Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
23
lifetime
Volume
$185
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$53
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-11 22:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
64% 0% $-4
Politics
36% 0% $-15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Yes -40 $-22 65¢ $-26 $-4 05-11 21:20
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026? Yes -35 $-10 18¢ $-7 +$4 05-10 12:36
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? No +7 $5 86¢ $6 +$1 05-10 20:14
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 05-10 19:08
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes -70 $-2 $-3 $-1 05-11 22:31
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +5 $4 54¢ $3 $-1 05-10 19:39
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes +10 $3 25¢ $2 $-0 05-11 21:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? Yes +24 $4 $1 $-3 05-10 12:57
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Yes +5 $0 11¢ $1 +$0 05-11 22:12
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +1 $1 46¢ $0 $-1 05-10 19:39