Scared-Porcelain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-22 07:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Sports

50% 100% +$51

Other

49% 84% -$72

Crypto

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba phi cle 2026 03 09	2	$630	330	330	+0	Cavaliers	+$29	03-10 01:01
nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	2	$613	313	313	+0	Clippers	+$12	03-10 04:38
nba mem bkn 2026 03 09	2	$611	310	310	+0	Nets	+$9	03-10 01:39
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?	5	$424	224	224	+0	No	+$24	05-09 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 9?	3	$211	112	112	+0	No	+$11	05-09 08:39
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 9?	3	$207	110	110	+0	No	+$7	05-09 09:13
highest temperature in paris on march 10 2026 14c	2	$206	105	105	+0	No	+$4	03-10 13:08
highest temperature in seoul on march 10 2026 7c	2	$202	102	102	+0	Yes	+$2	03-10 08:50
highest temperature in london on march 10 2026 14c	1	$101	113	0	+113	Yes	-$101	03-10 14:02
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 21?	2	$52	27	27	+0	No	+$2	08-21 06:02
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 6?	2	$47	30	30	+0	No	-$5	09-06 14:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?	1	$41	42	0	+42	No	+$1	05-06 12:58
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 17?	1	$40	45	0	+45	Yes	-$40	07-17 02:40
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 23 2026 22c	1	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$1	04-22 12:00
highest temperature in chengdu on april 9 2026 28c	1	$38	40	0	+40	No	+$2	04-08 23:52
highest temperature in chengdu on march 26 2026 21c	1	$36	38	0	+38	No	+$2	03-25 13:24
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 8?	1	$35	36	0	+36	No	+$1	06-08 01:38
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 7?	1	$34	35	0	+35	No	+$1	06-07 02:24
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 29?	1	$32	34	0	+34	No	+$2	05-28 23:28
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 6?	1	$30	35	0	+35	No	+$5	07-05 20:34
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 22?	1	$27	36	0	+36	No	+$9	10-22 07:24
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$10	13	13	+0	No	-$9	02-03 14:25
highest temperature in paris on march 18 2026 14c	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	03-18 08:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 07:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 22?	No	BUY	36	76¢	$27	0x921568…
09-06 14:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 6?	No	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x3a9f4f…
09-06 11:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 6?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xbbe3b6…
08-21 06:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 21?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x2d0451…
08-20 23:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xf575ed…
07-17 02:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 17?	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x1c390d…
07-05 20:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 6?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x1d84d1…
06-08 01:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 8?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x0a5d97…
06-07 02:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 7?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xea2aed…
05-28 23:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 29?	No	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0xb62b3a…
05-09 09:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 9?	No	SELL	110	97¢	$107	0x0b85bd…
05-09 08:39:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 9?	No	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0xe6d0e1…
05-09 06:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 9?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x5ec01a…
05-09 06:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 9?	No	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0xcf4834…
05-09 06:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 9?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x8c16ba…
05-09 06:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 9?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x29ae67…
05-09 03:31:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?	No	SELL	224	100¢	$224	0xd79f55…
05-09 01:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xe1a591…
05-09 01:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x2c213c…
05-09 01:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xe6a55a…
05-09 01:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xe5c36e…
05-06 12:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x0c1eed…
04-22 12:00:44	highest temperature in guangzhou on april 23 2026 22c	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x9e1651…
04-08 23:52:31	highest temperature in chengdu on april 9 2026 28c	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x62ccf5…
03-25 13:24:07	highest temperature in chengdu on march 26 2026 21c	No	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0x01f68a…
03-18 08:41:17	highest temperature in paris on march 18 2026 14c	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x7ddb0a…
03-10 14:02:35	highest temperature in london on march 10 2026 14c	No	BUY	113	90¢	$101	0x624c5a…
03-10 13:08:17	highest temperature in paris on march 10 2026 14c	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x622c4f…
03-10 08:51:41	highest temperature in paris on march 10 2026 14c	No	BUY	105	96¢	$101	0x1c6724…
03-10 08:50:57	highest temperature in seoul on march 10 2026 7c	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x227346…
03-10 06:03:31	highest temperature in seoul on march 10 2026 7c	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xfd0ecc…
03-10 04:38:31	nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	Clippers	SELL	313	100¢	$313	0xa41183…
03-10 04:28:49	nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	Clippers	BUY	313	96¢	$300	0xd65a89…
03-10 01:39:25	nba mem bkn 2026 03 09	Nets	SELL	310	100¢	$310	0xc5e41b…
03-10 01:32:59	nba mem bkn 2026 03 09	Nets	BUY	310	97¢	$301	0x2ad6b1…
03-10 01:01:09	nba phi cle 2026 03 09	Cavaliers	SELL	330	100¢	$330	0xd8b9c3…
03-09 23:47:01	nba phi cle 2026 03 09	Cavaliers	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0x2f4cb1…
02-03 14:25:48	Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0xd9012f…
01-31 15:22:00	Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xcce887…