Quintessential-Beef-Living — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23.9K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

55.4%

Resolved

66,623

Trades

263,583

lifetime

Volume

$1.31M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-27 23:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 199 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 46% +$26,927

Politics

4% 25% -$3,048

Other

0% 52% -$21

Sports

0% 50% +$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 6475 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	—	+17	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	10-28 00:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	9	$50.6K	25,972	25,972	+0	No	+$352	09-03 20:58
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	10	$2.1K	7,967	0	+7,967	No	-$2,100	10-25 20:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 14:10 UTC	119	$1.3K	2,681	0	+2,681	Up	-$151	07-31 14:14
ethereum up or down august 19 2026 1pm et	84	$1.1K	1,714	0	+1,714	Up	-$334	08-19 17:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 13:30 UTC	108	$1.0K	2,093	0	+2,093	Up	-$117	08-18 13:34
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$1.0K	1,533	0	+1,533	No	-$1,000	10-25 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	16	$905	1,699	0	+1,699	Down	-$858	09-26 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 13:40 UTC	65	$884	1,644	0	+1,644	Down	+$471	08-18 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	22	$813	1,614	0	+1,614	Up	-$711	10-14 07:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 14:35 UTC	18	$795	1,535	0	+1,535	Down	+$567	08-18 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	72	$770	1,077	0	+1,077	Up	+$278	10-19 13:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 07:05 UTC	81	$732	1,433	0	+1,433	Down	+$368	08-03 07:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 20:20 UTC	144	$711	1,459	0	+1,459	Up	+$21	08-21 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 17:50 UTC	17	$672	1,288	0	+1,288	Down	+$598	08-08 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:30 UTC	104	$669	1,462	0	+1,462	Up	-$355	08-12 13:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 11:20 UTC	40	$658	1,592	0	+1,592	Down	+$0	08-02 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:35 UTC	47	$624	1,063	0	+1,063	Down	-$148	09-29 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	36	$618	1,425	0	+1,425	Down	-$501	10-19 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:30 UTC	48	$615	2,371	0	+2,371	Up	+$613	08-05 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	18	$611	1,140	0	+1,140	Down	+$504	07-30 05:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 14:25 UTC	26	$606	1,156	0	+1,156	Up	-$83	07-31 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 01:25 UTC	50	$598	1,205	0	+1,205	Down	+$92	09-29 01:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 13:40 UTC	85	$597	2,010	0	+2,010	Up	+$405	09-14 13:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 13:45 UTC	69	$578	1,109	0	+1,109	Up	+$49	08-18 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	28	$576	1,029	0	+1,029	Down	-$507	08-02 05:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 13:45 UTC	38	$574	952	0	+952	Down	-$437	09-28 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:20 UTC	16	$567	3,353	0	+3,353	Down	-$549	08-19 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	10	$565	992	0	+992	Up	-$565	07-29 04:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 10:00 UTC	52	$557	1,452	0	+1,452	Up	-$507	09-27 10:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 21:45 UTC	14	$556	819	0	+819	Down	+$263	08-30 21:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 00:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xed62ab…
10-28 00:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0xb83818…
10-28 00:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x919ee5…
10-28 00:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x3de59b…
10-28 00:00:47	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x639cac…
10-27 23:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x29485a…
10-27 23:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x263a5e…
10-27 23:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	75	27¢	$20	0x4d1c5d…
10-27 23:27:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xbd3473…
10-27 23:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xce1a23…
10-27 23:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0xbd95e0…
10-27 23:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x8dd1ae…
10-27 23:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd54511…
10-27 22:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x1aa238…
10-27 21:38:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd0657b…
10-27 21:37:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x96f66f…
10-27 21:31:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	13¢	$3	0xc01350…
10-27 21:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb7bd82…
10-27 21:31:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x4d3a99…
10-27 21:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x1ce968…
10-27 21:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x507e86…
10-27 21:10:32	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1263ca…
10-27 20:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x0fa4d3…
10-27 19:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xba7853…
10-27 18:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0xecffd2…
10-27 18:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9b0a9c…
10-27 18:04:02	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	80	3¢	$2	0xe0674e…
10-27 18:04:02	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xd999d3…
10-27 18:04:02	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	80	3¢	$2	0x6bd87b…
10-27 17:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x3230b7…
10-27 17:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	4¢	$1	0x132b38…
10-27 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0xc3440c…
10-27 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	268	3¢	$8	0xa33959…
10-27 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x911255…
10-27 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x733fda…
10-27 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	183	5¢	$9	0x441856…
10-27 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	4¢	$2	0x3f022d…
10-27 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	304	3¢	$9	0x3b20d2…
10-27 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x328306…
10-27 17:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x6349d7…
10-27 17:56:38	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xdf6290…
10-27 17:56:38	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xcfabb0…
10-27 17:56:38	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xa9987f…
10-27 17:54:09	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x3c899e…
10-27 17:47:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdb0a69…
10-27 17:47:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xaeec86…
10-27 17:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x79ab5d…
10-27 17:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	43	8¢	$3	0x75eeb9…
10-27 17:25:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xb5a41f…
10-27 17:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xe47385…
10-27 17:16:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x7b8d30…
10-27 17:16:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x48ea2b…
10-27 17:03:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x7cd225…
10-27 16:53:41	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd429b9…
10-27 16:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe6cd52…
10-27 16:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x8f6e12…
10-27 16:32:53	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xf50303…
10-27 16:24:30	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x9b0f19…
10-27 15:26:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x4a9d7e…
10-27 15:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x19ac07…
10-27 15:21:08	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$4	0xf7f970…
10-27 15:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	49	58¢	$28	0xc1847b…
10-27 15:10:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x6965fb…
10-27 15:00:23	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xaf424b…
10-27 14:58:09	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x187559…
10-27 14:57:29	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x8de87d…
10-27 14:52:23	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf375ad…
10-27 14:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x3fe25a…
10-27 14:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x587a9f…
10-27 14:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x12a71f…
10-27 14:24:20	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x2c79bd…
10-27 14:21:44	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x07fec5…
10-27 14:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x948ada…
10-27 14:09:02	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xf9bfc5…
10-27 14:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xe73439…
10-27 14:04:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xeb6fe8…
10-27 14:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0xa417ec…
10-27 13:59:26	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0xd027a5…
10-27 13:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	12¢	$2	0x3086ee…
10-27 13:56:47	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0512d2…
10-27 13:51:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x56a4c8…
10-27 13:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x82a588…
10-27 13:40:03	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0cbacf…
10-27 13:36:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x9da063…
10-27 13:34:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x042e4c…
10-27 12:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0xe63cb4…
10-27 12:44:32	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xdad467…
10-27 12:44:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf16ddf…
10-27 12:44:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc920e1…
10-27 12:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0xd5024e…
10-27 12:23:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xabf2be…
10-27 12:23:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x418715…
10-27 12:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xade357…
10-27 12:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x8b55c7…
10-27 12:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x4fefac…
10-27 12:13:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	41	64¢	$26	0x201bca…
10-27 12:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7347a9…
10-27 12:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd04322…
10-27 12:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6be698…
10-27 12:03:36	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x287576…