Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$87

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

165

Trades

480

lifetime

Volume

$3.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 03-07 19:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

84% 11% +$24

Politics

12% 8% -$10

Crypto

2% 6% -$55

Sports

1% 0% -$40

Tech

1% 0% -$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another us government shutdown by february 14	32	$1.3K	20,734	10,922	+9,812	No	+$307	02-15 06:17
crint gbr npl 2026 02 08	6	$221	653	653	+0	England	+$177	02-08 12:57
crint gbr ita 2026 02 16	22	$210	8,106	5,227	+2,878	England	+$60	02-16 12:50
grok 4pt20 released by february 28 844	14	$171	13,333	1,091	+12,242	Yes	-$51	02-17 19:37
will israel strike lebanon on february 15 2026	4	$164	130	130	+0	Yes	+$94	02-15 19:23
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	4	$103	517	408	+108	No	-$21	02-16 18:31
crint nam pak 2026 02 18	14	$81	7,412	340	+7,071	Pakistan	-$14	02-18 11:55
will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	17	$74	59,263	0	+59,263	Yes	-$74	02-27 18:45
crint aus lka 2026 02 16	7	$74	2,062	62	+2,000	Sri Lanka	-$3	02-16 16:47
crint gbr sco 2026 02 14	10	$67	1,389	599	+791	England	-$1	02-14 12:46
crint zaf are 2026 02 18	10	$60	2,808	954	+1,855	South Africa	-$5	02-18 08:23
will israel strike lebanon on february 21 2026	12	$55	3,204	1,514	+1,690	No	-$22	02-24 16:35
crint afg are 2026 02 16	8	$43	5,814	212	+5,602	Afghanistan	-$5	02-16 09:04
crint lka zwe 2026 02 19	8	$42	92	91	+0	Zimbabwe	+$22	02-19 12:54
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	3	$39	678	678	+0	No	-$15	01-22 10:27
crint ind pak 2026 02 15	3	$37	455	0	+455	India	-$37	02-15 15:59
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	7	$34	3,062	676	+2,387	No	-$14	02-20 03:40
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	4	$34	889	798	+91	No	-$4	02-16 05:18
will the us seize an iranian oil tanker by feb 28	3	$32	1,540	0	+1,540	Yes	-$32	02-15 14:49
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	7	$32	3,159	0	+3,159	No	-$32	02-16 05:19
crint ind nld 2026 02 18	7	$30	2,775	876	+1,899	India	-$8	02-18 16:38
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$23	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	01-20 17:28
will there be at least 300 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026	4	$23	212	228	-15	Yes	-$12	01-21 03:49
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	4	$23	3,250	3,250	+0	No	-$5	02-23 15:04
crint wst zaf 2026 02 26	4	$21	717	83	+633	South Africa	+$4	02-26 12:11
crint gbr pak 2026 02 24	2	$21	1,000	500	+500	England	+$19	02-24 16:59
will the dhs shutdown last 7 days or more	4	$20	1,868	868	+1,000	Yes	-$8	02-20 06:54
will the state of the union address be delayed	4	$20	138	138	-0	No	-$4	02-17 19:36
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	3	$15	1,245	0	+1,245	No	-$15	02-19 04:15
will there be at least 800 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	2	$15	1,943	0	+1,943	Yes	-$15	02-13 07:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-07 19:46:17	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	383	0¢	$1	0xd82867…
03-07 19:38:01	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	58	2¢	$1	0xd9f636…
03-07 06:33:03	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	58	5¢	$3	0x86c947…
03-07 04:45:33	will kp sharma oli be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	399	1¢	$3	0xb38210…
03-06 08:32:39	will kp sharma oli be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	399	1¢	$3	0x1309ff…
03-06 07:51:59	will khamenei tweet again by march 5	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd6877d…
03-06 07:20:15	will khamenei tweet again by march 5	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x425a5b…
03-06 07:15:13	will khamenei tweet again by march 5	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x55255b…
03-06 07:13:47	will khamenei tweet again by march 5	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x768a88…
03-06 07:11:03	will khamenei tweet again by march 5	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x154b15…
03-06 07:07:05	will khamenei tweet again by march 5	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x999877…
03-04 20:38:17	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	1,650	0¢	$2	0x11ae74…
03-04 20:37:35	will opinion launch a token on march 5	No	SELL	206	1¢	$2	0x668262…
03-04 19:03:55	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	BUY	460	0¢	$1	0x90978c…
03-04 18:57:55	will opinion launch a token on march 5	No	SELL	138	1¢	$1	0x74d542…
03-04 18:53:19	will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	No	BUY	1,900	0¢	$2	0x37b449…
03-04 18:38:27	will opinion launch a token on march 5	No	SELL	183	1¢	$2	0x6c58ce…
03-04 15:10:07	will opinion launch a token on march 5	No	BUY	733	0¢	$2	0x13b2fa…
03-04 14:10:19	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	SELL	2,200	0¢	$2	0x304e06…
03-04 07:59:03	will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	No	BUY	3,200	0¢	$3	0x670b7a…
03-04 07:58:25	will trump cut off trade with spain	Yes	SELL	29	11¢	$3	0x712f5e…
03-04 06:42:37	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	2,400	0¢	$2	0xcba58c…
03-04 06:29:43	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x04540a…
03-04 02:50:41	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x3d1bba…
03-04 02:48:39	will trump cut off trade with spain	Yes	BUY	29	11¢	$3	0xff363c…
03-01 04:01:27	us forces enter iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	157	1¢	$1	0x530136…
03-01 04:01:05	will gta 6 cost 100	Yes	SELL	679	0¢	$1	0xd73c12…
02-28 04:09:21	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xab0b86…
02-28 02:09:51	will gta 6 cost 100	Yes	BUY	679	0¢	$2	0x550cd5…
02-27 18:45:47	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	9,000	0¢	$9	0x428589…
02-27 16:54:15	crint gbr nzl 2026 02 27	New Zealand	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x811193…
02-27 16:53:21	crint gbr nzl 2026 02 27	New Zealand	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x7c8aee…
02-27 15:49:15	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	6,500	0¢	$6	0x6c5e53…
02-27 15:39:03	will there be at least 1100 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 285 136	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5b6d16…
02-27 14:20:19	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xc5ea8a…
02-27 13:56:29	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xc7e5cf…
02-27 13:38:23	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x059b6d…
02-27 11:57:47	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	3,200	0¢	$3	0x93ea6c…
02-27 11:53:55	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x7d6d0f…
02-27 08:55:49	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc828b2…
02-27 07:29:21	will scream 7 opening weekend box office be between 25m and 30m	Yes	BUY	243	1¢	$2	0x65d9ef…
02-27 07:29:01	will scream 7 opening weekend box office be between 30m and 35m	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe66934…
02-27 07:28:37	will scream 7 opening weekend box office be less than 25m	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x5d6193…
02-27 06:08:20	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa9935b…
02-27 03:16:48	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$2	0x062842…
02-26 19:05:58	will mrbeasts latest video get between 37 and 39 million views on week 1	Yes	BUY	457	0¢	$1	0x5cf17a…
02-26 19:02:32	will mrbeasts latest video get between 37 and 39 million views on week 1	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa125da…
02-26 18:59:04	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xacd65c…
02-26 18:01:20	will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	No	BUY	165	1¢	$2	0x86b34c…
02-26 17:09:48	will there be at least 1050 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xa4dd20…
02-26 16:03:48	will israel strike lebanon on february 23 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x238543…
02-26 15:59:58	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$6	0xda79ae…
02-26 15:54:56	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	1,400	0¢	$4	0xcb6f1c…
02-26 15:54:30	crint ind zwe 2026 02 26	Zimbabwe	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe6bb5e…
02-26 14:40:16	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xbbd2d4…
02-26 14:38:12	will mrbeasts latest video get between 37 and 39 million views on week 1	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$2	0x2f95fe…
02-26 14:28:26	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	407	0¢	$1	0xaab1ad…
02-26 14:13:00	will mrbeasts latest video get between 37 and 39 million views on week 1	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x2ce9e7…
02-26 13:49:28	crint ind zwe 2026 02 26	Zimbabwe	BUY	174	2¢	$4	0x3811de…
02-26 13:42:26	crint ind zwe 2026 02 26	Zimbabwe	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x6c142f…
02-26 12:11:12	crint wst zaf 2026 02 26	West Indies	BUY	633	1¢	$4	0x7bab2a…
02-26 11:58:06	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x47372b…
02-26 11:37:18	crint wst zaf 2026 02 26	West Indies	SELL	61	11¢	$7	0xe4ff70…
02-26 11:06:46	crint wst zaf 2026 02 26	West Indies	SELL	22	25¢	$6	0x889143…
02-26 10:29:22	crint wst zaf 2026 02 26	West Indies	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xe8da7b…
02-26 08:35:52	will there be at least 1300 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x642ead…
02-26 08:35:32	will there be at least 1100 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 285 136	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd4352e…
02-26 08:35:10	will there be at least 1200 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 152 495 466 979 817	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xe3935c…
02-26 08:34:54	will there be at least 1250 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xbc1e00…
02-26 08:34:18	will there be at least 1150 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 917	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x2c68b5…
02-26 08:33:58	will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	No	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xebdfab…
02-26 07:28:38	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	No	SELL	491	1¢	$6	0x249bf2…
02-25 18:46:04	will mrbeasts latest video get between 45 and 50 million views on week 1 618	Yes	BUY	201	1¢	$2	0xf29793…
02-25 18:29:24	will mrbeasts latest video get less than 45 million views on week 1 366	No	BUY	304	1¢	$2	0x58bcff…
02-25 18:19:32	will mrbeasts latest video get between 45 and 50 million views on week 1 618	Yes	BUY	264	1¢	$3	0x6caef3…
02-25 18:11:56	will mrbeasts latest video get less than 45 million views on week 1 366	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x1eccf4…
02-25 18:09:46	will mrbeasts latest video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1 755	Yes	BUY	532	0¢	$2	0x845a35…
02-25 18:09:02	will mrbeasts latest video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1 789	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x65246b…
02-25 18:08:42	will mrbeasts latest video get less than 45 million views on week 1 366	No	BUY	360	0¢	$2	0x5a9c8e…
02-25 16:48:26	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	255	1¢	$2	0x4a902a…
02-25 16:47:50	will paris saint germain advance to the round of 16	No	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0x9bf516…
02-25 16:36:14	crint lka nzl 2026 02 25	Sri Lanka	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xc2a78b…
02-25 16:28:38	crint lka nzl 2026 02 25	Sri Lanka	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x4752fe…
02-25 16:21:04	crint lka nzl 2026 02 25	Sri Lanka	BUY	375	0¢	$2	0x2ad868…
02-25 16:14:34	crint lka nzl 2026 02 25	Sri Lanka	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x137b55…
02-25 16:05:02	crint lka nzl 2026 02 25	Sri Lanka	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x93e337…
02-25 15:40:44	will mrbeasts latest video get between 45 and 50 million views on week 1 618	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x775187…
02-25 15:04:38	will jd vance clap between 7079 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	79	0¢	$0	0xde86da…
02-25 15:04:38	will jd vance clap between 7079 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x6e1966…
02-25 15:03:18	will jd vance clap between 7079 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	404	0¢	$0	0x1df02a…
02-25 14:31:56	will jd vance clap between 8089 times during the state of the union	No	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x8a60e7…
02-25 13:20:42	will jd vance clap between 9099 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x442256…
02-25 06:26:24	will jd vance clap 100 times or more during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xbb5f3d…
02-25 05:59:06	will jd vance clap between 2029 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb205c1…
02-25 05:58:40	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	773	0¢	$2	0xa81e7c…
02-25 05:50:40	will jd vance clap between 6069 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	440	0¢	$1	0x7bfe53…
02-25 05:46:22	will jd vance clap between 3039 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x40600c…
02-25 05:45:38	will jd vance clap between 9099 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0xeb9bb8…
02-25 05:44:52	will jd vance clap between 4049 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	746	0¢	$1	0x0c8e07…
02-25 05:34:50	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	258	0¢	$1	0xa2ac2d…