Fumbling-Breadcrumb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$79

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

Trades

478

lifetime

Volume

$2.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 06-03 19:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 49% +$28

Other

29% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$51

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	2	$241	172	172	+0	open	—	03-06 22:00
btc updown 5m 1774986900	2	$52	45	43	+3	open	—	03-31 20:00
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	6	$46	400	400	+0	open	—	03-10 16:09
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 40 64	1	$34	157	0	+157	open	—	03-08 19:31
btc updown 5m 1775146800	3	$32	54	31	+24	open	—	04-02 16:23
btc updown 5m 1775146500	2	$28	25	24	+1	open	—	04-02 16:20
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 cfc1	1	$23	116	0	+116	open	—	03-11 21:24
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	4	$23	42	40	+2	open	—	04-07 10:49
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 140 164	1	$22	276	0	+276	open	—	03-22 15:16
ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 liv1	1	$21	163	0	+163	open	—	03-10 19:09
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	2	$20	56	0	+56	open	—	04-07 11:39
btc updown 5m 1775217300	2	$20	14	14	+1	open	—	04-03 12:00
Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?	2	$20	134	134	+0	open	—	04-05 09:53
will mrbeasts next video get between 68 and 71 million views on day 3	1	$20	100	0	+100	open	—	03-24 00:16
btc updown 5m 1772921100	1	$20	491	0	+491	open	—	03-07 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$19	13	13	+0	Down	+$7	05-09 23:25
btc updown 5m 1775319600	4	$19	40	14	+27	open	—	04-04 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$17	32	12	+20	Down	+$1	05-09 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$17	20	20	+0	Down	+$9	05-09 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Down	+$7	05-09 23:59
btc updown 5m 1776018000	4	$17	16	16	+1	open	—	04-12 18:23
btc updown 5m 1775146200	2	$17	21	20	+1	open	—	04-02 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$17	21	14	+7	Down	+$1	05-09 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$17	19	15	+4	open	—	05-23 15:03
btc updown 5m 1776273600	4	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$16	18	14	+4	Up	+$4	05-09 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	3	$16	18	11	+7	Up	+$4	05-09 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$16	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	05-10 11:50
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419	2	$15	128	128	+0	open	—	03-24 13:44
btc updown 5m 1776020100	3	$15	17	10	+7	open	—	04-12 18:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 19:36:39	btc updown 5m 1780515300	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x849973…
05-23 15:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa3c21a…
05-23 15:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe97a40…
05-23 15:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xd0f13e…
05-23 15:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xf25074…
05-23 15:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x0c5b17…
05-23 15:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc5a745…
05-23 15:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	15	70¢	$11	0x34a53a…
05-23 15:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x7fc30c…
05-23 15:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xd3308f…
05-23 14:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x864d51…
05-23 14:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xde84b8…
05-23 14:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xfa1df8…
05-23 14:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x72026c…
05-23 14:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xfeaf64…
05-23 14:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x69aedf…
05-23 14:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xe564f4…
05-23 14:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x346c24…
05-23 14:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x46ab67…
05-23 14:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xa4e5ea…
05-23 14:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x1eb13d…
05-23 14:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x941363…
05-23 14:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x746199…
05-22 17:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0xb40c99…
05-22 17:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x46a8c6…
05-21 17:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xf92b19…
05-21 16:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xe783d6…
05-21 16:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xbae04f…
05-21 16:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x35512a…
05-21 16:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0xaf13b2…
05-21 16:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x639a20…
05-19 17:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xcd3c34…
05-19 17:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xba6b7f…
05-18 20:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x3516b1…
05-18 20:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x5276c5…
05-18 20:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x22f279…
05-18 20:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x604760…
05-18 20:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xf5ab9f…
05-18 20:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xf796e8…
05-18 20:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x402dde…
05-17 19:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7c7601…
05-17 19:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8fadae…
05-17 19:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xe0bcf0…
05-16 17:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8ce93d…
05-16 17:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xef3749…
05-16 16:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x543036…
05-16 15:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x5b9d78…
05-16 15:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x15d3f1…
05-16 15:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x787aeb…
05-16 15:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7384ca…
05-16 15:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7be5a6…
05-12 21:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x728345…
05-12 21:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf9f9da…
05-10 11:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0xc1292f…
05-10 11:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x6a9083…
05-10 11:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xda6ff6…
05-10 11:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xb7f4a5…
05-10 09:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x4e4d17…
05-10 09:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xaf22ba…
05-10 09:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x97c97a…
05-10 09:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x98cba2…
05-10 09:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x726aff…
05-10 09:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x1c23e6…
05-10 00:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0xd0ffea…
05-10 00:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xa2f1b8…
05-09 23:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x7697b7…
05-09 23:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xdc8b14…
05-09 23:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x433f2e…
05-09 23:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0xa20418…
05-09 23:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x53bcf1…
05-09 23:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x2a5e69…
05-09 23:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xa60dc5…
05-09 23:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xabeede…
05-09 23:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa5ce25…
05-09 23:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x182d1c…
05-09 23:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x89f706…
05-09 23:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4c09f5…
05-09 23:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xf6a2f2…
05-09 23:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0xb68f0f…
05-09 23:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xd6418d…
05-09 23:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x9058e1…
05-09 23:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x327ee8…
05-09 23:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xd5e6ed…
05-09 23:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x891a74…
05-09 23:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xc72023…
05-09 23:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x441bcc…
05-09 22:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x3079a8…
05-09 22:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xb3671b…
05-09 22:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x25fb7e…
05-09 22:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4d6fc4…
05-09 22:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x9177a7…
05-09 22:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xb17a5f…
05-09 22:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x331bf8…
05-09 22:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x6fd7d5…
05-09 22:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xcb9236…
05-09 22:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x89f919…
05-09 22:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x23919d…
05-09 22:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0xd820b4…
05-09 22:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf39200…
05-09 22:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x24e922…