Present-Possible — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.49K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.7%

Resolved

5,791

Trades

7,631

lifetime

Volume

$130.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 09-10 10:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 65% -$1,902

Other

9% 67% -$280

Politics

1% 56% -$307

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 13:10 UTC	2	$1.6K	825	824	+0	Up	+$33	02-18 13:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 13:00 UTC	2	$1.6K	791	791	+0	Down	+$8	02-18 13:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 12:45 UTC	2	$1.5K	784	783	+0	Up	+$19	02-18 12:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 12:20 UTC	16	$1.4K	730	730	+0	Down	+$7	02-18 12:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 12:10 UTC	2	$1.4K	737	737	+0	Up	+$28	02-18 12:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 11:40 UTC	2	$1.2K	635	634	+0	Up	+$19	02-18 11:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 11:35 UTC	2	$1.2K	615	615	+0	Up	+$9	02-18 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 11:30 UTC	2	$1.2K	607	607	+1	Up	+$37	02-18 11:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 11:25 UTC	2	$1.1K	570	570	+0	Up	+$11	02-18 11:30
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?	1	$1.1K	1,326	0	+1,326	Yes	-$1,114	09-09 15:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 00:20 UTC	2	$1.1K	558	558	+1	Down	+$34	02-18 00:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 00:15 UTC	2	$1.0K	516	516	+0	Down	+$11	02-18 00:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 12:35 UTC	19	$1.0K	512	512	+0	Up	+$5	02-18 12:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 00:10 UTC	2	$998	514	513	+0	Up	+$18	02-18 00:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 00:05 UTC	2	$977	496	496	+0	Up	+$5	02-18 00:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC	2	$951	491	490	+0	Up	+$20	02-18 00:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 23:55 UTC	2	$907	472	471	+0	Down	+$27	02-18 00:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 21:10 UTC	2	$851	434	434	+0	Up	+$9	02-18 21:14
Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes?	1	$828	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$372	09-02 21:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 13:20 UTC	1	$816	942	0	+942	Up	-$816	02-18 13:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 21:05 UTC	2	$811	426	425	+1	Down	+$32	02-18 21:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 23:50 UTC	2	$799	446	443	+3	Down	+$82	02-17 23:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 21:00 UTC	2	$770	394	394	+0	Down	+$10	02-18 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 20:55 UTC	2	$745	384	384	+0	Down	+$15	02-18 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 12:25 UTC	8	$722	737	0	+737	Up	+$15	02-18 12:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 20:45 UTC	2	$711	369	369	+0	Up	+$20	02-18 20:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 23:40 UTC	2	$681	347	347	+0	Up	+$7	02-17 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 23:45 UTC	2	$677	351	351	+0	Up	+$17	02-17 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	9	$676	523	523	+0	Up	-$34	05-28 11:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 23:30 UTC	2	$674	340	340	+0	Up	+$0	02-17 23:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 10:27:21	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x6300eb…
09-09 16:46:06	Will Centre Party (C) win at least 9% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	687	82¢	$562	0x94cfbb…
09-09 16:45:06	Will Centre Party (C) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	301	59¢	$178	0x136787…
09-09 16:44:57	Will Centre Party (C) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x182f64…
09-09 16:44:51	Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	156	76¢	$119	0x913c95…
09-09 15:47:28	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	1,326	84¢	$1,114	0x4a7b4f…
09-09 15:47:16	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	369	66¢	$244	0x5dc2ae…
09-09 15:47:06	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	481	49¢	$236	0xa37e07…
09-04 09:56:24	Will China’s CPI increase by at least 0.9% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x311823…
09-04 09:55:52	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?	No	BUY	81	58¢	$47	0x683578…
09-04 09:55:46	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?	No	BUY	164	60¢	$99	0xff1ab2…
09-04 09:05:01	Will Jascha Rohr win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x83a8dd…
09-04 08:33:45	Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	33	64¢	$21	0x89670c…
09-04 08:32:49	Will Green Party (MP) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	49	89¢	$44	0x92314c…
09-04 08:32:40	Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	33	64¢	$21	0x3d9216…
09-04 07:50:57	Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 15-20%?	No	BUY	140	51¢	$71	0xc568cf…
09-04 07:50:36	Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 20-25%?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x2ba437…
09-04 03:55:06	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?	Yes	SELL	45	52¢	$23	0xf45206…
09-02 21:41:25	Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	125	57¢	$71	0x7f24c0…
09-02 21:40:45	Will SPD win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x7cc84f…
09-02 21:18:57	Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	214	54¢	$116	0x24e884…
09-02 21:18:39	Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	1,200	69¢	$828	0x4f8f1b…
09-02 19:57:42	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?	No	BUY	148	79¢	$116	0x28e584…
09-02 16:31:49	Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x8466b4…
09-02 16:31:24	Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	46	69¢	$32	0xd7998f…
09-02 16:28:06	Will Left Party (V) win at least 9% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	95	85¢	$81	0xe41ed3…
09-02 16:27:55	Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	186	69¢	$128	0x664b41…
09-01 09:49:52	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?	Yes	SELL	38	52¢	$20	0x283690…
08-28 21:22:54	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	No	BUY	363	58¢	$210	0xb3b9c4…
08-28 21:19:33	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?	No	BUY	33	53¢	$17	0x229ee6…
08-28 21:18:00	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?	Yes	BUY	83	50¢	$42	0xba11b3…
08-28 21:16:09	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?	No	BUY	437	58¢	$252	0x7f0963…
08-28 20:57:48	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	No	BUY	104	56¢	$58	0xc25418…
08-28 20:40:07	Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	400	72¢	$288	0x8858ab…
08-28 19:57:40	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	No	BUY	336	55¢	$184	0xb2af04…
08-28 19:57:25	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	No	BUY	55	53¢	$29	0x246165…
08-28 19:35:28	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?	No	BUY	107	51¢	$54	0xde8fb4…
08-28 19:14:06	Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	249	59¢	$147	0x11da7e…
08-28 19:13:48	Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	327	63¢	$206	0x80e2e5…
08-28 15:44:15	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	No	BUY	80	73¢	$58	0x527040…
08-28 15:40:34	Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	Yes	BUY	194	68¢	$132	0x9c0121…
08-28 15:39:46	Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	No	BUY	251	68¢	$171	0x47bcb3…
08-27 07:45:58	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	No	BUY	210	72¢	$151	0x3768c8…
08-26 12:20:43	Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	No	BUY	79	85¢	$67	0xcfe91a…
08-26 08:33:24	Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?	No	BUY	142	76¢	$107	0x763b26…
08-26 08:32:42	Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0xb83065…
08-26 08:32:25	Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?	No	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xde555a…
08-26 08:31:33	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?	No	BUY	71	79¢	$56	0x894f01…
08-26 08:30:39	Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?	No	BUY	184	55¢	$101	0xc01fc5…
08-26 08:30:15	Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?	No	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xd2d47d…
08-26 08:00:10	Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x41de7b…
08-26 07:58:51	Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?	No	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0xa52474…
08-26 07:58:24	Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x63f98b…
08-25 21:07:31	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	No	BUY	13	65¢	$9	0x8ec06a…
08-25 21:06:36	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xb59544…
08-25 21:06:30	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xe5fa0d…
08-25 21:06:25	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	No	BUY	266	70¢	$186	0x94515c…
08-25 21:06:18	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	No	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0xa54ba6…
08-25 21:06:12	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	No	BUY	65	75¢	$48	0x76dc4e…
08-25 20:28:18	Will Heino Doessing win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?	No	BUY	357	54¢	$193	0x56b534…
08-25 19:59:31	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?	No	BUY	136	80¢	$108	0xc782a2…
08-25 19:42:18	Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xf26ea5…
08-25 19:42:07	Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	No	BUY	77	88¢	$68	0x2250da…
08-25 19:41:45	Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?	No	BUY	205	74¢	$153	0xd69a58…
08-25 19:41:21	Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?	No	BUY	174	59¢	$102	0xa8ae08…
08-25 15:43:39	Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x4209de…
08-25 15:30:16	Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	233	51¢	$119	0x16b3a9…
08-22 09:28:12	Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x5ad7e7…
08-22 09:27:22	Will 200 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?	No	BUY	546	59¢	$322	0xb9d29f…
08-22 09:27:04	Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?	No	BUY	87	72¢	$63	0x17bf11…
08-22 09:26:57	Will 200 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?	No	BUY	194	58¢	$112	0xe91078…
08-22 08:43:46	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?	No	BUY	289	74¢	$214	0x4010c1…
08-22 08:43:30	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x5de334…
08-22 08:43:24	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x02c949…
08-22 08:15:13	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?	No	BUY	226	75¢	$169	0xc27171…
08-22 07:21:16	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0xbdae58…
08-22 07:21:13	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0x0f76da…
08-21 22:49:55	will warsh say integrity during jackson hole speech on august 28	No	BUY	536	66¢	$353	0x6e3a81…
08-21 22:49:22	Will John Pfeiffer be the Oklahoma Commissioner of Labor Republican nominee?	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xbfbc46…
08-21 22:48:34	Will John Pfeiffer be the Oklahoma Commissioner of Labor Republican nominee?	No	BUY	61	63¢	$38	0x696b2b…
08-21 22:48:00	icelandic european union membership negotiations referendum passes 20260609135241589	Yes	BUY	125	55¢	$69	0x77b15a…
08-21 22:47:31	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	84	76¢	$64	0x690f9b…
08-21 21:10:28	Will Bob Sullivan be the Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	291	58¢	$169	0xcf1abc…
08-21 13:28:22	will jd vance say inflation during his remarks in ohio	Yes	BUY	399	45¢	$179	0x10a1e4…
08-21 13:08:30	Will John Pfeiffer be the Oklahoma Commissioner of Labor Republican nominee?	No	BUY	70	55¢	$38	0xbe523a…
08-20 15:49:49	will warsh say integrity during jackson hole speech on august 28	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x95399d…
08-20 15:49:48	will warsh say integrity during jackson hole speech on august 28	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0xa451cd…
08-20 15:32:42	icelandic european union membership negotiations referendum passes 20260609135241589	Yes	BUY	125	56¢	$70	0x84c858…
08-20 08:48:51	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x20edb3…
08-20 08:48:43	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x958208…
08-20 08:16:15	Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	No	BUY	276	49¢	$135	0xe560f2…
08-19 22:49:00	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x6c7703…
08-19 22:48:31	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x5593e3…
08-19 11:10:06	Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	No	BUY	253	49¢	$124	0xfd67e5…
08-18 23:31:19	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	SELL	65	71¢	$46	0x39ccaf…
08-18 23:06:52	Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?	No	SELL	120	67¢	$80	0x8ba5f8…
08-18 12:17:27	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	BUY	65	49¢	$32	0x3832c8…
08-16 20:55:09	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?	Yes	SELL	43	60¢	$26	0x125e3f…
08-15 18:39:42	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	43	54¢	$23	0x930b79…
08-15 17:50:09	Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?	No	BUY	120	54¢	$65	0x285582…