Sturdy-Legal — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

186 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.34K

$27.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$150

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-06

last 10-29 10:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

46% 100% +$96

Crypto

34% 100% +$29

Politics

12% 100% +$30

Tech

7% 100% +$45

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No		+0	-$2	98¢	$0	+$2	10-28 11:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	3	$1.6K	790	790	+0	No	+$20	05-25 00:43
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	12	$1.4K	706	706	+0	No	+$10	03-20 07:12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$766	770	0	+770	No	+$4	05-18 13:31
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 May 11-17?	1	$759	760	0	+760	No	+$1	05-12 07:10
Will XRP dip to $0.90 April 27-May 3?	1	$758	762	0	+762	No	+$4	05-01 08:59
Will Ethena reach $0.16 in April?	1	$747	761	0	+761	No	+$14	04-25 12:23
donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 80 99	2	$721	736	0	+736	No	+$15	04-20 08:00
open above 3pt5 on april 17 2026	1	$714	718	0	+718	Yes	+$4	04-15 10:35
solana above 130 on april 13	1	$711	712	0	+712	No	+$1	04-11 10:18
solana above 120 on april 10	1	$709	710	0	+710	No	+$1	04-07 06:07
trump out as president by march 31	1	$708	711	0	+711	No	+$3	03-22 07:16
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on May 11?	2	$665	666	0	+666	No	+$1	05-09 17:40
will ethereum reach 2600 march 2 8	1	$598	601	0	+601	No	+$3	03-06 11:25
donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 200plus	1	$580	581	0	+581	No	+$1	04-14 02:13
will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	5	$473	239	239	+0	No	+$0	06-18 14:33
Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$401	402	0	+402	No	+$0	10-16 17:42
Will Ethena reach $0.16 in May?	1	$387	389	0	+389	No	+$2	05-26 07:52
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	1	$376	376	0	+376	No	+$0	07-12 01:11
open above 5 on august 21 2026	1	$370	370	0	+370	No	+$0	08-19 06:18
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 24 above $140?	1	$365	365	0	+365	No	+$0	08-24 08:05
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	1	$356	360	0	+360	No	+$4	08-05 13:27
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	1	$332	332	0	+332	No	+$0	09-07 07:10
will open dip to 2 25 by august 3 2026	1	$326	326	0	+326	No	+$0	08-04 06:03
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?	1	$322	323	0	+323	No	+$0	04-21 08:14
xrp above 1pt6 on june 9 2026	2	$317	318	0	+318	No	+$1	06-08 05:09
open above 8pt5 on april 24 2026	1	$313	314	0	+314	No	+$1	04-21 08:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$308	178	178	+0	Yes	+$2	06-04 19:28
Will XRP dip to $0.80 August 31-September 6?	1	$291	291	0	+291	No	+$0	09-04 23:49
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	1	$269	289	0	+289	No	+$20	06-02 15:04
Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	1	$263	263	0	+263	No	+$0	09-02 06:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 10:41:19	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $5.00 end of October?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xe2e086…
10-28 11:13:29	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xd21d9a…
10-28 11:09:22	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x1884f9…
10-28 10:57:35	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x941110…
10-27 20:10:50	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x02fdf0…
10-24 03:35:09	Will Solana reach $170 in October?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x7d3ac0…
10-24 03:34:29	Will XRP reach $3.00 in October?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xbaead7…
10-21 06:15:05	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x8cde9c…
10-21 06:13:42	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1f7044…
10-21 06:13:17	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.70 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc746e9…
10-21 06:12:32	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x8b097c…
10-21 06:09:15	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.70 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x690330…
10-21 06:05:24	will ng dip to 2 40 by october 19 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7b4566…
10-21 06:05:14	will ng dip to 2 40 by october 19 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x455a57…
10-21 06:05:02	will ng dip to 2 40 by october 19 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x8d30dc…
10-21 06:04:50	will ng dip to 2 40 by october 19 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x599061…
10-16 17:42:59	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	402	100¢	$401	0xf5c269…
10-16 17:38:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $244 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xc1a21c…
10-16 17:36:38	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.25 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xc38cd2…
10-16 17:35:32	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $245-$250 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6518ab…
10-16 17:35:18	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$250 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4a02a8…
10-13 06:35:13	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf4a846…
10-13 06:34:28	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x6d73ec…
10-13 06:34:05	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $40?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbe9a02…
10-13 06:33:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xcdc7e6…
10-13 06:26:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	96¢	$62	0xefde65…
09-20 01:26:52	Will Solana dip to $30 in September?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x57fc04…
09-20 01:24:40	Will Ethena dip to $0.08 in September?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x4a7aee…
09-20 01:23:15	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in September?	No	BUY	180	99¢	$179	0x357df4…
09-13 02:37:48	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xa1384c…
09-13 02:37:01	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 14 above $5.50?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xc23874…
09-12 23:28:42	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 14 above $20?	Yes	BUY	138	99¢	$136	0xd82276…
09-07 07:10:49	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	332	100¢	$332	0xbd195c…
09-04 23:49:52	Will XRP dip to $0.80 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	291	100¢	$291	0x407b14…
09-04 23:45:46	dtrump out as president by september 30	No	BUY	209	99¢	$206	0x88019d…
09-02 06:16:12	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x24beb0…
09-02 06:13:13	Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	263	100¢	$263	0x3aefd8…
09-02 06:06:22	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of August 31 above $250?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xda7a91…
09-02 06:03:49	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 31 above $5.00?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x886c27…
09-02 06:03:33	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 31 above $5.50?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe71a54…
09-02 06:03:19	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 31 above $6.00?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8fc3ac…
09-02 06:02:30	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 31 – Sep 4?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x29f1a2…
09-02 06:02:09	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 31 – Sep 4?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc4cd3d…
09-02 06:01:07	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.75 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9f1ef2…
09-01 20:52:12	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x1b00c1…
09-01 02:15:52	Will BNB reach $800 in August?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0xd905e9…
08-29 04:09:36	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in August?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf8837e…
08-29 04:08:43	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in August?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3e31c0…
08-29 04:08:06	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in August?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x530da7…
08-29 04:07:37	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in August?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb47449…
08-29 04:06:06	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $420 in August?	No	BUY	209	100¢	$208	0x337874…
08-24 08:05:07	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 24 above $140?	No	BUY	365	100¢	$365	0x8c3970…
08-19 06:18:45	open above 5 on august 21 2026	No	BUY	370	100¢	$370	0xb621b3…
08-15 01:05:58	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$103	0xbce9e1…
08-12 06:25:18	Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x64091d…
08-12 06:23:43	Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xdd6753…
08-10 18:16:33	nflx above 120 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x50f443…
08-08 05:35:16	Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 11?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x169a7d…
08-08 05:34:21	xrp above 1pt6 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe79fd7…
08-08 05:33:43	xrp above 1pt5 on august 9 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x115ee4…
08-05 13:27:48	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	360	99¢	$356	0x1d0e08…
08-04 06:03:59	will open dip to 2 25 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	326	100¢	$326	0xbe92f7…
07-24 22:56:37	will nvda reach 248 in july 2026	No	BUY	173	99¢	$171	0x942b70…
07-24 22:50:16	tsla above 440 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xe314a5…
07-24 22:49:34	tsla above 430 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x1ddcb7…
07-24 22:45:01	spcx above 190 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	173	100¢	$172	0x8a4c72…
07-24 22:44:34	spcx above 170 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0xb61821…
07-22 18:34:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x1e8fbe…
07-18 00:07:24	nflx above 20 on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x343bd7…
07-18 00:07:01	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfd2584…
07-18 00:06:28	open above 7pt5 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x912136…
07-18 00:05:42	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x1e8a21…
07-18 00:05:21	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x87cf15…
07-18 00:05:06	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $0-$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x017291…
07-18 00:04:24	open above 1pt5 on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x6d7303…
07-18 00:03:52	nflx above 10 on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xa19dda…
07-17 01:54:52	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x052f14…
07-12 01:15:38	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x61e8f5…
07-12 01:11:13	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	No	BUY	376	100¢	$376	0xad1183…
07-12 01:10:31	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	No	BUY	252	99¢	$249	0x6fe152…
07-12 01:08:13	open above 2pt5 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x40a6b9…
07-12 01:07:53	open above 2 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf344e1…
07-06 14:02:59	xrp above 1pt6 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8c7de2…
06-21 04:38:28	Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb103e1…
06-21 04:38:01	Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0xa8bcbf…
06-21 04:37:44	Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7bd5a5…
06-21 04:36:53	Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xee4f45…
06-21 04:36:41	Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x47acd6…
06-21 04:36:28	Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x111d31…
06-21 04:34:47	will ng reach 4 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xec5100…
06-21 04:34:08	will ng dip to 1 80 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x40d83c…
06-21 04:33:44	will ng reach 4 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6e2cbf…
06-21 04:33:16	will ng reach 4 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9ef0b4…
06-21 04:29:49	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x4986c0…
06-21 04:29:22	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0x58c184…
06-18 14:33:13	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	239	99¢	$237	0xa5be5d…
06-18 12:51:04	will ethena reach 0pt2 in june	No	BUY	129	99¢	$128	0x7fe6b5…
06-18 12:50:26	will ethena reach 0pt16 in june	No	BUY	217	98¢	$213	0x594556…
06-18 12:50:14	will ethena reach 0pt16 in june	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xf78f17…
06-15 14:06:04	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$136	0x6aefb8…