Wise-Poverty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

Trades

187

lifetime

Volume

$1.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-15 01:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

76% 35% $-73

Politics

23% 67% +$5

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	17	$410	443	443	+0	open	—	05-13 17:35
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	11	$240	194	203	-8	Lucknow Super Giants	+$3	05-07 18:41
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	11	$155	186	186	+0	open	—	05-12 07:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	23	$150	126	142	-17	open	—	05-07 22:05
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	4	$112	81	81	+0	Yes	+$26	05-11 14:01
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	2	$87	50	50	+0	Natus Vincere	+$13	05-12 23:41
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	5	$85	46	40	+6	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$1	05-06 17:12
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	12	$70	102	102	+0	open	—	05-10 18:02
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin	2	$53	710	710	+0	Jannik Sinner	+$0	05-11 13:51
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings	12	$52	60	0	+60	open	—	05-03 14:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	20	$44	250	249	+1	No	+$5	05-07 22:20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev	3	$40	24	24	+0	Daniil Medvedev	+$6	05-12 20:53
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	2	$40	40	40	+0	Sinners	$-22	05-13 00:34
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	1	$37	51	0	+51	paiN	$-37	05-12 20:59
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals	2	$35	42	42	+0	Delhi Capitals	$-1	05-11 13:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$32	25	25	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 18:58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$29	38	38	+0	open	—	05-10 12:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$26	15	15	+0	open	—	05-15 01:32
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	2	$26	24	24	+0	Lavked	$-9	05-13 13:13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	5	$25	126	125	+1	No	$-1	05-07 15:24
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	4	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	05-13 12:35
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	4	$23	38	38	+0	open	—	05-14 13:59
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 03:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	05-06 11:30
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	2	$16	118	0	+118	Down	$-16	05-08 14:11
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans	2	$15	45	0	+45	Gujarat Titans	$-15	05-09 15:43
Valencia: Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Adolfo Vallejo	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 12:10
Tunis: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tristan Boyer	1	$10	11	0	+11	Tristan Boyer	$-10	05-13 13:14
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-10 14:55
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-10 19:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 01:32:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	89¢	$12	0x78cccd…
05-14 14:51:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x24b238…
05-14 14:05:21	Paris: Diane Parry vs Chloe Paquet	Diane Parry	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x0dfb2a…
05-14 13:59:38	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	31	13¢	$4	0xa3d20a…
05-14 12:10:47	Valencia: Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Adolfo Vallejo	Adolfo Vallejo	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xe874b6…
05-14 03:10:51	Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xf92b00…
05-13 17:35:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0xc90c39…
05-13 17:35:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xd8fd04…
05-13 16:00:49	Valencia: Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Adolfo Vallejo	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x5df524…
05-13 14:36:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0x7e7824…
05-13 14:36:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0xbc2179…
05-13 14:30:17	Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xab0eae…
05-13 13:15:44	Paris: Diane Parry vs Chloe Paquet	Diane Parry	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xca5dca…
05-13 13:14:18	Tunis: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tristan Boyer	Dalibor Svrcina	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd2b442…
05-13 13:13:43	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	100 Thieves	SELL	24	34¢	$8	0xf4b8fe…
05-13 12:35:34	Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xec77fd…
05-13 12:34:24	Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x98f007…
05-13 12:34:24	Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0x133ca3…
05-13 12:10:08	Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x63ef22…
05-13 11:01:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	38¢	$11	0xd6534d…
05-13 11:00:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0x921d62…
05-13 11:00:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0x0da063…
05-13 09:09:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x8796ba…
05-13 00:34:27	Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Passion UA	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0x5707bd…
05-12 23:46:51	Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Passion UA	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x63d152…
05-12 23:45:04	Valencia: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar	Daniel Merida Aguilar	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x5b9ad5…
05-12 23:44:45	Valencia: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar	Daniel Merida Aguilar	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xfbf354…
05-12 23:41:04	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Natus Vincere	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xd63a18…
05-12 22:34:40	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	24	72¢	$18	0xfaeda9…
05-12 22:20:50	Cordoba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova	Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xb11f63…
05-12 21:32:46	Cordoba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova	Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc41a7b…
05-12 20:59:40	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	FUT Esports	BUY	51	72¢	$37	0x46a14c…
05-12 20:58:49	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Natus Vincere	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x8a18ae…
05-12 20:53:15	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0xada3f4…
05-12 20:25:01	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x5db704…
05-12 20:24:49	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x512cb0…
05-12 13:29:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	48¢	$42	0x2da0a3…
05-12 13:29:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	49¢	$38	0xeb992c…
05-12 13:29:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x9abe0c…
05-12 11:07:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0xf5f549…
05-12 11:07:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xcf0243…
05-12 11:06:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	108	41¢	$44	0xb873b3…
05-12 10:41:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	49¢	$45	0x25da80…
05-12 10:40:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	50¢	$46	0xd765ff…
05-12 09:19:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0xe280cb…
05-12 09:19:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x5da9cd…
05-12 07:57:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xe8e1dd…
05-12 07:57:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$4	0x3af61a…
05-12 07:57:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	Yes	SELL	16	35¢	$6	0x618b29…
05-12 07:56:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	Yes	SELL	18	36¢	$6	0x808247…
05-12 07:56:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	Yes	SELL	55	40¢	$22	0xd26d16…
05-12 07:07:39	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	Yes	BUY	99	40¢	$40	0xe6f025…
05-11 20:28:42	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	155	1¢	$2	0xffb715…
05-11 20:26:48	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe62bc6…
05-11 19:57:51	SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x97ca13…
05-11 19:35:51	SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xb00e1d…
05-11 19:26:03	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: O/U 0.5	Under	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xeb9d7a…
05-11 19:24:06	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x872bed…
05-11 19:00:06	SD Huesca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	211	1¢	$2	0x0025af…
05-11 14:01:03	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	Yes	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0xdeee18…
05-11 14:01:03	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	Yes	SELL	41	86¢	$35	0x852c20…
05-11 13:52:58	FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod vs. PFK CSKA Moskva: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x334c8b…
05-11 13:51:36	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin	Alexei Popyrin	SELL	710	4¢	$26	0x1eb15c…
05-11 13:51:10	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin	Alexei Popyrin	BUY	710	4¢	$26	0xc5dc7a…
05-11 13:31:27	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals	Delhi Capitals	SELL	42	41¢	$17	0x68d8e7…
05-11 13:03:48	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	Yes	BUY	46	56¢	$26	0xa98a0d…
05-11 12:56:28	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	Yes	BUY	35	49¢	$17	0xc36902…
05-11 09:43:46	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals	Delhi Capitals	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0x97297d…
05-11 06:56:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	No	SELL	21	35¢	$7	0xf28d83…
05-11 06:56:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	No	SELL	31	35¢	$11	0x6b2419…
05-11 06:55:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	No	BUY	52	36¢	$19	0xca4db2…
05-11 06:55:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	Yes	SELL	35	64¢	$22	0xa9374c…
05-11 06:00:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	Yes	BUY	35	52¢	$18	0xf6a8f2…
05-10 22:18:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0xcab60b…
05-10 20:15:49	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0xd44491…
05-10 20:14:34	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x65d8cf…
05-10 19:39:38	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xc85ab9…
05-10 19:08:30	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf06926…
05-10 18:02:55	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x5ff21d…
05-10 18:01:32	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0665bc…
05-10 15:32:12	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x5d724a…
05-10 14:55:22	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xf83c20…
05-10 13:35:22	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x9779ae…
05-10 13:35:20	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	25¢	$10	0x0558e2…
05-10 12:59:54	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0x1d7d5a…
05-10 12:59:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1b1033…
05-10 12:58:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	39¢	$15	0x146a86…
05-10 12:57:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0xf5f7c1…
05-10 12:36:43	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x349ddd…
05-10 12:36:27	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	27¢	$7	0x5aef64…
05-10 12:36:27	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x0ac513…
05-09 17:18:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xeb6f94…
05-09 17:18:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	37¢	$12	0xe64bfc…
05-09 15:43:34	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	39	34¢	$13	0x732e18…
05-09 15:43:32	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb90a14…
05-08 18:58:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0x9f3a5f…
05-08 18:43:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x332d28…
05-08 14:11:41	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0x365389…
05-08 14:11:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	99	14¢	$14	0x539a3f…
05-07 22:20:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe4c2ad…