Victorious-Recess — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$89.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$74

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved

40,060

Trades

349,905

lifetime

Volume

$5.48M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$23

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 11-02 07:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 140 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 54% -$86,830

Other

1% 60% -$2,692

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 10037 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	—	+15	$3	82¢	$12	+$10	11-02 07:47
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	—	+141	$58	4¢	$5	-$53	11-02 07:49
Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	—	+14	$9	29¢	$4	-$5	11-02 07:46
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	—	+66	$28	3¢	$2	-$26	11-02 07:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	132	$8.9K	14,424	1,170	+13,254	Down	-$1,233	10-04 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	133	$8.1K	14,076	800	+13,276	Down	-$709	10-03 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	55	$8.1K	9,711	3,233	+6,477	Down	-$1,633	10-03 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	85	$8.1K	12,093	47	+12,046	Down	-$2,066	10-02 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	131	$8.0K	17,279	18	+17,261	Down	+$612	10-02 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	138	$7.8K	10,331	228	+10,103	Up	-$1,553	10-01 22:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	111	$7.7K	12,508	9	+12,499	Down	+$101	10-03 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	45	$7.6K	9,456	1,237	+8,219	Down	-$1,591	10-09 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	82	$7.4K	13,868	13	+13,854	Up	-$209	10-01 23:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	8	$6.9K	9,001	1	+9,000	Down	-$910	10-02 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	54	$6.6K	13,063	3,004	+10,059	Down	+$1,173	10-02 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	17	$6.3K	9,020	1	+9,019	Down	-$288	10-02 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	114	$6.2K	8,317	13	+8,304	Down	-$1,083	10-02 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	29	$6.0K	8,369	1,816	+6,553	Down	-$1,083	10-05 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	67	$6.0K	9,992	7	+9,985	Down	-$959	10-11 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	75	$5.6K	7,718	65	+7,653	Up	-$1,722	10-02 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	148	$5.3K	8,731	226	+8,505	Down	+$436	10-03 04:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	70	$5.2K	7,378	6	+7,372	Up	-$7	10-02 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	78	$5.1K	8,519	602	+7,917	Up	+$142	10-04 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	217	$5.0K	9,756	31	+9,725	Down	-$24	10-02 22:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	40	$5.0K	8,469	7	+8,462	Down	-$1,794	10-02 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 06:15 UTC	84	$5.0K	7,114	16	+7,098	Down	-$1,682	10-04 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	100	$5.0K	9,374	709	+8,665	Down	-$387	10-06 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	81	$4.9K	7,627	31	+7,596	Down	-$2,094	10-02 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 00:15 UTC	46	$4.9K	7,122	12	+7,110	Down	-$1,338	10-04 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	141	$4.9K	8,259	20	+8,239	Down	+$400	10-03 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	60	$4.8K	6,572	368	+6,204	Up	-$1,383	10-04 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	252	$4.8K	6,132	21	+6,111	Up	-$1,716	10-01 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	82	$4.8K	7,535	275	+7,260	Down	-$730	10-04 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	131	$4.8K	6,085	74	+6,011	Down	-$1,652	10-02 22:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 07:49:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	132	40¢	$53	0x4f8bdd…
11-02 07:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x4facec…
11-02 07:47:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb5633f…
11-02 07:47:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x39fe51…
11-02 07:47:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x6552c6…
11-02 07:46:55	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x34dcf6…
11-02 07:46:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x5ca6e9…
11-02 07:46:39	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x72c785…
11-02 07:45:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xc2c668…
11-02 07:45:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6b3833…
11-02 07:45:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xb85f19…
11-02 07:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	179	94¢	$168	0xf1718d…
11-02 07:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x12fde4…
11-02 07:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x96a193…
11-02 07:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x5a1481…
11-02 07:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x9ee237…
11-02 07:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x47bf23…
11-02 07:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x85e233…
11-02 07:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x11d86a…
11-02 07:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	102	76¢	$78	0xbab4b0…
11-02 07:40:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xbec101…
11-02 07:40:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x247533…
11-02 07:40:30	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x72c15f…
11-02 07:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x47d0df…
11-02 07:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$0	0x1ef789…
11-02 07:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xc26bc2…
11-02 07:40:25	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	35	68¢	$24	0x9651cf…
11-02 07:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	55	70¢	$38	0x707e91…
11-02 07:39:57	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4a391e…
11-02 07:39:42	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x47f8a8…
11-02 07:39:40	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$0	0xd1511c…
11-02 07:39:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	74¢	$13	0x56807c…
11-02 07:39:31	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0x428630…
11-02 07:39:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x4e445c…
11-02 07:39:21	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0xadb49f…
11-02 07:39:21	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5a9a27…
11-02 07:39:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xbed7e7…
11-02 07:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xc81928…
11-02 07:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0xf0c330…
11-02 07:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x9f925a…
11-02 07:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	55	32¢	$18	0xdfd341…
11-02 07:37:52	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0xbe190f…
11-02 07:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x28832f…
11-02 07:36:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xea5be6…
11-02 07:36:03	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0x665c54…
11-02 07:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x7c4daf…
11-02 07:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xefd38e…
11-02 07:35:27	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	83¢	$27	0x244b15…
11-02 07:35:25	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x483685…
11-02 07:35:19	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x478cfc…
11-02 07:35:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0xd871d6…
11-02 07:35:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0xb9f98b…
11-02 07:35:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x1f6d69…
11-02 07:34:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	9¢	$3	0x5e4062…
11-02 07:34:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x3442b7…
11-02 07:34:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xfc00d5…
11-02 07:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x14d42a…
11-02 07:33:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	45¢	$14	0xe6469e…
11-02 07:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7e6802…
11-02 07:32:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xe14bea…
11-02 07:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	319	39¢	$124	0xdf9c5e…
11-02 07:31:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	56	14¢	$8	0xaf246a…
11-02 07:31:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xd08174…
11-02 07:30:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x778a85…
11-02 07:30:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x3a79f9…
11-02 07:30:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x9b99cf…
11-02 07:30:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xd625f1…
11-02 07:30:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0xc1fcc1…
11-02 07:30:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	350	60¢	$210	0x194fd5…
11-02 07:30:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	14¢	$4	0x086078…
11-02 07:30:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xfe5e7d…
11-02 07:30:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xacc326…
11-02 07:30:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x46f3cd…
11-02 07:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x728cef…
11-02 07:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x3023f5…
11-02 07:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xa3c9e8…
11-02 07:27:12	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0x74244b…
11-02 07:26:18	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	53	71¢	$38	0xca9e43…
11-02 07:26:07	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	73¢	$12	0xf61dba…
11-02 07:26:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xdb1cab…
11-02 07:26:07	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x6e41e9…
11-02 07:26:06	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x8b251c…
11-02 07:26:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x81f911…
11-02 07:26:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x7e8ee2…
11-02 07:26:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	183	13¢	$24	0x713bc5…
11-02 07:25:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc9329c…
11-02 07:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	52	28¢	$15	0xf836e8…
11-02 07:24:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x253f5e…
11-02 07:24:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	78	36¢	$28	0x21b46b…
11-02 07:24:15	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5f9a75…
11-02 07:23:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	150	62¢	$93	0x808e07…
11-02 07:22:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x46814f…
11-02 07:22:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xd202ba…
11-02 07:20:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc17385…
11-02 07:20:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x801725…
11-02 07:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	32¢	$17	0xe6af1e…
11-02 07:19:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x9ca543…
11-02 07:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	71	36¢	$25	0x034fcf…
11-02 07:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	52	36¢	$19	0x27731a…
11-02 07:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	377	24¢	$90	0xb46a96…