15:01
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 07:00 UTC	19	$44	82	0	+82	Down	+$1	06-25 07:05
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 11:45 UTC	9	$42	45	0	+45	Down	-$42	06-20 11:51
atp machac rublev 2026 04 17	3	$41	58	23	+35	Andrey Rublev	+$5	04-17 14:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	5	$40	21	21	+0	No	$0	04-19 14:34
wta podrez boulter 2026 04 17	3	$40	41	20	+21	Veronika Podrez	$0	04-17 15:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 04:00 UTC	8	$39	40	0	+40	Down	+$1	06-20 04:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$35	37	0	+37	Down	+$3	05-24 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$32	23	21	+1	Up	+$10	05-09 21:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	9	$32	55	55	+0	No	$0	04-27 11:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 04:05 UTC	11	$32	50	0	+50	Down	-$17	06-20 04:08
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	7	$32	37	37	-0	No	$0	04-28 10:52
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	7	$32	36	36	+0	No	$0	04-28 10:51
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	7	$32	38	38	+0	Yes	$0	04-28 10:51
nhl sea col 2026 04 16	16	$31	2,046	0	+2,046	Avalanche	-$16	04-17 06:47
nhl min dal 2026 04 18	3	$31	22	21	+0	Wild	+$11	04-18 23:52
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Matteo Arnaldi	7	$30	29	28	+0	Dusan Lajovic	+$0	04-20 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$30	2,515	0	+2,515	Down	-$15	05-08 21:25
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox	7	$30	29	29	+1	Boston Red Sox	+$0	04-20 17:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	7	$30	95	95	+0	No	$0	04-21 14:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 14:55 UTC	5	$29	56	0	+56	Up	-$1	04-23 14:56
Madrid Open, Qualification: Martina Trevisan vs Sinja Kraus	6	$29	36	36	+1	Sinja Kraus	-$1	04-20 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9AM ET	3	$27	16	16	+0	Down	+$4	05-24 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	6	$27	168	168	+0	Up	-$3	04-30 23:54
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 14:45 UTC	6	$27	30	0	+30	Up	+$3	06-20 14:46
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies	6	$26	24	24	+0	Atlanta Braves	-$4	04-20 01:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	7	$26	29	29	+0	No	$0	04-20 23:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 12:26:59	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe5cd3f…
10-27 15:36:26	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xa3ee58…
10-27 14:21:54	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x94ee80…
10-27 13:50:15	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x68fa92…
10-27 13:50:05	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x68b789…
10-27 03:07:06	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xea4ac4…
10-26 16:37:36	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x63845a…
10-26 16:36:27	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xfae6c6…
10-26 15:07:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xe41ed1…
10-26 13:11:00	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x985542…
10-26 13:07:11	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xd019b2…
10-26 03:05:38	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x2c88e3…
10-26 01:38:15	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x041519…
10-25 23:50:05	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xc89f4f…
10-25 23:47:33	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x9a114d…
10-25 23:46:26	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x1aacd1…
10-25 23:30:36	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x32b3fd…
10-25 23:26:41	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc35f41…
10-25 23:20:56	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xa941bd…
10-25 23:20:11	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x5814f5…
10-25 22:01:35	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xe0fa23…
10-25 21:56:51	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x953e1f…
10-25 21:25:20	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xa06c38…
10-25 15:37:56	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x966c7a…
10-25 15:35:44	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x0b529c…
10-25 14:51:24	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1dd06e…
10-25 14:51:00	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x44c083…
10-25 14:20:44	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x5fb055…
10-25 14:20:24	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x60c73c…
10-25 14:20:15	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x87e74e…
10-25 14:19:24	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb7a14b…
10-25 11:01:03	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xd1f074…
10-25 09:18:42	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xdbf4e7…
10-25 08:53:23	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x06a30a…
10-25 08:52:35	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf5d73b…
10-24 23:37:11	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x546abb…
10-24 23:33:18	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2ca047…
10-24 23:31:59	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x862435…
10-24 20:03:00	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb167ea…
10-24 20:02:29	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xab8a1b…
10-24 15:45:48	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x7c4701…
10-24 15:16:24	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x7acf09…
10-24 15:06:05	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xa7ca78…
10-24 15:05:48	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xe065ed…
10-24 15:05:30	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xa45899…
10-24 15:04:32	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x177713…
10-24 14:31:32	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x1cf107…
10-24 05:10:17	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9f1b1b…
10-24 03:56:39	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa45ac1…
10-24 03:53:48	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x0ec9d2…
10-24 00:24:50	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xede45f…
10-24 00:24:21	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5a1189…
10-24 00:23:50	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5cdb6f…
10-24 00:23:35	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf7f4b2…
10-23 22:51:38	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xec437d…
10-23 22:48:30	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xdfcaa4…
10-23 22:48:06	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x3a95c9…
10-23 22:39:59	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xaac7b0…
10-23 22:39:23	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xfc8579…
10-23 22:31:26	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x284c20…
10-23 19:36:39	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x8f0ecc…
10-23 19:35:36	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x352a8d…
10-23 19:34:38	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x04b010…
10-23 19:34:20	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xc5ce77…
10-23 17:26:12	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x31bb29…
10-23 16:37:08	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xcbf18a…
10-23 16:36:56	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x12d72a…
10-23 16:31:11	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xfef019…
10-23 15:11:00	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x370adf…
10-23 15:10:39	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x96483d…
10-23 15:05:41	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xe67783…
10-23 15:04:47	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x42cdd1…
10-23 14:20:05	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x757a95…
10-23 14:16:51	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xa4ef1f…
10-23 13:31:08	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x8f27e8…
10-23 12:10:59	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x756bb3…
10-23 12:10:50	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa39562…
10-23 11:07:02	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x022f69…
10-23 11:06:32	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xeb99ef…
10-23 08:23:15	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xa56912…
10-23 03:24:03	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8fbf63…
10-23 02:37:59	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xdf2b95…
10-23 02:35:08	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x66e4c5…
10-23 02:33:20	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x50717a…
10-23 02:32:11	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x256eb4…
10-23 01:47:35	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x93b267…
10-23 01:46:57	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb6387c…
10-22 20:51:30	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x9b1cab…
10-22 17:19:11	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x95fafe…
10-22 17:17:23	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x448249…
10-22 16:50:06	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x768555…
10-22 13:52:41	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xe22798…
10-22 13:52:03	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xf00ffd…
10-22 13:51:35	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x2ffcd9…
10-22 13:51:03	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x0aee95…
10-22 13:11:39	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xdfb5f1…
10-22 13:10:44	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x427148…
10-22 12:31:57	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x1eea95…
10-22 08:08:06	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x511e81…
10-22 08:07:50	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x7c3ccf…