Present-Possible — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$220

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$28

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-07 10:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 71% $-23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	+12	$12	99¢	$12	+$0	05-07 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	+10	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	05-07 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	+10	$10	60¢	$6	$-4	05-07 10:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 10:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x29c68b…
05-07 10:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb97ac6…
05-07 10:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xac1b61…
05-07 10:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc1583f…
05-07 09:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x4063b8…
05-07 08:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x5d2dc2…
05-07 06:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1152b5…
05-07 06:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x0a1a4b…
05-07 06:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x16cb5d…
05-07 06:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x45b6f7…
05-06 19:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbc883a…
05-06 19:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe6d8c2…
05-06 19:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf539fb…
05-06 18:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa14a3e…
05-06 17:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0014c4…
05-06 07:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5b5a47…
05-06 07:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3fd80b…
05-06 06:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x450f68…
05-06 02:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	65¢	$7	0xe5a5c7…
05-06 01:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0xeb539e…
05-06 01:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	58¢	$7	0x3e733f…
05-06 00:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$7	0x945909…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	22	$5.39K	238	05-07 10:45
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	21	$2.67K	243	05-07 10:42
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	21	$1.58K	135	05-07 10:41
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	21	$883	127	05-07 10:42
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	21	$740	146	05-07 10:43
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	20	$4.50K	96	05-07 10:43
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	20	$1.46K	51	05-07 10:42
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	19	$17.7K	162	05-07 10:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	05-07 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	05-07 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	05-07 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$12	12	+12	Up	+$0	05-07 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	05-07 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	05-07 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-07 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-07 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-06 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-06 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-06 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-06 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-06 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-06 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-06 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-07 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Down	$-10	05-06 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$9	14	+14	Down	$-9	05-07 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$8	11	+11	Down	+$4	05-06 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$7	12	+12	Up	$-7	05-06 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$7	12	+12	Down	$-7	05-06 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$7	13	+13	Up	+$5	05-06 01:08