Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
6
lifetime
Volume
$115
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$114
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-05 21:15
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
60%
Politics
40%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -50 $-46 91¢ $-46 +$0 05-05 05:10
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? No -50 $-26 63¢ $-32 $-5 05-05 12:30
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30? Yes -82 $-26 26¢ $-22 +$5 05-05 21:15
Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? Yes -9 $-7 82¢ $-8 $-1 05-05 19:02
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026? No -20 $-8 34¢ $-7 +$1 05-05 11:21
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026? No -3 $-1 18¢ $-1 +$1 05-05 07:10