Puzzled-Lament — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$933

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.2%

Resolved

1,568

Trades

1,972

lifetime

Volume

$37.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 08-31 18:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Other

65% 81% -$929

Crypto

35% 81% -$1

Politics

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on April 26?	2	$684	344	343	+0	Yes	+$2	04-26 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	2	$668	344	343	+1	Yes	+$15	04-26 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on April 25?	3	$615	319	318	+1	Yes	+$19	04-25 17:01
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 16c	8	$596	310	309	+1	Yes	+$22	04-23 12:53
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 25?	2	$592	300	300	+0	Yes	+$6	04-25 12:34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?	2	$578	294	294	+0	Yes	+$9	04-25 07:57
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?	2	$557	287	287	+0	Yes	+$17	05-07 04:53
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 6?	3	$549	280	280	+0	Yes	+$11	05-06 16:48
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 6?	2	$525	266	266	+0	Yes	+$5	05-06 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 6?	2	$507	258	258	+0	Yes	+$7	05-06 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 5?	2	$494	255	255	+0	Yes	+$14	05-06 04:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?	2	$474	245	245	+0	Yes	+$14	05-05 16:24
highest temperature in shanghai on april 21 2026 16c	2	$473	244	244	+1	Yes	+$14	04-21 14:42
highest temperature in lucknow on april 24 2026 42c	2	$456	231	231	+0	Yes	+$4	04-24 12:48
highest temperature in atlanta on april 15 2026 90 91f	2	$449	227	227	+0	No	+$5	04-16 05:15
highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 24c	2	$448	227	227	+0	Yes	+$5	04-24 10:12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 5?	2	$444	230	230	+0	Yes	+$14	05-05 08:33
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 59°F or below on April 25?	2	$440	224	224	+0	Yes	+$7	04-26 05:32
highest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 18c	2	$435	223	222	+0	Yes	+$8	04-24 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?	2	$423	214	214	+0	Yes	+$3	05-04 14:28
highest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 78 79f	2	$423	214	214	+0	Yes	+$5	04-24 04:44
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 4?	2	$414	209	209	+0	Yes	+$4	05-04 08:19
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 7?	2	$410	210	210	+0	Yes	+$10	05-07 11:01
highest temperature in helsinki on april 23 2026 9c	2	$409	211	210	+1	Yes	+$9	04-23 17:26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 27?	2	$408	210	210	+1	Yes	+$12	04-28 04:50
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 3?	2	$388	199	199	+0	Yes	+$8	05-03 15:52
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 27?	2	$385	200	199	+1	Yes	+$12	04-27 17:44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 3?	2	$367	192	192	+0	Yes	+$17	05-03 12:14
highest temperature in singapore on april 19 2026 32c	2	$358	192	191	+1	Yes	+$25	04-19 10:17
highest temperature in nyc on april 22 2026 55forbelow	2	$348	185	184	+1	Yes	+$20	04-23 04:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 18:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 1?	No	BUY	111	84¢	$93	0x94601a…
08-31 17:59:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 31?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x8446a6…
08-31 16:32:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 31?	No	BUY	82	95¢	$77	0x6adc79…
08-31 16:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 31?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xbd99a0…
08-31 15:18:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 31?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x6372a2…
08-31 13:45:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 31?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x2bc1a3…
08-31 13:44:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 31?	No	SELL	54	16¢	$9	0xd1b1f9…
08-31 11:24:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 31?	No	BUY	68	97¢	$66	0x915508…
08-31 11:23:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa8feac…
08-31 11:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 31?	No	BUY	78	96¢	$75	0x679241…
08-30 15:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 30?	No	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0xba5ebc…
08-30 11:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 30?	No	BUY	146	96¢	$141	0x1b139b…
08-30 11:06:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 30?	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0x1d575b…
08-30 04:35:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 30?	No	BUY	142	85¢	$120	0x6a556a…
08-29 16:13:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on August 29?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$121	0x2330e2…
08-29 06:11:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on August 29?	No	BUY	122	90¢	$109	0xfe719d…
08-29 06:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 29?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x93060c…
08-28 16:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 29?	No	BUY	110	89¢	$98	0x92b72e…
08-28 16:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on August 28?	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0xbad7d3…
08-28 12:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 28?	No	BUY	122	93¢	$114	0x75c760…
08-28 12:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 28?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xdd5fa2…
08-28 11:25:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 28?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x1265ad…
08-28 08:16:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 28?	No	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0x21d22e…
08-28 08:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on August 28?	No	BUY	99	96¢	$95	0xdd54f2…
08-28 08:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 28?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0xf09dd9…
08-28 06:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	148	76¢	$112	0x237c53…
08-28 06:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 28?	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0xa3a58d…
08-28 03:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 28?	No	BUY	114	98¢	$111	0x247ae8…
08-27 10:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on August 27?	No	BUY	112	96¢	$107	0xd3c708…
08-27 10:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	108	100¢	$107	0x3c4c15…
08-27 08:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	108	96¢	$103	0x127bd5…
08-27 08:27:18	bitcoin up or down on august 27 2026	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x14c6dd…
08-27 08:27:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on August 27?	No	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0xad4d6f…
08-27 07:23:15	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x157709…
08-27 07:23:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1fe301…
08-27 07:22:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x287d1e…
08-27 07:22:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x954013…
08-27 05:22:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on August 27?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe1b88c…
08-27 05:21:33	bitcoin up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xcf51c9…
08-27 05:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 26?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xee0695…
08-27 05:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 26?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x4fac76…
08-26 12:50:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 26?	No	BUY	106	92¢	$98	0x4d9780…
08-26 12:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 26?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfbb48b…
08-22 10:44:10	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22 game2	TEAM VISION	BUY	141	36¢	$51	0xa827b1…
08-21 09:07:03	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21	Team Falcons	BUY	180	42¢	$76	0xa55d3f…
08-21 07:33:49	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21 game2	Team Falcons	BUY	129	49¢	$63	0x6ce862…
08-21 07:15:06	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21 game1	Team Liquid	BUY	221	1¢	$3	0xfec17c…
08-21 06:36:21	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21 game1	Team Liquid	BUY	105	46¢	$48	0xe4ceda…
05-09 19:39:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x1552b3…
05-07 13:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf01cf7…
05-07 13:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc630d3…
05-07 13:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb68069…
05-07 13:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb2da06…
05-07 13:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa10cf8…
05-07 13:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x819d6a…
05-07 13:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7a5bee…
05-07 13:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x64b585…
05-07 13:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3bcbf1…
05-07 13:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x11c286…
05-07 13:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0bd5d9…
05-07 13:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0x432914…
05-07 13:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0xc253b2…
05-07 13:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa4046e…
05-07 13:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x879e61…
05-07 12:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd3c2e6…
05-07 12:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xb63cea…
05-07 11:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0xd4888f…
05-07 11:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0xc8d3cf…
05-07 06:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0x248515…
05-07 06:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	210	95¢	$200	0x742ff2…
05-07 04:53:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?	Yes	SELL	287	100¢	$287	0xdef665…
05-06 19:27:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	287	94¢	$270	0xaac14d…
05-06 16:48:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	280	100¢	$280	0xfe5dc5…
05-06 12:27:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xfc4993…
05-06 12:26:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	271	96¢	$260	0xab1f2e…
05-06 12:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	266	100¢	$265	0x0d56d2…
05-06 08:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	266	98¢	$260	0xb843e0…
05-06 08:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	258	100¢	$257	0xf10056…
05-06 05:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	258	97¢	$250	0x490efe…
05-06 04:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	255	100¢	$254	0xb19687…
05-05 18:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	255	94¢	$240	0x542efb…
05-05 16:24:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	245	100¢	$244	0x1d4288…
05-05 08:35:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	245	94¢	$230	0x3792e9…
05-05 08:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	230	100¢	$229	0xfd057c…
05-05 05:50:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	230	93¢	$215	0xc27000…
05-04 14:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	213	98¢	$210	0x366a7f…
05-04 14:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?	Yes	SELL	214	100¢	$213	0x1b36aa…
05-04 08:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	214	98¢	$210	0x512145…
05-04 08:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 4?	Yes	SELL	209	100¢	$209	0xc96445…
05-04 05:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	209	98¢	$205	0xe0cb02…
05-03 15:53:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x1d7e7c…
05-03 15:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	199	99¢	$198	0xfd1240…
05-03 13:42:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	199	95¢	$190	0x7db998…
05-03 12:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	192	100¢	$192	0xd5e8d6…
05-03 05:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	192	91¢	$175	0xfc5bb2…
05-02 15:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	174	98¢	$170	0x4a8565…
05-01 15:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	166	84¢	$140	0xe3f17b…
05-01 15:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on May 1?	Yes	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0xc37447…
05-01 10:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	148	98¢	$145	0x5bd337…
05-01 10:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 1?	Yes	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x6f48d5…