Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Yes won
Total volume
$8,075
Trades
402
Unique wallets
130
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-07
First seen
2026-04-16
last 05-11 18:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-86.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $235
vs crowd: 87% YES on $5.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $281 | $331 | $51 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 21 | $3.4K | $85 | +$3.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 26 | $1.2K | $161 | +$1.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 74 | $216 | $199 | +$17 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $235 | $235 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 18 | $3.3K | $255 | +$3.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $54 | $9 | +$45 |
| Median | 50 | $955 | $104 | +$851 |
| Below median | 25 | $72 | $41 | +$31 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $115 | $51 | +$63 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $249 | $66 | +$183 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $312 | $16 | +$296 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | Yes | +1,370 | $1,369 | $1,369 | 10 | 05-11 18:49 |
| Naive-Composition 0x1f3b…453a | No | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 13:39 |
| Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | +823 | $1 | $2 | 10 | 05-08 16:33 |
| Mixed-Tutu 0xeb92…fdf0 | Yes | +790 | $789 | $1,009 | 8 | 05-08 18:29 |
| Piercing-Formation 0x9578…f066 | Yes | +714 | $710 | $710 | 4 | 05-08 15:53 |
| Devoted-Route 0xf5e4…471a | No | +448 | $18 | $172 | 26 | 05-06 22:45 |
| Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | +350 | $216 | $253 | 7 | 05-08 14:33 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +214 | $72 | $72 | 13 | 05-05 22:47 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +163 | $87 | $87 | 17 | 05-05 03:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | No | +91 | $6 | $7 | 10 | 05-08 18:25 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +88 | $69 | $69 | 3 | 05-05 16:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x57a5…5097 | No | +88 | $42 | $42 | 4 | 05-03 18:25 |
| Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | Yes | +85 | $77 | $77 | 17 | 05-06 23:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | +64 | $43 | $43 | 3 | 04-26 16:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +59 | $55 | $95 | 2 | 05-05 00:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x36c9…3039 | Yes | +56 | $50 | $50 | 3 | 05-06 02:07 |
| Experienced-Calculus 0x90ff…4fe2 | Yes | +55 | $42 | $42 | 3 | 05-05 21:01 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +50 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-04 17:41 |
| Sympathetic-Shutdown 0xffe7…89bf | No | +50 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-05 05:24 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 16:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xcec4…9258 | No | +44 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 05-04 21:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xcec4…9258 | Yes | +43 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 05-04 21:35 |
| Near-Album 0x15da…4e2a | No | +42 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 02:07 |
| Rash-Caddy-Hurdle 0x7138…8c89 | Yes | +31 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 05-05 09:09 |
| Growing-Reconsideration-Bandana 0x1608…eeb8 | Yes | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-07 03:37 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +30 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-05 19:41 |
| Growling-Effort 0xe27f…b12d | No | +26 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 19:49 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | +21 | $9 | $9 | 4 | 05-05 05:24 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | +21 | $13 | $13 | 4 | 05-04 23:15 |
| Ringed-Size 0x3cb4…2f71 | Yes | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-07 05:01 |
| Necessary-Finer 0xa9b0…5d58 | Yes | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-07 05:00 |
| Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 04-16 14:50 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-06 02:55 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +18 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 22:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf24…75a8 | No | +18 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 19:02 |
| Tan-Vitro 0x1c7d…1d42 | No | +16 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 20:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x540b…b500 | No | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-04 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x433a…ada2 | No | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-04 12:33 |
| Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $17 | 4 | 05-04 13:11 |
| Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | No | +10 | $11 | $12 | 2 | 04-28 19:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x8982…9a34 | No | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x21cf…fcfb | No | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 15:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xd52e…852c | No | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 15:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b04…5ca8 | No | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 09:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0fb…c423 | No | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c05…8cc1 | No | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-03 10:50 |
| Rapid-Cassava 0x0987…c6d4 | Yes | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-07 05:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xad7d…b35e | No | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-03 23:09 |
| Famous-Tea 0x633b…ff9e | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 19:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xc93f…ef7e | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 04-25 23:59 |
| Worse-Teepee 0xa159…ac8e | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-03 16:40 |
| Impractical-Net 0x21b5…1db6 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 03:09 |
| Roasted-Olive 0x5979…98b7 | Yes | +4 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-07 23:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 18:49:15 | Key-Plough 0xd9b1…5614 | Yes | SELL | 79 | 100¢ | $79 | 0x416f3d… |
| 05-11 18:49:15 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | Yes | BUY | 79 | 100¢ | $79 | 0x416f3d… |
| 05-11 01:00:17 | First-Tax 0x5718…3482 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xaca5f3… |
| 05-11 01:00:17 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xaca5f3… |
| 05-10 18:28:08 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | Yes | BUY | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0x21ad76… |
| 05-10 18:28:08 | (anonymous) 0xbb81…4563 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0x21ad76… |
| 05-10 13:39:16 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x9b8d05… |
| 05-10 13:39:16 | Naive-Composition 0x1f3b…453a | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9b8d05… |
| 05-10 01:00:30 | Another-Commotion 0xbeec…707b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x080909… |
| 05-10 01:00:30 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x080909… |
| 05-08 19:15:09 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x218de0… |
| 05-08 19:15:09 | Handy-Engineering 0x56d2…d7a0 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x218de0… |
| 05-08 18:29:43 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | Yes | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x1f7c90… |
| 05-08 18:29:43 | Mixed-Tutu 0xeb92…fdf0 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x1f7c90… |
| 05-08 18:25:06 | Mixed-Tutu 0xeb92…fdf0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xf3082f… |
| 05-08 18:25:06 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | No | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf3082f… |
| 05-08 18:14:52 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x1a0050… |
| 05-08 18:14:52 | Mixed-Tutu 0xeb92…fdf0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x1a0050… |
| 05-08 18:09:14 | Helpful-Dollop 0x8ae6…0f9a | Yes | SELL | 63 | 100¢ | $63 | 0x15ab0a… |
| 05-08 18:09:14 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | Yes | BUY | 63 | 100¢ | $63 | 0x15ab0a… |
| 05-08 18:03:08 | Spry-Spice 0x5e6a…e7f6 | Yes | SELL | 132 | 100¢ | $132 | 0xda44f9… |
| 05-08 18:03:08 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | Yes | BUY | 102 | 100¢ | $102 | 0xda44f9… |
| 05-08 18:03:08 | Prickly-Teletype 0xfc00…b460 | No | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda44f9… |
| 05-08 17:04:29 | Prickly-Teletype 0xfc00…b460 | No | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xae0c10… |
| 05-08 17:04:29 | Yellowish-Soil 0xa986…30f6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xae0c10… |
| 05-08 16:33:06 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbb978e… |
| 05-08 16:33:06 | Mixed-Tutu 0xeb92…fdf0 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0xbb978e… |
| 05-08 16:32:42 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19ba4d… |
| 05-08 16:32:42 | Mixed-Tutu 0xeb92…fdf0 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x19ba4d… |
| 05-08 16:32:31 | Mixed-Tutu 0xeb92…fdf0 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x04d109… |
| 05-08 16:32:31 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x04d109… |
| 05-08 16:31:32 | Mixed-Tutu 0xeb92…fdf0 | Yes | BUY | 370 | 100¢ | $370 | 0xe66276… |
| 05-08 16:31:32 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | BUY | 370 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe66276… |
| 05-08 16:26:34 | Mixed-Tutu 0xeb92…fdf0 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 100¢ | $130 | 0x4ec2fe… |
| 05-08 16:26:34 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ec2fe… |
| 05-08 16:26:34 | Prickly-Teletype 0xfc00…b460 | No | BUY | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ec2fe… |
| 05-08 15:53:49 | Buoyant-Offense 0x526e…3bd0 | Yes | SELL | 602 | 100¢ | $601 | 0xe979c4… |
| 05-08 15:53:49 | Piercing-Formation 0x9578…f066 | Yes | BUY | 602 | 100¢ | $601 | 0xe979c4… |
| 05-08 14:57:25 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x92628a… |
| 05-08 14:57:25 | Kaleidoscopic-Marksman 0xf353…e2b5 | No | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x92628a… |
| 05-08 14:33:07 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | SELL | 32 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x61bd82… |
| 05-08 14:33:07 | Buoyant-Offense 0x526e…3bd0 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x61bd82… |
| 05-08 14:33:07 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x61bd82… |
| 05-08 14:03:31 | Piercing-Formation 0x9578…f066 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 99¢ | $76 | 0x1f7d60… |
| 05-08 14:03:31 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | BUY | 77 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1f7d60… |
| 05-08 14:02:43 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdec05b… |
| 05-08 14:02:43 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdec05b… |
| 05-08 14:02:43 | Piercing-Formation 0x9578…f066 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xdec05b… |
| 05-08 13:58:42 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | SELL | 80 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xcee882… |
| 05-08 13:58:42 | Buoyant-Offense 0x526e…3bd0 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 95¢ | $76 | 0xcee882… |
| 05-08 13:41:05 | Buoyant-Offense 0x526e…3bd0 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 95¢ | $76 | 0xda97dd… |
| 05-08 13:41:05 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | SELL | 80 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xda97dd… |
| 05-07 23:42:38 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x59f97e… |
| 05-07 23:42:38 | Roasted-Olive 0x5979…98b7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x59f97e… |
| 05-07 23:42:38 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0x59f97e… |
| 05-07 19:49:23 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 26 | 19¢ | $5 | 0xe0aae1… |
| 05-07 19:49:23 | Growling-Effort 0xe27f…b12d | No | BUY | 26 | 19¢ | $5 | 0xe0aae1… |
| 05-07 08:28:23 | Handy-Engineering 0x56d2…d7a0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x2d8c24… |
| 05-07 08:28:23 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | No | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x2d8c24… |
| 05-07 05:02:17 | Rapid-Cassava 0x0987…c6d4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0xc25042… |
| 05-07 05:02:17 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0xc25042… |
| 05-07 05:01:25 | Ringed-Size 0x3cb4…2f71 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 93¢ | $20 | 0xceb6bf… |
| 05-07 05:01:25 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 21 | 93¢ | $20 | 0xceb6bf… |
| 05-07 05:00:16 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 21 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x61d331… |
| 05-07 05:00:16 | Necessary-Finer 0xa9b0…5d58 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x61d331… |
| 05-07 03:37:09 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x31d4b4… |
| 05-07 03:37:09 | Yellowish-Soil 0xa986…30f6 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 91¢ | $37 | 0x31d4b4… |
| 05-07 03:37:09 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | SELL | 99 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x31d4b4… |
| 05-07 03:37:09 | Growing-Reconsideration-Bandana 0x1608…eeb8 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x31d4b4… |
| 05-07 03:37:09 | Buoyant-Offense 0x526e…3bd0 | Yes | SELL | 287 | 92¢ | $265 | 0x31d4b4… |
| 05-07 03:37:09 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | No | SELL | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x31d4b4… |
| 05-07 03:09:05 | Impractical-Net 0x21b5…1db6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xacadea… |
| 05-07 03:09:05 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | No | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xacadea… |
| 05-07 00:06:32 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xad54f9… |
| 05-07 00:06:32 | Piercing-Formation 0x9578…f066 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xad54f9… |
| 05-07 00:06:25 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x57e6f6… |
| 05-07 00:06:25 | First-Tax 0x5718…3482 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x57e6f6… |
| 05-06 23:59:51 | Piercing-Formation 0x9578…f066 | No | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8374e3… |
| 05-06 23:59:51 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | No | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8374e3… |
| 05-06 23:18:56 | Yellowish-Soil 0xa986…30f6 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 91¢ | $8 | 0x1d1463… |
| 05-06 23:18:56 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | SELL | 9 | 91¢ | $8 | 0x1d1463… |
| 05-06 23:18:00 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x08c0aa… |
| 05-06 23:18:00 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x08c0aa… |
| 05-06 23:15:44 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xc3f25e… |
| 05-06 23:15:44 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xc3f25e… |
| 05-06 23:12:35 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x655695… |
| 05-06 23:12:35 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x655695… |
| 05-06 23:10:30 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xdb6770… |
| 05-06 23:10:30 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xdb6770… |
| 05-06 23:09:27 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x236747… |
| 05-06 23:09:27 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x236747… |
| 05-06 23:08:26 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xe15be9… |
| 05-06 23:08:26 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xe15be9… |
| 05-06 23:07:23 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x927804… |
| 05-06 23:07:23 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x927804… |
| 05-06 23:06:38 | Circular-Colorlessness 0x4923…599a | Yes | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xb781e3… |
| 05-06 23:06:38 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | No | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xb781e3… |
| 05-06 23:06:20 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xe1be56… |
| 05-06 23:06:20 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xe1be56… |
| 05-06 23:04:18 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x86bffa… |