Leafy-Coalition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.0%

Resolved

Trades

125

lifetime

Volume

$1.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 08-13 22:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

59% — —

Other

27% 0% $-0

Sports

10% 100% +$0

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	3	$68	34	34	+0	open	—	07-31 15:42
nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	3	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	07-21 00:01
bitcoin above 58k on july 25 2026	2	$57	28	28	+0	open	—	07-24 18:17
will bitcoin reach 70k july 20 26 2026	4	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	07-26 12:50
ethereum above 2300 on august 11 2026	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	08-10 05:49
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?	3	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	06-30 10:22
will pete hegseth sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950070	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	07-30 17:36
will xauusd dip to 3900 by august 3 2026	2	$45	22	22	+0	open	—	08-07 09:48
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	02-03 03:03
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	02-03 19:58
bitcoin above 58k on july 29 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	07-28 16:56
will pltr dip to 117 by july 20 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	07-24 19:17
ethereum above 1700 on july 29 2026	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	07-29 14:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	05-30 17:53
will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 15	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	07-16 00:18
bitcoin above 62k on august 9 2026	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	08-09 16:06
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	07-25 11:40
bitcoin above 56k on july 5 2026	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	07-04 12:25
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	06-01 01:52
ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	07-22 04:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	05-16 15:07
xrp above 1pt3 on july 22 2026	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	07-22 13:39
will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	2	$25	12	12	+0	open	—	07-11 19:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	05-27 18:43
ethereum above 1800 on august 7 2026	2	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	08-07 11:20
sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	3	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	07-30 11:33
solana above 100 on july 5 2026	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	07-04 18:38
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	03-10 15:07
will bitcoin reach 66k june 22 28 2026	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	06-28 13:22
will solana reach 100 june 29 july 5 2026	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	07-05 02:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 22:16:45	bitcoin above 58k on august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x63864d…
08-13 18:48:06	bitcoin above 58k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x139c6e…
08-10 21:33:49	will bitcoin dip to 61k on august 10	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x93b431…
08-10 05:49:09	ethereum above 2300 on august 11 2026	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x03e376…
08-10 04:45:03	ethereum above 2300 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x436002…
08-09 16:06:04	bitcoin above 62k on august 9 2026	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x236e28…
08-09 06:20:58	bitcoin above 62k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x478269…
08-07 11:20:16	ethereum above 1800 on august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xf0cad9…
08-07 09:48:09	will xauusd dip to 3900 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x22b8db…
08-07 06:06:57	will xauusd dip to 3900 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf26a5c…
08-06 17:58:44	ethereum above 1800 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x713746…
08-06 13:43:03	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe7696c…
08-06 13:42:20	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf9f0e7…
08-06 02:24:39	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x608a67…
07-31 15:42:38	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x5a6ee9…
07-30 22:37:23	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd4f699…
07-30 17:36:57	will pete hegseth sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950070	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc9d1a9…
07-30 16:14:45	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x61e5c7…
07-30 15:23:21	will pete hegseth sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950070	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x913756…
07-30 12:46:21	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x281906…
07-30 11:33:18	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x940af0…
07-30 11:14:44	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x57c094…
07-30 10:18:32	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbaf5be…
07-30 00:48:35	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xe62e18…
07-29 23:09:18	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc60a45…
07-29 18:51:11	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x493180…
07-29 14:34:23	ethereum above 1700 on july 29 2026	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x458cd2…
07-28 16:56:10	bitcoin above 58k on july 29 2026	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0c8ed5…
07-28 13:46:31	bitcoin above 58k on july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0941ab…
07-28 10:09:08	ethereum above 1700 on july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x57ce78…
07-26 12:50:46	will bitcoin reach 70k july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2ed71c…
07-26 11:29:12	will bitcoin reach 70k july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x2ff746…
07-25 23:06:55	xrp above 1pt3 on july 26 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8877f6…
07-25 23:03:24	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 25	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xdaf57e…
07-25 21:44:45	will bitcoin reach 70k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6d5e59…
07-25 19:17:07	xrp above 1pt3 on july 26 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdc7d32…
07-25 15:36:06	will bitcoin reach 70k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x42e6e5…
07-25 11:40:31	bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x00776c…
07-25 00:26:39	bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x768259…
07-24 19:17:28	will pltr dip to 117 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc8a386…
07-24 18:19:03	will googl reach 380 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0a1480…
07-24 18:17:45	bitcoin above 58k on july 25 2026	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x35403c…
07-24 15:44:12	will pltr dip to 117 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xae79b3…
07-24 09:26:07	bitcoin above 58k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0629ed…
07-23 19:19:46	will googl reach 380 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfde093…
07-22 13:39:06	xrp above 1pt3 on july 22 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x068be6…
07-22 05:58:27	xrp above 1pt3 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa55ffe…
07-22 04:44:15	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x8cf661…
07-21 23:58:40	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x082f48…
07-21 16:27:19	ethereum above 1700 on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xa0b86d…
07-21 00:01:01	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xa80d95…
07-20 23:52:43	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x404374…
07-20 22:40:22	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6728f3…
07-19 02:39:34	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xde75bf…
07-19 01:58:12	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7fbb71…
07-18 23:35:42	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3a61bb…
07-18 22:39:25	will 5 matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610211249342	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc74fab…
07-18 21:48:25	will 5 matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610211249342	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xffeecb…
07-16 00:18:02	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 15	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x9993c0…
07-15 20:25:41	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 15	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdcf7b1…
07-14 14:33:13	bitcoin above 66k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x8e0a8d…
07-14 12:19:22	bitcoin above 56k on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x83b21a…
07-13 18:33:14	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 13	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x82f782…
07-13 16:49:10	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 13	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x88081a…
07-13 08:31:47	xrp above 1pt3 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcc9e41…
07-13 03:27:46	bitcoin above 56k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf95db9…
07-13 02:51:31	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcf4c99…
07-13 01:36:13	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5f2874…
07-12 10:55:02	bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x28ff1f…
07-11 22:13:47	bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3d4657…
07-11 19:00:56	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x73aa82…
07-11 18:14:37	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6e16c8…
07-05 02:43:22	will solana reach 100 june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x918347…
07-04 22:14:11	will solana reach 100 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4a5802…
07-04 18:38:58	solana above 100 on july 5 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x650c77…
07-04 14:46:50	solana above 100 on july 5 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf905c9…
07-04 12:25:02	bitcoin above 56k on july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd514e6…
07-04 10:08:59	bitcoin above 56k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe25442…
07-01 04:54:32	bitcoin above 64k on july 1 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5be353…
06-30 23:46:43	bitcoin above 64k on july 1 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84c9ac…
06-30 12:25:29	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x32da8e…
06-30 10:22:41	Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe486df…
06-30 05:55:22	Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd0a4f4…
06-28 18:14:26	Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3ef2e7…
06-28 13:22:07	will bitcoin reach 66k june 22 28 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4157f8…
06-28 10:39:28	will bitcoin reach 66k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2bd763…
06-01 20:30:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb1b166…
06-01 19:45:21	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 2?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0x80e970…
06-01 12:23:00	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbdfbc9…
06-01 01:52:36	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x59daa9…
05-30 21:18:33	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf24125…
05-30 17:53:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x3b212c…
05-29 21:14:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7816c0…
05-29 09:14:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd6c43f…
05-28 01:25:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6323da…
05-27 23:36:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb4f072…
05-27 23:00:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfaf499…
05-27 22:30:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x06a0a4…
05-27 21:38:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd8f7a3…
05-27 18:47:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x935cf0…