Zany-Down — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,210

lifetime

Volume

$30.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-01 15:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

70% 25% +$9

Politics

22% — —

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	No		+743	$21	3¢	$22	+$0	07-01 06:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$1.3K	2,489	2,489	+0	open	—	03-24 11:03
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	7	$859	949	733	+216	open	—	04-20 19:34
Over $1M committed to the Foresee public sale?	4	$792	450	450	+0	open	—	02-09 07:55
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	7	$788	588	412	+176	open	—	02-24 06:47
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	20	$728	982	1,000	-18	open	—	03-10 13:58
will the united states win the second most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	7	$721	444	444	+0	open	—	02-19 17:36
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	1	$600	0	1,000	-1,000	open	—	06-16 19:33
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	10	$488	610	610	+0	open	—	02-04 22:46
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$483	320	320	+0	open	—	02-15 11:40
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	9	$449	412	412	+0	open	—	03-08 18:13
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$423	441	0	+441	open	—	02-09 18:09
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	5	$420	400	400	+0	open	—	01-14 22:06
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$396	2,297	297	+2,000	open	—	06-02 15:21
rou1 fua fcb 2026 04 11 fua	2	$384	285	285	+0	open	—	04-11 17:40
rou1 ffc fcs 2026 04 20 fcs	2	$379	245	242	+3	open	—	04-20 19:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$369	355	355	+0	open	—	04-19 18:56
will war machine be the 2 global netflix movie this week 794	8	$365	685	685	+0	open	—	03-28 13:40
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$339	385	361	+24	open	—	04-30 04:39
rou1 aus fcr 2026 03 02 fcr	2	$318	200	200	+0	open	—	03-02 19:32
will company b be accused of insider trading	3	$313	520	270	+250	open	—	02-25 09:46
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$309	255	255	+0	open	—	04-13 20:36
uel bol1 cel3 2026 01 22 draw	2	$300	204	204	+0	open	—	01-22 19:39
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	2	$284	184	184	+0	open	—	03-17 15:50
cs2 vit prv 2026 02 22	2	$278	142	142	+0	open	—	02-22 19:32
epl eve mun 2026 02 23 spread away 1pt5	2	$271	143	143	+0	open	—	02-23 22:01
lal cel rea 2026 03 07 btts	2	$262	167	167	+0	open	—	03-06 20:29
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	2	$261	161	161	+0	open	—	03-18 19:41
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$260	160	160	+0	open	—	02-05 10:25
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	15	$244	300	300	+0	open	—	03-10 13:13
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	3	$243	300	300	+0	open	—	03-17 20:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 15:40:58	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x4a2504…
07-01 06:27:58	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	No	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x72511c…
06-19 21:08:16	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	69	23¢	$16	0xf42052…
06-18 19:11:05	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	No	BUY	686	3¢	$20	0x8c5252…
06-18 18:56:23	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x7f187b…
06-17 19:40:04	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	112	33¢	$37	0xe3b5a5…
06-17 12:19:50	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	130	54¢	$70	0xd5d8a0…
06-16 19:33:55	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	1,000	60¢	$600	0xd2048f…
06-13 21:37:19	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0xe5dfc1…
06-13 21:36:45	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Scotland	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0x819b5a…
06-12 17:13:46	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Switzerland	BUY	120	57¢	$68	0xaf2617…
06-11 21:28:37	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	66	73¢	$48	0x1d5f0c…
06-11 21:10:16	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x25cb2e…
06-11 13:32:21	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xb7045b…
06-02 15:21:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$14	0x22db3b…
06-01 17:09:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	297	100¢	$297	0x4623fe…
06-01 13:13:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	187	29¢	$55	0x6dd381…
06-01 12:27:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	110	27¢	$30	0x81acba…
05-30 14:52:44	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x993e8e…
05-29 19:35:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	31¢	$35	0x2937d4…
05-25 18:21:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	9¢	$27	0x3e1e27…
05-24 05:32:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x9de1c6…
05-18 19:31:15	AFC Unirea Slobozia vs. FC UTA Arad: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x447b3b…
05-18 18:41:12	Spread: FC UTA Arad (-1.5)	FC UTA Arad	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0xb2ab42…
05-18 17:21:38	AFC Unirea Slobozia vs. FC UTA Arad: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x1e9eff…
05-17 13:16:30	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x679f49…
05-17 11:50:31	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	SELL	96	90¢	$86	0x5fde74…
05-17 11:50:01	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x873451…
05-17 11:06:21	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	BUY	105	57¢	$60	0x0c1a07…
05-16 22:56:24	Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	86¢	$139	0xcafab5…
05-16 20:33:46	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	81¢	$135	0xabc57e…
05-15 07:22:23	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	53	80¢	$42	0x872136…
05-15 07:22:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	36	85¢	$31	0xb8e64d…
05-14 17:46:28	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xa2c2fc…
05-14 17:46:21	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xc36492…
05-14 17:46:09	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x5ded5f…
05-14 17:45:57	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0xf81a6f…
05-14 12:59:23	Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0xcbdcda…
05-14 12:58:44	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x2afc97…
05-13 11:05:16	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xcc64b9…
05-11 12:50:12	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	SELL	160	86¢	$138	0xcd39e3…
05-10 17:08:41	West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	72	14¢	$10	0x7728b1…
05-10 12:31:21	FC Botoşani vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x846b3b…
05-09 20:20:13	FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FC Rapid 1923: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0x34aee9…
05-09 19:21:09	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x049596…
05-09 18:41:24	VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x9ed212…
05-09 18:27:36	FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FC Rapid 1923: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x360d5e…
05-09 16:55:15	VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	78	19¢	$15	0x150525…
05-09 14:54:27	ASC Oțelul Galați vs. FCV Farul Constanţa: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xed4efd…
05-09 14:54:09	ASC Oțelul Galați vs. FCV Farul Constanţa: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x6de9cb…
05-08 09:30:01	Spread: FC UTA Arad (-1.5)	FC UTA Arad	BUY	106	28¢	$30	0x384f3e…
05-06 08:51:48	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	BUY	160	32¢	$51	0x001242…
05-04 19:25:04	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0x646526…
05-04 19:20:36	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3752ad…
05-03 19:21:58	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x3fd53f…
05-03 19:21:36	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x03f039…
05-03 19:21:08	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1871c1…
05-03 19:19:42	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x81bb10…
05-03 19:19:36	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5cb48f…
05-03 19:19:32	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0xd8a503…
05-03 19:19:16	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe68146…
05-03 14:00:56	FC Petrolul Ploieşti vs. FC UTA Arad: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x4736a6…
05-02 14:44:16	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	180	28¢	$50	0x8d7470…
05-01 18:53:10	Spread: FCSB (-1.5)	FCSB	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x2ee91e…
05-01 18:53:08	Spread: FCSB (-1.5)	FCSB	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x6c55f0…
05-01 18:53:08	Spread: FCSB (-1.5)	FCSB	BUY	157	15¢	$24	0x3f02bc…
05-01 14:31:16	Çaykur Rizespor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x4951bc…
04-30 18:41:32	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	720	1¢	$5	0x2d0cba…
04-30 12:58:32	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	299	2¢	$5	0x199f11…
04-30 12:40:30	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	301	2¢	$5	0x32faad…
04-30 08:55:26	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	120	16¢	$19	0x15ad93…
04-30 04:39:48	Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	109	93¢	$102	0x49aad7…
04-30 04:39:38	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	75	97¢	$73	0x2b3295…
04-30 04:39:02	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	361	80¢	$289	0xd41404…
04-29 17:25:02	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	133	7¢	$10	0x1f9dc7…
04-28 10:52:04	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0xd303dc…
04-28 10:51:22	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x6b09c6…
04-28 10:51:08	Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x5c9d3c…
04-26 16:15:52	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	94	40¢	$38	0x1fcd19…
04-26 16:15:50	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x1ef6c4…
04-26 16:15:28	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x56fc32…
04-26 16:13:18	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x4162df…
04-26 16:13:06	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x378878…
04-26 16:12:20	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0xa78b16…
04-26 16:12:06	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x2f9b9f…
04-26 16:11:36	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0xa9e627…
04-26 12:10:14	FC UTA Arad vs. FCV Farul Constanţa: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	182	13¢	$24	0x9c4435…
04-26 12:10:10	FC UTA Arad vs. FCV Farul Constanţa: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x44a15f…
04-26 12:09:38	FC UTA Arad vs. FCV Farul Constanţa: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x5f8315…
04-26 12:09:36	FC UTA Arad vs. FCV Farul Constanţa: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x376b81…
04-26 12:09:34	FC UTA Arad vs. FCV Farul Constanţa: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x968819…
04-26 10:59:06	Spread: FC UTA Arad (-1.5)	FC UTA Arad	BUY	107	19¢	$20	0x19a5f3…
04-26 10:50:32	Will FCV Farul Constanţa win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xed967c…
04-24 18:57:54	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	Real Madrid CF	BUY	245	30¢	$73	0xa95346…
04-24 18:50:36	rou1 fcs fpp 2026 04 24 fpp	Yes	SELL	142	0¢	$0	0x821863…
04-24 18:50:22	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	134	54¢	$73	0x859100…
04-24 17:02:36	rou1 fcs fpp 2026 04 24 fpp	Yes	BUY	146	19¢	$28	0x6ce80e…
04-24 07:03:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	134	67¢	$90	0xa91118…
04-20 19:34:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	216	19¢	$41	0x02ae99…
04-20 19:33:32	rou1 ffc fcs 2026 04 20 fcs	Yes	SELL	242	100¢	$241	0x273487…