Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$153

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.2%

Resolved

471

Trades

1,176

lifetime

Volume

$3.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-10

last 10-11 07:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 43% -$94

Other

5% 22% -$42

Sports

2% 43% -$7

Politics

1% 0% -$1

Tech

1% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 05:50 UTC	11	$71	67	54	+13	Up	-$1	07-11 05:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 05:30 UTC	10	$58	66	66	+0	Up	+$8	07-11 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	8	$55	37	37	+0	Down	-$3	09-10 12:08
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$43	413	310	+103	No	-$8	07-11 15:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 04:35 UTC	9	$42	67	34	+33	Up	-$2	07-11 04:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 05:40 UTC	12	$41	42	42	+0	Down	+$5	07-11 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$41	27	27	+0	Up	+$13	09-10 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$40	30	30	+0	Down	+$10	09-10 11:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	5	$37	24	24	+0	Down	+$1	09-10 12:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 12:45 UTC	8	$36	21	21	+0	Up	+$4	07-11 12:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 13:00 UTC	8	$34	36	36	+0	Down	-$4	07-11 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	8	$33	27	27	+0	Up	-$7	09-10 14:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	5	$33	25	25	+0	Yes	+$1	09-14 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	6	$33	33	32	+1	Up	+$8	09-10 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 05:20 UTC	7	$32	83	66	+17	Up	$0	07-11 05:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 05:35 UTC	7	$31	130	30	+100	Down	-$1	07-11 05:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 11:10 UTC	5	$30	100	74	+26	Up	+$0	07-11 11:14
bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 10am et	6	$27	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	07-11 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 12:05 UTC	8	$27	34	20	+14	Up	+$21	07-11 12:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 02:55 UTC	1	$25	38	0	+38	Up	+$13	07-11 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	7	$25	22	22	+0	Up	-$3	09-10 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	6	$24	17	17	+0	Down	-$2	09-10 12:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 04:45 UTC	6	$24	28	19	+9	Up	+$1	07-11 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$24	16	16	+0	Down	+$2	09-10 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 11:35 UTC	3	$24	26	24	+2	Up	+$14	07-11 11:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 11:15 UTC	5	$22	55	17	+38	Down	-$8	07-11 11:16
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	4	$22	19	19	+0	Up	$0	10-10 07:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 11:25 UTC	4	$22	17	17	+0	Down	+$2	07-11 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 05:55 UTC	4	$22	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	07-11 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	4	$21	13	12	+0	Down	+$3	09-10 12:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 07:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7090e2…
10-11 07:03:35	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xcc8ddd…
10-11 07:02:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5b14ea…
10-10 15:26:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x760615…
10-10 15:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x6f840b…
10-10 15:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0xd74c5d…
10-10 15:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x218401…
10-10 14:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0b91a3…
10-10 14:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xc718c8…
10-10 14:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x943ebd…
10-10 14:02:37	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x129687…
10-10 14:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x646bd1…
10-10 13:39:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xaead8b…
10-10 13:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	27	24¢	$7	0x73a4db…
10-10 13:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x32a49a…
10-10 10:41:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xb01f67…
10-10 10:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc194dd…
10-10 10:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3e279a…
10-10 10:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xfadb22…
10-10 10:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xd45019…
10-10 10:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x33da79…
10-10 10:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x98dad0…
10-10 10:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x31e2f3…
10-10 10:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xada5e7…
10-10 10:13:36	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc62775…
10-10 10:13:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x347a5a…
10-10 10:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb1fe80…
10-10 09:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x033c2c…
10-10 09:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x44bbd1…
10-10 09:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x4a0fab…
10-10 07:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb1e79d…
10-10 07:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xbc87dc…
10-10 07:15:28	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd8e2d4…
10-10 07:14:40	Gemini 4.0 released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xbe1cc2…
10-10 07:12:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xe5f457…
10-10 07:11:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x396e8a…
10-10 07:10:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x6d00e3…
10-10 07:10:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xeb5fa4…
10-10 07:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd6f67e…
10-10 07:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x48c610…
10-10 07:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1e313d…
10-10 07:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x0b5ac9…
10-10 07:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xae3ca9…
10-10 07:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	81¢	$8	0x55bc2b…
10-10 06:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd27524…
10-10 06:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x093d56…
10-10 06:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x9a83c8…
10-10 06:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xac8ea2…
10-10 06:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0x4be7cf…
10-10 06:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x26b926…
10-10 06:39:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x0dee49…
10-10 06:39:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x036019…
10-10 06:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x20a4b1…
10-10 06:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x4bfbb0…
10-10 06:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x8cb6e4…
10-10 06:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5dcfb3…
10-10 06:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xb6c8cb…
10-10 06:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x295108…
10-10 06:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x514638…
10-10 06:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd7fef2…
10-09 08:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x608486…
10-09 08:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x317366…
10-09 08:00:01	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	167	1¢	$1	0xf37a7a…
10-09 07:59:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	125	0¢	$0	0x0771a8…
09-27 05:49:29	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	186	1¢	$2	0x3dc0f1…
09-27 05:26:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x58f2d6…
09-27 05:26:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	335	0¢	$1	0xfec527…
09-27 05:25:57	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	396	0¢	$2	0xf1c82e…
09-17 06:44:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x3af7ce…
09-17 06:41:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 06:40 UTC	Down	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xf2b6fb…
09-17 06:40:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5c324e…
09-17 06:40:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4ec143…
09-16 06:54:25	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x8ec5f2…
09-16 06:54:21	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	164	0¢	$1	0x4d740c…
09-16 06:52:55	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	267	0¢	$1	0xbf8f19…
09-15 08:34:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	335	3¢	$10	0x327a46…
09-15 08:34:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x687fba…
09-15 08:31:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x88f246…
09-15 08:28:45	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc51e77…
09-15 08:27:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:25 UTC	Up	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x0ef7f8…
09-15 08:26:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xc32e99…
09-15 08:23:43	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x911e61…
09-15 08:22:40	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:20 UTC	Up	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x761d54…
09-15 08:22:07	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbc16a5…
09-15 05:17:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x932dac…
09-15 05:16:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb86c4f…
09-15 05:12:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9f7b6c…
09-15 05:10:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1a626a…
09-15 05:08:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xbe10e0…
09-15 05:08:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8caaff…
09-14 21:43:43	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	396	1¢	$2	0xf2ebd9…
09-14 21:43:24	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	267	1¢	$2	0xdc65d0…
09-14 21:43:12	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0x5fa997…
09-14 21:42:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xa73cc8…
09-14 21:42:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x1e8f34…
09-14 21:38:15	LoL: Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs	KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xb8b1ff…
09-14 21:37:19	Solana Up or Down - September 14, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2d5b10…
09-14 21:37:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x9d2948…
09-14 21:35:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xeb964f…
09-14 21:30:31	Solana Up or Down - September 14, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0684ad…